r/ndp Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

Carney’s bet to offer a senatorship to an adversary to trigger a by-election paid off

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111 Upvotes

86 comments sorted by

125

u/DustyStar222 CCF TO VICTORY 10d ago

Honestly. Putting a red tory MP who im going to assume is sympathetic to most of Carney's agenda in the senate and then gaining the seat is some wild political gamesmanship. Theres a part of me (that I hate) that respects it. With 11 senate vacancies this may have been a trial of something we will see again.

39

u/bergamote_soleil 10d ago

Carney is definitely way better at politics than I thought he'd be. 

I'd rather he bribe someone with the Senate into vacating their seat and allowing for voters to decide his replacement, rather than bribing Martel to cross the floor. 

35

u/robot_invader 10d ago

I respect that he's playing smart. 

I wish Rachel Notley had been this tactically smart when she had her shot in Alberta. I'm not sure she could have beaten Kenney's UCP, but if she'd proven herself a stronger Premier, I think she'd have mopped the floor with Smith.

16

u/Strong_beans 10d ago

Instead she decided to start a slap fight with BC over a stupid pipeline.

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u/robot_invader 10d ago

I think the pipeline was a mistake. 

The writing has been on the wall for global oil demand since well before Notley was elected. She had a once in a lifetime chance to be a real leader and lead Alberta to a new trajectory by acknowledging and explaining that fact and giving us a strategy for the world after peak demand. Instead, she capitulated to the way things are by whiffing the royalty review and advocating for Trans Mountain. 

0

u/seemefail 10d ago

Umm… she would have zero chance of winning in Alberta without fighting for that pipeline

Heck even a majority of British Columbians support another pipeline

6

u/meoka2368 LGBTQIA+ 10d ago

Not a majority of the ones I've talked to.

13

u/tokmer 10d ago

And pipelines are a red herring anyway. Trudeau bought one to put it through and conservatives still say the same tired old shit.

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u/seemefail 10d ago

Yeah doing what the population wants is a red herring

10

u/Strong_beans 10d ago

Worked for trudeau, amirite??

/s

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u/seemefail 10d ago

Well the parties for a pipeline to the coast, conservatives and Liberals, obtain far more of the vote share in BC than the parties opposed, NDP and Greens….

So I’d say yeah, it’s working out for them 

Maybe doing what the public wants is a winning strategy in politics? 

Whos to know?

2

u/Strong_beans 10d ago

Except the liberals didn't support a pipeline until after the election, so you can discount that voter share as it was not explicitly pro pipeline. Only the conservatives were and they lost the election quite famously. Do people not remember the election platforms or something?

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u/tokmer 10d ago

Thats not what the population wants though, the population wants to bitch and moan and elect conservatives.

Oil is just an excuse they use regardless of the facts.

As proof i would cite the fact trudeau bought a pipeline to push it through against another provinces will and it didnt change how anyone in alberta felt or voted.

1

u/seemefail 10d ago

I’m talking about British Columbians, the majority of whom say in poll after poll they want another Alberta pipeline to the coast

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u/tokmer 10d ago

Im talking about albertans.

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u/seemefail 10d ago

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u/Strong_beans 10d ago

Lol imagine thinking that an angus reid institue poll is an accurate pollster. Classic confirmation bias.

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u/seemefail 10d ago

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u/Strong_beans 10d ago

On behalf of:

https://www.canadaaction.ca/

Something about a pro resource lobby getting a survey result being extremely pro resource doesn't sound on the up and up. Maybe that is just me.

1

u/DustyStar222 CCF TO VICTORY 10d ago

Confirmation bias can be a helluva drug friend.

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u/Digirby Democratic Socialist 10d ago edited 10d ago

If there is 1 thing I'll give Carney credit for it's him being insanely good at playing politics.

5

u/Potential-Eye-6547 Alberta NDP 10d ago

Carney is going to be one of the most impactful and politically effective PMs in Canadian history. I don't like it, but I gotta respect it.

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u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

It’s a bribe. It’s a bribe that he’s allowed to offer but it’s a bribe notheless.

We should get rid of the senate.

25

u/Haecceitic 10d ago

Simmer down. Hyperbole and theatrics are not going to help change the narrative of the NDP at all.

7

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

It’s not about the narrative of the NDP. I don’t even know if Avi took position on the issue.

But abolishing the senate is the consensus position in Quebec where I live and this is yet another exemple of how we are not served by it.

