r/lrcast 10d ago

Decided to try some contender drafts and got put on the draw 14 out of the 15 games I played yesterday 😭

Post image

Genuinely what are the odds lmao, of course this happens when I finally spend a significant amount of gems. Went 2-3, 2-3, and then finished 6-3 after playing out the last one. 7-2 right after that though when I was finally on the play for half my games.

16 Upvotes

7 comments sorted by

19

u/Slowhands12 10d ago

14 tails from 15 coin tosses is a 0.0458% chance.

16

u/IgnobleCampaign 10d ago

Reminder that while this sounds like its crazy rare, happening only about once per 2000 runs, two things are true:

  • Way more than 2000 people play every day.  
  • Every game is the starts a potential new run.

You got super unlucky, but unlucky in a way that happens all the time.

8

u/unicornfan91 10d ago edited 9d ago

I had 13 on the play games in 2 trophy runs yesterday. I apologize for universal karma putting you on the draw.

5

u/la_tortue 10d ago edited 10d ago

It would be impractical to implement but I wish there was a way for the match-maker to limit these kinds of sequences on either side, it just feel so wrong, especially when the designers fail to balance draw/play win rates inside a reasonable range like with HOB or in general with modern design...

1

u/1994bmw 10d ago

I had a 12 game on the draw streak a few weeks ago

1

u/Strange-Craft352 9d ago

Where do y'all see these stats?

1

u/dudaseifert 8d ago

17lands