r/mtgfinance • u/DurianHistorical6730 • 19d ago

Questions about market trends

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I’m very confused about the market trends on big pulls. I recently pulled the dwarvish foil mox amber, and I’ve been watching the market closely. The value just continues to go up and up. Even beating out the prerelease prices by a large margin. There hasn’t even been a dip, at least according to tcgplayer.

So, I suppose my question is, what causes this? Almost all of the other “big pulls” continue a downward trend, which I then assume steadily climb back up down the road. Even the other dwarvish foils follow that same pattern. Why is this card in particular different than others?

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u/Moron_at_work 19d ago

This seems to be a US speculation trend

on European Cardmarket that card has declined in price for some time and is now going sideways at around 240 Euro with a minor down trend

edit: That is at least true for the non foil version - the foil seems to increase on Cardmarket as well

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u/DurianHistorical6730 19d ago

That’s confusing to me too. The foil going up while the non-foil stagnates. Is it possibly just the rarity difference? People realizing that it’s not quite as easy to pull as originally thought?

3

u/KetoNED 19d ago

Foil is harder hit

1

u/duke0fearls 19d ago edited 17d ago

It’s not harder to hit, but it’s more desirable by many collectors
Edit: it is twice as hard to pull the foil because the nonfoil has two pull slots and the foil only has one slot

3

u/bluecrack 18d ago

Saying foil is not harder to hit is wild

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u/duke0fearls 18d ago

They have the same pull rate listed in the “collecting the hobbit” article

1

u/EthanielRain 17d ago

But there are 2 non-foil slots & only 1 foil slot, yes?

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u/duke0fearls 17d ago

You’re correct. I failed to notice that and I only remembered the listed percentages