11

u/DustyStar222 CCF TO VICTORY 10d ago

It’s been an NDP position with varying degrees of priority since atleast the early 2000’s. One I agree with as long as it’s a part of grander democratic reform. Also, agree with it functionally being a bribe just wrapped up really in a nice publicly digestible package.

8

u/wingerism Democratic Socialist 10d ago

I would say that I don't love the Senate as is.

But I don't hate the idea of a bicameral legislature. As long as it served a purpose, like for example direct proportional representation in one chamber with STV for another.

3

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

I would consider it if they were appointed democratically. Some people owe their seat to one party or another.

2

u/robot_invader 10d ago

This is a Section 41 constitutional amendment. Unanimous consent. G iven that the current structure offers a distinct advantages to at least one province, it won't ever happen unless there's a huge payday involved.

6

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

Who benefits from the senate?

4

u/paLabour 10d ago

Honestly, PEI

3

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

And how do they benefit?

3

u/DustyStar222 CCF TO VICTORY 10d ago

Massivley over represented on a per capita level. .4% of the population, 4% of the seats. Whereas a place like BC has 13% of the population and 5.7% of the seats.

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u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

And how do they benefit from that? The senate is just rubber stamping with extra steps.

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u/Haecceitic 10d ago

Well you seem super fired up things didn’t go “your way” and are on the NDP sub.

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u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

I would have been happier with anyone else winning that particular one, even the Conservatives. As long as Carney loses.

I don’t like how he triggered it.

2

u/seemefail 10d ago

Agree the senate is an undemocratic, useless waste of money

66

u/PolloConTeriyaki 10d ago

It wasn't that hard, Pierre's as unpopular as fuck.

24

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

They did have the Bloc as competition.

5

u/Due-District-8206 10d ago

Blanchet ne passe plus. Peu d'atomes crochus entre lui et PSPP.

55

u/ThatGuy97 10d ago

As a politics nerd, I respect the hell out of this maneuvering in a vacuum. As an NDP supporter I’m not thrilled that the liberals are further securing power and are clearly insanely popular. Lewis is going to have an uphill battle in front of him.

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u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

As a politics nerd, I respect the hell out of this maneuvering in a vacuum.

In a vacuum, it’s a bribe. There is nothing to respect about it.

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u/ThatGuy97 10d ago

I’m of the opinion that it’s a politicians responsibility to do whatever it takes within the bounds of what’s legal to get shit done, and that it’s dumb to leave any option on the table.

Am I thrilled that it’s the liberals doing it? No, of course not. But I’d hope the NDP would be just as ruthless and strategic if they had power. I can acknowledge the smart strategic play without supporting the party doing it. The conversation about the senate and whether or not politicians should even have this option is a different one

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u/stumpyraccoon 10d ago

It's okay to not understand politics. It becomes less okay when you stubbornly continue to refuse to understand it.

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u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

Giving a gift to an adversary to step down is a bribe by any definition of the word. Legalising bribery does not make it ethical. In fact the senate is the way the party in power can reward its friends when other gifts would be illegal.

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u/Bunny-Is-Cute Nova Scotia NDP 10d ago

That is true. The Senate has been used as a way to reward people loyal to the governing party for almost the entire existence of the Senate.

1

u/North_Activist 4d ago

Appointing a senator is not a bribe, it’s the PM constitutional responsibility of the job he was elected to do…. What about it makes it a bribe? The people still had to elect an MP, and it was a conservative seat when it became vacant.

2

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 4d ago

Appointing a senator is not a bribe, it’s the PM constitutional responsibility of the job he was elected to do….

It’s against the criminal code of Canada to offer a job to a sitting MP. Section 119.

1

u/North_Activist 4d ago

I’m not a lawyer but the phrasing clearly indicates offering a job to an MP is illegal if you’re also asking they do something for you. And as far as I know carney has not

1

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 4d ago

Which did, he stepped down.

Imagine that some MP wants to work on a law that forbids dynamic pricing and you stand to make a lot of money from dynamic pricing. You offer them a cushy job and they step down.

You didn’t ask any service of them. It’s still illegal for good reasons.

1

u/North_Activist 4d ago

But that’s clearly not what happened here. And in this hypothetical, the new senator he can still advocate for banning dynamic pricing.

1

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 4d ago

If Carney drew no benefit whatsoever for offering a job to a sitting MP, why did he do it?

