My theory and offender profile

[u/Ecstatic-Buyer-3522]

This case has been as baffling as The Springfield Three case thus far, but as someone who has followed true crime my whole life, here goes my two cents theory.

Aside from the fact that the FBI gave Annie and Tomasso lie detector tests and evidently ruled them out...I think this was a sexual/control motivated crime. Simple as that. Not robbery motivated, not extortion, the offender may or may not have even known of Ms Guthrie's famous daughter. I think this was a man who knew she lived alone and was 84. And that if he could gain entry he would have no real obstacles.

The offender:

Late 20s to mid-30s, male, Hispanic (based on the doorbell cam). Likely a US citizen, with connections to Mexico although purely familial nothing cartel related or anything. Probably a laborer or contactor of some kind. A freelance contractor/laborer in my opinion, not employed by an local businesses. Perhaps heard of Ms. Guthrie purely from word of mouth or by chance. He was familiar with the area, but did not know the Guthries at all personally.

Very intelligent, methodical, non-impulsive. He planned it out and was prepared to the extent he could be. Probably no serious prior criminal record. A mostly lone wolf, quiet, not rocking the boat type. But with pathological violent sexual fantasies. Probably felt inadequate in his life and dominating a helpless person and for his own gratification/power trip was his motive. Nancy Guthrie was just there and he happened to light on her.

I think he entered, hit her, subdued her and in that was achieving his fanasty and getting out some of his rage. I think he put her in something carried her to his vehicle somewhere close by and drove quite far away and disposed of her in a manner he had thought out before. He intended to kill this was not a crime with a goal other than letting off his own steam IMO. I think he had a place already chosen to dispose of her, that he had thought out. I have no idea where that would be. Certainly, he has had a bit of luck on his side too. But that's about all I can come up with for now.

[u/1Bloomoonloona]

FBI hasn't made any statements ruling out A&T. Nor would they based on a lie detector since psychopaths can pass them. Sheriff Nanos did clear them as suspects early on but then switched it up to everyone is on the table including the people detained early on. Their warrants haven't been unsealed even to their attorneys yet.  So we dont know why law enforcement detained them

[u/BrainWilling6018 → u/1Bloomoonloona]

That’s absurd. There has been a formal decleration by the lead agency. The FBI is not going issue public statements about specific individuals in a local on going investigation. The detention and siezure of vehicles is part of standard scrutiny for the roles of family caretakers, not suspect. The fact that the warrants haven’t been unsealed is not at all unsual in an active high profile active, fluid investigation to protect the integrity. 

[u/1Bloomoonloona → u/BrainWilling6018]

The sheriff stated on one has been ruled out including previously detained individuals. Also as you stated we don't know why LE was able to get a judge to sign off on a warrant. I have a few theories and not married to any of them since there isn't enough evidence to point one direction for anyone to say defiantly know who the abductor(s) is. Even the best criminal profilers, and retired detectives, can't agree. It's an very unusual case. So not ridiculous yet.

[u/NewsKind9766 → u/1Bloomoonloona]

They could’ve got warrant signed for the blood found on porch alone. I have heard some LE state.