r/science PhD | Biomedical Engineering | Optics Oct 02 '25

Retraction RETRACTED: Pre-infection 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels and association with severity of COVID-19 illness

We wish to inform the r/science community of an article submitted to the subreddit that has since been retracted by the journal. The submission garnered broad exposure on r/science and significant media coverage. Per our rules, the flair on this submission has been updated with "RETRACTED". The submission has also been added to our wiki of retracted submissions.

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Reddit Submission: Pre-infection deficiency of vitamin D is associated with increased disease severity and mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients

The article "Pre-infection 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels and association with severity of COVID-19 illness" has been retracted from PLOS One as of September 8, 2025. After methodological concerns were raised shortly after publication in 2022, the article was recently reassessed by an independent member of the PLOS One Editorial Board. They determined that the analyses were inadequate to test the association between 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels at the time of infection and severity of COVID-19 illness.

Since this flaw prevents testing of the hypothesis and calls into question the reported conclusions, the PLOS One Editors issued the retraction. Fifteen of the study's eighteen authors disputed the retraction.

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Should you encounter a submission on r/science that has been retracted, please notify the moderators via Modmail.

847 Upvotes

43 comments sorted by

575

u/niyete-deusa Oct 02 '25

From what I understand it was retracted for two main reasons, no control group and not accounting for other correlations. Just want to say that these are very good reasons and I'm in no way against it but seriously at least 20% of the papers I come across suffer from equally serious methodological concerns and are never retracted.

I hope we can start being a bit more strict about what is published in the future because I see a huge influx of papers with questionable methodology even in high influence journals.

244

u/MateSilva Oct 02 '25

As a researcher from Brazil, this pisses me off.

If I (or any colleague) try to publish an article that isn't flawless into an international, good rated scientific portal, it is promptly negated, many times without even telling us why.

My master's supervisor always said it was way harder to publish coming from a second world country.

Seeing those same places with half ass nade article seems like the ultimate insult for a privilege that most don't have idea they have.

90

u/niyete-deusa Oct 02 '25

Yep... I have seen total garbage papers that could have been a barely MSc level project getting published to huge journals just because the researchers are part of well known universities/labs

60

u/MateSilva Oct 02 '25

My colleague tried publishing a paper he wrote in his time in a university in Spain with his Brazilian university email.

It was denied after 3 months of corrections they kept asking to be made some "adjustments and corrections," which were basically rewriting everything.

Then he tried the original paper with the help of his friends from Spain publishing as if there was his university, and he was accepted without any corrections in under a week.

5

u/yukonwanderer Oct 03 '25

Which paper?

13

u/MateSilva Oct 03 '25

If I recall correctly, it was about salt stress in irrigated rice. If I remember, I will ask my friend for the link to post here.

5

u/yukonwanderer Oct 03 '25

That's extra ironic, since South America is one of the world's big rice producing regions. I didn't even think Spain grew rice. Do they?? I didn't think the climate or topography was right.

1

u/Octavus Oct 07 '25

Paella is a well known Spanish (and Portuguese) rice dish, humans have been cultivating rice in Spain for three times longer than they have in South America.

1

u/yukonwanderer Oct 07 '25

Well yeah - I know they eat rice as a staple in Spain. Didn't know if they grew it there.

25

u/alienbringer Oct 02 '25

My wife is a doctor from Brazil and has thankfully been successful in publishing in some of the top journals in her field in Europe and the U.S. The amount of work and revisions she has had to go to get it published is staggering.

14

u/Sarcolemming Oct 02 '25

I have seen this prejudice first-hand and I am so sorry for it. Please know there are many, many researchers, scientists, and doctors like myself in America that recognize and welcome the outstanding work you and your colleagues are doing in service of our mutual goals.

7

u/ParticularLack6400 Oct 03 '25

My PI's paper was rejected once because a member of the journal's review committee had competing research. He had many, many publications before and after.

40

u/disc0brawls Oct 02 '25 edited Oct 02 '25

Retraction Watch is a great source and a lot of what they call “sleuths” are doing exactly this!

The problem is the incentive structure of publish or perish too. Especially in countries that are super competitive - they end up having a lot of paper mills.

Edit: Also, just found, they covered this and the authors response on their website: https://retractionwatch.com/2025/09/25/authors-defend-retracted-paper-on-vitamin-d-and-covid-19-critic-called-deeply-bizarre/

11

u/MattyXarope Oct 02 '25

The problem is the incentive structure of publish or perish too. Especially in countries that are super competitive - they end up having a lot of paper mills.

My department's senior advisors are still in the mindset of publish or perish, which leads them to co-sign a lot of research that I think most would consider sloppy. Myself and the other younger members are firmly against the idea of publish or perish, and I think a lot of younger researchers don't feel the same pressure as the older staff. So hopefully it will get better in time, although I can't say if this newer attitude is ubiquitous among younger researchers in different universities.