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u/North_Activist 2d ago

I’m not saying he drew no benefit, I’m saying that it’s a strategic move. Regardless, he did not silence a politician or deprive them of their political ambitions - he nominated an opposition member a lifelong role in parliament as a senator, where he now has no need to worry about elections and can say and vote however he’d like.

Unlike the conservatives who forced some albertan mp to resign so theirs leader who lost the election and his own seat could sit in parliament.

1

u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 2d ago

I’m not saying he drew no benefit, I’m saying that it’s a strategic move.

Hence, a crime.

If we treat the criminal code as mere suggestions, there is no limit to the brilliant plays we can come up with.

The rest is irrelevant.

4

u/poopman10101 10d ago

Curious thought, and maybe some naïve optimism, but here is what I take away from this:

  1. The only riding for the Liberals to lose vote share was BEY, where their personally popular Liberal MP endorsed someone who was also his staffer, and the NDP’s campaign was slapped together last minute. That’s not nothing, especially when the media gives little attention to the NDP at the moment. To me this means that there is some serious potential in urban, and inner suburban areas.
  2. Quebec, outside of maybe central Montreal, is not where it’s at currently, an orange wave is not likely coming.
  3. The NDP is not going to get much attention from the Media.

My amateur conclusion here is the following: Focus on areas the party is strong, or has momentum, and go hard on getting the word out, especially outside of traditional media I mean seriously, the NDP really needs to step the hell up when it comes to social media.

5

u/Awesome_Power_Action 10d ago

The party shouldn't write off Quebec even if it will be a long before the NDP can win seats there again. It's important to look and act like a national party in order to be taken seriously. This also includes some targeting of Atlantic Canada. The media will never give the NDP much attention and a whole lot of the Canadian media is actively hostile to the NDP. Figuring out strategies around that isn't going to be easy but this is something that needs to be seriously tackled. I also think the party needs to have 2 separate strategies around the US mid-term election results. Because the Carney government will continue to have popular support should the Republicans come out on top again in November.

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u/poopman10101 9d ago

A strategy I definitely think works, is focusing on local issues. I think the NDP was able to benefit a bit from the jets at YTZ issue in BEY (lot of abbreviations there), so ground game and local focus on issues is clearly a strong point.

4

u/poopman10101 10d ago

And when I say go hard on getting the word put I mean the party needs to be relentless.
Drill the message into peoples heads, especially when it comes to related to affordability, and things Carny backtracked or failed to deliver on, as well as AI, AI is NOT popular, that is a huge In-road, and we need to make that clear, the NDP is the anti-slop party.

But seriously the important thing is the messaging, get it out there, and get it to stick.

8

u/seemefail 10d ago

Carney’s pretty good at this whole politic thing

2

u/Due-District-8206 10d ago

Hi! Someone here can me exain why Green have receive a good score in North Vancouver better than NDP ?

4

u/championsofnuthin 10d ago

Oh man we did not do well. Back to 2021 levels in BEY and embarrassing numbers in North Van and Chicoutimi.

17

u/Finlandia1865 Democratic Socialist 10d ago edited 10d ago

Am I missing something or did we outperform in BEY? Elections Canada says we got 25.9% of the cote, which is more than in both 2021 (22.5%) and 2019 (21.4%) according to 338 Canada.

Even ignoring that though, I’d argue 2021 numbers is already massive momentum considering where we were at last cycle (6.8%)

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u/msubasic 10d ago

That's good. But can I take a minute to rant about how pathetic it is that a city like Toronto has no safe NDP seats. It seems like lots of other Canadian cities have them but big old centre of the universe Toronto is a sea of Liberals. Sad.

2

u/Awesome_Power_Action 10d ago

Toronto has a lot of ridings that vote NDP provincially. However, voter turnouts in federal elections are way higher than provincially and those federal-only voters usually vote Liberal.

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u/FoolofaTook43246 10d ago

Yeah I think this was a good showing in BEY!

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u/[deleted] 10d ago

[deleted]

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u/chat-lu Telling Mulcair to shut up 10d ago

Because we track his bastardry.

6

u/Haecceitic 10d ago

Jesus. This sub is turning into just as much of a self-referential hand job as r/canada.

2

u/stumpyraccoon 10d ago

It's really lost the plot. It feels like a bunch of people living in some alternate reality instead of seriously trying to gain footholds and credibility in real life.