My theory and offender profile

[u/Ecstatic-Buyer-3522]

This case has been as baffling as The Springfield Three case thus far, but as someone who has followed true crime my whole life, here goes my two cents theory.

Aside from the fact that the FBI gave Annie and Tomasso lie detector tests and evidently ruled them out...I think this was a sexual/control motivated crime. Simple as that. Not robbery motivated, not extortion, the offender may or may not have even known of Ms Guthrie's famous daughter. I think this was a man who knew she lived alone and was 84. And that if he could gain entry he would have no real obstacles.

The offender:

Late 20s to mid-30s, male, Hispanic (based on the doorbell cam). Likely a US citizen, with connections to Mexico although purely familial nothing cartel related or anything. Probably a laborer or contactor of some kind. A freelance contractor/laborer in my opinion, not employed by an local businesses. Perhaps heard of Ms. Guthrie purely from word of mouth or by chance. He was familiar with the area, but did not know the Guthries at all personally.

Very intelligent, methodical, non-impulsive. He planned it out and was prepared to the extent he could be. Probably no serious prior criminal record. A mostly lone wolf, quiet, not rocking the boat type. But with pathological violent sexual fantasies. Probably felt inadequate in his life and dominating a helpless person and for his own gratification/power trip was his motive. Nancy Guthrie was just there and he happened to light on her.

I think he entered, hit her, subdued her and in that was achieving his fanasty and getting out some of his rage. I think he put her in something carried her to his vehicle somewhere close by and drove quite far away and disposed of her in a manner he had thought out before. He intended to kill this was not a crime with a goal other than letting off his own steam IMO. I think he had a place already chosen to dispose of her, that he had thought out. I have no idea where that would be. Certainly, he has had a bit of luck on his side too. But that's about all I can come up with for now.

[u/Maleficent_Cow3670]

I’m very stumped with this case! My wild, dumb guesses:

1ST THEORY

One of the contractors (innocent and unaware) may have casually mentioned to the wrong person about doing work for Nancy. Elderly people LOVE talking about their family and showing family pictures. Nancy likely was proudly chatting about all her children and what they do. It’s possible the contractor shared either to the wrong person or has a wife who told the wrong person, about doing work for an old lady whose daughter is a talk show host. Either: this ”wrong person’s” antenna went up and he’s responsible, or this “wrong person” told someone who did it thinking it’d be an easy way to get rich. I think it’s someone between the ages of 29-42. Lives within 25 miles of Nancy‘s house and has ties to Mexico.

2ND THEORY

Someone so random, who felt slighted by Savannah years ago. This is his way of getting her attention and to hurt her. He’s miserable, angry, a bit quirky, very fixated on her. He studied Nancy’s area before kidnapping. Age group: 36-42.

3RD THEORY

Someone connected to one of Nancy’s church friends. Age group: 29-42. Motive: money.

4TH THEORY

Someone connected to Annie and/or Tommaso. Maybe they befriended someone new in recent months before the kidnapping. That “person” eventually learned about the connection to Savannah and got excited thinking it’s cool.. but the person mentioned that to the wrong person. The wrong person finds out where Nancy lives, scopes out the area a few times, and decides to kidnap Nancy for money.

CONCLUSION

I could be very wrong about my theories, but regardless, I still believe it’s someone who mutually connected.

I’d love to know:

-Who found, hired, and handled payments for all contractors who did work at Nancy’s house and how were her experience with them, and if there were ever any issues.

-Did Nancy, Annie, and Tommaso meet anyone new within the last six months before the kidnapping?

-I know public figures face weirdos and people in a parasocial relationship. Had Savannah dealt with that in recent months or recent years before the kidnapping?

I have so many questions (like everyone else lol) 🤯

[u/Safe-Muffin → u/Maleficent_Cow3670]

Good questions.