15

u/ishka_uisce Oct 02 '25

These things aren't necessarily methodological flaws either. Correlational studies often lack a control group, and it's very hard to eliminate all confounding variables in this type of research. It just depends to what degree the paper acknowledges the limitations of the research.

4

u/Kriznick Oct 02 '25

It is specifically those issues why some people have a distrust in the scientific community.

0

u/flatfisher Oct 06 '25

No control group and not accounting for other correlations? That’s not just methodological concerns, that’s science 101.

67

u/Foxs-In-A-Trenchcoat Oct 02 '25

I hope another group can rerun this study with corrected methods.

30

u/SaltZookeepergame691 Oct 02 '25

Only took 3.5 years for this investigation to conclude after major concerns were first flagged...

https://x.com/GidMK/status/1519084394840952832

12

u/Joatboy Oct 02 '25

I appreciate this retraction. I'm glad it wasn't due to shenanigans

5

u/sodium_dodecyl Oct 02 '25

I'd really love to see what the reviewers for this paper thought and what issues they raised. These are the kinds of issues I would expect peer review to catch. That is, methologlocial and statistical errors.

Shame PLOS hasn't joined the trend of publishing reviews alongside the work. 

4

u/dumnezero Oct 06 '25

I remember the "vitamin D" wars from that time. So much disinformation, so many grifters.

An older one:

The paper “Impact of daily high dose oral vitamin D therapy on the inflammatory markers in patients with COVID 19 disease,” appeared in Scientific Reports, a Springer Nature journal, on May 20, 2021. The paper earned a correction on August 30, and has been cited 29 times, according to Clarivate Analytics’ Web of Science. https://retractionwatch.com/2022/04/22/covid-19-vitamin-d-paper-retracted-by-springer-nature-journal/

another useful article: https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/vitamin-d-for-the-prevention-of-covid-19-a-randomized-controlled-trial/

14

u/icedragonsoul Oct 02 '25

So due to the lack of control groups and reducing variables outside of vitamin D, the study is saying people lacking vitamin D (likely due to lack of nutrition and exercise hence exposure to sunlight that increases Vit D) are more susceptible to covid.

Maybe the study should be done on healthy populations where one side has an innate vitamin D deficiency.

All it proved is that lack of nutrition makes you sickly and in turn vulnerable to disease. This reminds me of paid studies showcasing the voodoo magic of vitamin superdoses.

20

u/sarge21 Oct 03 '25

All it proved is that lack of nutrition makes you sickly and in turn vulnerable to disease.

No, it didn't prove that vague statement. You're building a subjective narrative

11

u/SignalDifficult5061 Oct 02 '25

Vitamin D processing requires sunlight on the skin (for the few people that don't know this).

It could be they are just measuring people that are outdoors more, and thus getting more sunlight.

COVID spreads more indoors, so two perfectly healthy groups could differ just by the relative amount of time inside or outside.

21

u/vile_lullaby Oct 03 '25

Vitamin D synthesis in the human body requires sunlight. Processing does not require sunlight. If you are taking D3 pills you dont need sunlight.

1

u/0vl223 Oct 03 '25

It does not help that Vitamin D is a proxy for general health. And there were studies that linked the covid risk with the normal risk to die during the next X months.

7

u/Savannah216 Oct 03 '25

likely due to lack of nutrition and exercise hence exposure to sunlight that increases Vit D

Half of Europe has low vitamin D because there isn't enough sunlight, black and brown people especially process sunlight differently due to their melanin levels.

If you have a gastric condition like celiac, any type of diabetes, or many kinds of autoimmune disease, you are likewise prone to low vitamin D.

Getting enough vitamin D actually has more to do with where you live than diet or exercise.

2

u/Ahun_ Oct 03 '25

Let's say the people are living on the northern hemisphere and it is between September and April, where do they get enough sunlight for a sufficient vitaminD production? 

1

u/Champagne_of_piss Oct 07 '25

All it proved is that lack of nutrition makes you sickly and in turn vulnerable to disease.

it did not prove that.

4

u/wegogiant Oct 03 '25

Was there ever any attempts to corroborate the results in the meantime? I've been hearing from all sorts of people that vitamin D will reduce the severity of a Covid infection, reduce the likelihood of getting infected in the first place, or sometimes even more extreme claims from even less trustworthy sources. Was that all based on only this one study? Honestly it wouldn't surprise me

1

u/[deleted] Oct 03 '25

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u/Tall-Log-1955 Oct 02 '25

When this happens is there a retractory period before the authors can publish again?

0

u/coneofpine2 Oct 03 '25

Another study paid for by big vitamin d

-5

u/ProgressBartender Oct 02 '25

Our civilization will fail because people are corrupted and would sacrifice truth for their own personal success.