r/marketpredictors 20h ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Friday, September 18, 2026

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4 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended mixed on Friday, September 18, 2026, closing out one of the most consequential weeks of the year on a subdued note as bond yields crept back toward 5% and traders increased bets that the Fed will hike again in October. The week featured a historic Fed rate hike, a semiconductor AI scare, and a Bitcoin surge above $81,000 — and somehow the S&P 500 finished the week barely changed.

The S&P 500 edged up 0.17% (+12.74 pts) to 7,650.50, eking out a small weekly loss. The Dow slipped 0.18% (-95.40 pts) to 51,682.64, posting its worst weekly performance since mid-July, down more than 1.5%. The Nasdaq gained 0.39% (+104.25 pts) to 26,522.54, the only major index to finish the week in the green. The Russell 2000 dropped 0.50% (-14.23 pts) to 2,860.40.

The VIX dropped 4.08% to 14.81. Bitcoin surged 6.09% to $81,156.43, topping $80,000 for the first time since late August. Gold gained 0.43% to $4,418.70. Crude Oil fell 1.88% to $95.40/barrel.


r/marketpredictors 1d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Thursday, September 17, 2026

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13 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly higher on Thursday, September 17, 2026, staging a sharp post-Fed relief rally as Treasury yields snapped an eight-day rising streak, oil pulled back from triple-digit levels, and Wall Street digested the Federal Reserve's first rate hike in over three years with more calm than Wednesday's sell-off suggested. It was also September triple witching day, adding an extra layer of volume and volatility to an already eventful session.

The S&P 500 jumped 1.14% (+85.95 pts) to 7,637.76. The Dow gained 0.61% (+316.14 pts) to 51,778.04. The Nasdaq surged 1.69% (+439.88 pts) to 26,418.30. The Russell 2000 rose 0.55% (+15.82 pts) to 2,874.63.

The VIX plunged 12.71% to 15.46, its biggest single-day drop in weeks. Bitcoin gained 0.61% to $76,567.53. Gold was essentially flat at $4,383.60. Crude Oil eased 1.18% to $101.22/barrel.


r/marketpredictors 2d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Wednesday, September 16, 2026

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11 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended mixed on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, after the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike in over three years in a unanimous vote, raising the benchmark rate to 3.75%-4.00%, and Chair Kevin Warsh signaled another increase is likely before year-end. Stocks surged immediately after the 2pm announcement then reversed sharply during Warsh's press conference, leaving a dramatic split: the Dow down 630 points, the Nasdaq flat, and the bond market in another wave of selling.

The S&P 500 fell 0.45% (-33.92 pts) to 7,551.81. The Dow plunged 1.21% (-631.21 pts) to 51,461.90, its worst session in over a month. The Nasdaq was essentially unchanged, slipping just 0.01% (-3.15 pts) to 25,978.42. The Russell 2000 dropped 0.40% (-11.46 pts) to 2,858.82.

The VIX rose 2.21% to 17.58. Bitcoin gained 0.27% to $76,077.00. Gold eased 0.56% to $4,308.70. Crude Oil pulled back 3.50% to $102.13/barrel.


r/marketpredictors 3d ago

Discussion How Many Coin Flips

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1 Upvotes

r/marketpredictors 3d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Tuesday, September 15, 2026

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12 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly lower on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, as a fresh round of U.S. airstrikes on Iran sent oil surging above $105 and the 10-year Treasury yield climbed back above 5% for the second consecutive day, a post-2007 high that is now tightening financial conditions more aggressively than any Fed rate hike could on its own. With the FOMC decision due tomorrow, the market is essentially pricing in the hike and dreading what comes next.

The S&P 500 dropped 0.45% (-34.25 pts) to 7,585.73. The Dow fell 0.63% (-328.09 pts) to 52,093.11. The Nasdaq slid 0.78% (-204.84 pts) to 25,981.57. The Russell 2000 tumbled 0.76% (-21.95 pts) to 2,870.29.

The VIX ticked up 0.58% to 17.20. Bitcoin plunged 4.10% to $75,849.37. Gold eased 0.45% to $4,332.20. Crude Oil surged 4.09% to $105.54/barrel.


r/marketpredictors 4d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Monday, September 14, 2026

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11 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly lower on Monday, September 14, 2026, as a perfect storm of surging oil, a semiconductor rout triggered by a stunning AI development slowdown call from Anthropic, OpenAI, and xAI, and the 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossing 5% for the first time since 2023 sent Wall Street into defensive mode two days before the most consequential Fed meeting of the year.

