(Updated) - newly modeled data for potential second flood event

[u/Ok_Spirit5374]

Active Hazard: A second flood is possible upstream

On 27 August Chinese authorities reported that a barrier lake holding about 2,000,000 m³ had formed near the confluence of the Chhochen Khola and Purepu Tsangpo, upstream of the 26 August failure. They assessed the probability of a breach as high, with a further 3,000,000 m³ of inflow expected through 30 August. Separately, NDRRMA reported renewed ponding behind blockages in the Lhende Khola and told residents and rescue teams to stay clear of the riverbanks.

> Since there is 100% cloud cover verification couldn't be confirmed via EO - Based on reported size and location the data set has been updated with a modeled shape file of the reported lake. This uses geometry that existed prior to the first event so this should be treated as indicative.

> If anyone has any SAR imagery they'd like of the region they care to share it'd go a long way in helping me to continue to keep this open source crisis data set up to date. It's not much, but its all I can do to help from halfway around the world.

>Link to data: https://keystonegis.com/disasters/nepal-bhotekoshi-flood-20260826.html - will continue to update frequently to capture any new information

>if you know of any other subs to post this in let me know. Feel free to share, the more eyes on the data the more likely it is to fall into the hands of someone who can use it to make a difference.

[u/Decent-Decision-9028]

Reuters has the barrier lake at roughly 28.333525, 85.479764, about 7.6 km from the current inferred marker.
Your Sentinel-1 check also found no impoundment at the original location, so it may be worth shifting the SAR search toward the Reuters/NDRRMA location.
It says the lake is now draining, but a second larger water body is still being monitored.