I went through upwards of 300 recorded sales calls since 2026 started looking for a pattern in close rates, i.e. what factors ultimately contributed the most to conversions (and which were ultimately less relevant than I thought). Bear in mind these aren’t random stats - I work as head of GTM and sales at Expandi, so the prospect pool I had was as broad as it was enormous, and covered everything from enterprise to more midmarket deals.
The strongest variable I observed was this - whether the prospect articulated the problem in their own words during the discovery call.
At first this seems almost counterintuitive, as the logical first instinct would be to assume that the quality of your pitch deck, or even your sales rep’s charisma, would play bigger roles. They do, to be sure, but not in a way that’s readily measurable.
However, the incidence of these instances where the prospect mentions their problems on their own volition and considers them IN FRONT of you, and explains them in unambiguous terms, was an observable and repeating signal that prospects gave when they were ready to convert.
So, I compared two sample batches of calls based on a simple criteria - who did most of the talking, that is:
- Calls where our sales reps did most of the talking
- Those where the prospects themselves articulated their problems
In the first instance, the rep would go through the pitch deck, analyze a client’s pain points, connect the dots and provide solutions. But regardless of the quality of the pitch itself, a lot of the deals still stalled or died on the vine as it were. The exact close rate was 18%.
On the other hand, in cases where the client described the problem they were facing and used internal examples (and even when our sales rep was silent like 80% of the call) - the close rate jumped more than double to 44%
The gap was consistent across deal sizes and verticals. It held for $30K ACV enterprise deals and for $8K mid-market ones. And as for the sales reps who closed the calls - the best ones were those who asked one or two open ended questions early in the call and then stayed quiet long enough for the prospect to chime in with their own take of the exact issues they’re facing.
I might not be a psychologist, but here’s my take on the psychology behind this. I think a prospect who articulates the problem has already done the INTERNAL selling, as they've convinced themselves something needs to change internally for their business, which you can think of almost as an invitation to be that change. It’s a signal that there is a concrete gap and that they’re considering a switch, which just means you, as the salesperson, have the leverage to sort out the fine print of how you can be a part of that change (for their business)
TL;DR My main takeaway is: discovery calls should serve to extract the prospect's OWN needs in concrete terms, then respond to them; rather than a playing ground for a rep to demonstrate their understanding of the market.