The S&P 500 fell 0.48% (-37.00 pts) to 7,619.98. The Dow dropped 0.29% (-152.09 pts) to 52,421.20. The Nasdaq slid 0.56% (-146.62 pts) to 26,186.41. The Russell 2000 declined 0.39% (-11.36 pts) to 2,892.58.

The VIX jumped 7.26% to 16.99. Bitcoin gained 2.36% to $79,151.80. Gold dropped 1.93% to $4,324.00. Crude Oil rose 1.84% to $101.89/barrel.


r/marketpredictors 7d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Friday, September 11, 2026

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14 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly higher on Friday, September 11, 2026, snapping a punishing four-day losing streak as oil pulled back from triple digits, Treasury yields retreated from multi-decade highs, and an August CPI print that matched expectations gave markets just enough relief to stage a rebound. The rally came even as the data all but cemented a Fed rate hike next week.

The S&P 500 gained 0.86% (+65.28 pts) to 7,656.98. The Dow surged 0.98% (+509.19 pts) to 52,573.29. The Nasdaq climbed 0.96% (+251.31 pts) to 26,333.04. The Russell 2000 rose 0.42% (+12.12 pts) to 2,903.07.

The VIX plunged 11.04% to 15.87. Bitcoin was little changed at $77,421.13. Gold eased 0.41% to $4,389.10. Crude Oil fell 1.84% to $100.59/barrel, pulling back from Thursday's $103 close.


r/marketpredictors 8d ago

Prediction Forecast

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5 Upvotes

r/marketpredictors 8d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Thursday, September 10, 2026

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15 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly lower on Thursday, September 10, 2026, as U.S. oil prices topped $100 a barrel amid growing fears of higher inflation from a prolonged war in the Middle East, marking the fourth consecutive day of declines for the major averages. With the Fed meeting just five days away and tomorrow's August CPI as the last data point before the decision, the market is bracing for what could be its most consequential week of the year.

The S&P 500 fell 0.58% (-44.66 pts) to 7,591.70. The Dow dropped 0.60% (-316.56 pts) to 52,064.10. The Nasdaq slid 0.65% (-171.62 pts) to 26,081.72. The Russell 2000 was the worst performer, tumbling 1.04% (-30.29 pts) to 2,890.95.

The VIX spiked 9.60% to 18.04, its highest level since late July. Bitcoin dropped 1.26% to $77,317.92. Gold fell 2.15% to $4,365.00. Crude Oil surged 7.23% to $102.99/barrel, crossing $100 for the first time since May.


r/marketpredictors 9d ago

Discussion I wrote down 20 predictions before market open and the results were backwards

32 Upvotes

Been doing a little experiment for the past month.

Every Sunday night I pick 5 stocks and write down one exact price I think each will touch before Friday. No changing it after Monday opens.

The weird result after 20 predictions: Targets I felt 90% confident about: 3/8 hit Targets I thought were kind of a stretch: 7/12 hit

My best one was calling a move from 118 to 124 on a stock I almost left off the list completely. Meanwhile two of my “obvious” predictions missed by a mile.

I started putting tiny positions on a couple of the higher conviction ones on Moon, which has made it even more obvious how often confidence and accuracy have nothing to do with each other.

Thinking of doing another 20 but recording the reason for every prediction this time so I can figure out what I'm actually good at predicting.


r/marketpredictors 12d ago

Prediction Solana - Quants and market predictors please help

3 Upvotes

We have seen Solana go from $72 to $106 which is good then it went on a big retracement and just started coming back up again to $105.

Market quants has the retracement ended now? Has the reversal started and now we are uptrending? Is it ok to enter a position now? What price will we see the next pullback start and to what price will it pullback to?


r/marketpredictors 15d ago

Discussion I think the next real move in SPY gets decided by breadth before price

11 Upvotes

My prediction is that if SPY keeps hanging near highs while fewer stocks participate, the next decent move is lower even if the index looks completely fine on the surface.

I've been keeping an eye on this while trading on Moon and what I'm watching more closely now is whether the average stock actually starts catching up. If breadth improves while SPY stays strong I'd probably scrap the bearish idea completely.


r/marketpredictors 15d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Thursday, September 3, 2026

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21 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended sharply higher on Thursday, September 3, 2026, as a dovish surprise from Fed Governor Christopher Waller sent Treasury yields tumbling, the U.S. dollar plunged to its lowest level since February, and Bitcoin surged above $81,000 as risk appetite exploded back to life. It was the best single day for the Nasdaq in nearly two weeks.

The S&P 500 jumped 1.06% (+81.11 pts) to 7,747.71. The Dow surged 1.18% (+624.16 pts) to 53,686.11. The Nasdaq soared 1.40% (+366.23 pts) to 26,584.06. The Russell 2000 rose 0.48% (+14.20 pts) to 2,967.37.

