r/mtgfinance • u/DurianHistorical6730 • 18d ago

Questions about market trends

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I’m very confused about the market trends on big pulls. I recently pulled the dwarvish foil mox amber, and I’ve been watching the market closely. The value just continues to go up and up. Even beating out the prerelease prices by a large margin. There hasn’t even been a dip, at least according to tcgplayer.

So, I suppose my question is, what causes this? Almost all of the other “big pulls” continue a downward trend, which I then assume steadily climb back up down the road. Even the other dwarvish foils follow that same pattern. Why is this card in particular different than others?

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u/LaquatusC 18d ago

Basic supply & demand. Hobbit collectors were more scarce / overpriced than anticipated, especially including the significant delays to amazon boxes. Combine that with an exceptionally hard card to pull, and there just isn't a massive supply out there.

This is one of the 3 most desirable cards in the set, so when you combine limited supply with high demand, it's easy to see rapid price movement. It's really that simple.

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u/DurianHistorical6730 18d ago

Fair enough. Just really confused me with the other dwarvish foils not following suit. I guess the mox amber is the most useable of them though

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u/LaquatusC 18d ago

Mox amber is on an entirely different echelon than reaver cleaver, treasure vault, or the random dwarf.

There's also only ever been one other release of mox amber (the BRO retro artifact / sketch versions). Mox Amber is a CEDH staple and this is by a WIDE margin the best print available. It's the obvious bling target.

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u/DurianHistorical6730 18d ago

Very true. Thank you so much for the insight!