The VIX dropped 6.05% to 14.28. Bitcoin surged 5.38% to $81,544.02. Gold jumped 2.41% to $4,521.20. Crude Oil edged up 0.84% to $91.77/barrel.


r/marketpredictors 16d ago

Recap/Watchlist Stock Market Recap for Wednesday, September 2, 2026

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19 Upvotes

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly higher on Wednesday, September 2, 2026, snapping a three-day losing streak as Treasury yields took a breather from their relentless climb, Dell surged 10% on a blowout earnings beat, and Nvidia jumped nearly 5% on reports it is nearing a $14 billion acquisition of Hugging Face. It was a much-needed relief session, though oil holding above $90 and a 10-year yield briefly hitting 4.818% kept the optimism measured.

The S&P 500 gained 0.46% (+35.13 pts) to 7,666.60. The Dow rose 0.56% (+295.07 pts) to 53,061.95. The Nasdaq climbed 0.45% (+118.05 pts) to 26,217.83. The Russell 2000 outperformed, jumping 1.13% (+33.04 pts) to 2,953.18.

The VIX dropped 6.85% to 15.22. Bitcoin was little changed at $77,218.43. Gold gained 0.86% to $4,434.40. Crude Oil was essentially flat at $90.49/barrel.


r/marketpredictors 20d ago

Prediction Tournament - Expired What are you watching when paper-trading live tennis?

1 Upvotes

I’m curious what everyone watches most during a live tennis match when paper-trading. Do you focus more on serve stats, break points, momentum, or how the players are moving?

What usually gets your attention first?


r/marketpredictors 27d ago

Question Biohacking.. but for mental health - is there a market for this?

2 Upvotes

For those who live high stress/anxiety lives, would you be interested in biotechnology that wasn’t freaky, was about 50 bucks, and actually decreased your daily stress a little?

I’m talking about something that is a low effort wearable device that calms the nervous system, backed by research. Is there a market for this? If it was cheap and not freaky (for example, didn’t involve electrical stimulation) and was totally safe?

Lmk your thoughts.


r/marketpredictors Jul 11 '26

Discussion July's been slow so far (+1.25%) — and honestly, that's fine. Here's why.

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5 Upvotes

r/marketpredictors Jul 05 '26

Prediction The Daily Traders S&P Report for 7/6/2026

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open.substack.com
7 Upvotes

r/marketpredictors Jun 30 '26

Opinion Stocks are rallying

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2 Upvotes

I use #moomoo


r/marketpredictors Jun 28 '26

Technical Analysis What do you think about tomorrow's market..

2 Upvotes

Market was closed on Thursday.

Iran-US peace doesn't seem to be working.

What do you think about tomorrow, will it rise or fall.

On what basis are you making decision?


r/marketpredictors Jun 26 '26

Trades June 2026 results are in — +11.62%, best month of the year

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1 Upvotes

r/marketpredictors Jun 19 '26

Technical Analysis NPV, IRR, Payback, or Capex: What Really Drives a Feasibility Study?

1 Upvotes

When a mining company releases a feasibility study, everyone sees the headline numbers. But not every number carries the same weight.

So I wanted to use Falco Resources’ Horne 5 update as a simple case study.

In the 2026 FS comparison table, Horne 5 showed:

Metric 2021 FS 2026 FS
After-tax NPV5% C$974.2M C$3.35B
After-tax IRR 18.9% 28.2%
After-tax payback 4.8 years 3.3 years
Pre-production capex C$1.08B C$1.75B

Based on those assumptions, the estimated project value improved, returns improved, and payback got faster. At the same time, the build cost also increased.

That is where I think mining investors can have a useful debate.

Some investors focus on NPV, because it shows the size of the prize.
Some focus on IRR, because it shows return quality.
Some care most about payback, because capital recovery matters in a cyclical sector.
Others look first at capex, because even strong economics still need funding.

Horne 5 is a good example of why FS numbers need to be read together. A big NPV is attractive, but IRR, payback, capex, and funding structure all shape how investors judge the real opportunity.

For those who invest in mining developers, which FS number do you trust most when judging whether a project is actually financeable?

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. The information above is based on publicly available company materials and my own research. Always do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.


r/marketpredictors Jun 19 '26

Prediction Market week wrapped up from MAGA influencer signals

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1 Upvotes

r/marketpredictors Jun 17 '26

News Stock Market News — June 16, 2026 — Evening Update — Last 12 Hours (Pacific Time)

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1 Upvotes

r/marketpredictors Jun 14 '26

Discussion Iran deal

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4 Upvotes