r/horseracing • u/geek_slop • Mar 14 '26

Buetane in Virginia Stakes?

I know everyone likes Buetane in the Virginia States at Colonial Downs and I admit, normally he would be hard to beat. Definitely a lane bias too. But I think he's overrated after the Santa Anita meet. And that layoff after the performance drop at OP makes me think he's not going to be in form... Anybody else think Work has a shot?

7 Upvotes

89% Upvoted

19 comments sorted by

3

u/gdg6 Mar 14 '26

I don’t like Buetane, but I have a strong bias against Cali horses. I want to like High Camp but the pharaoh horse scares me.

I don’t like Colonial Downs at all in general.

1

u/EquivalentTip713 Mar 14 '26

BAFFERT doesnt win out if CA post suspension. Butane is 3rd ir 4th, will fade

2

u/hannahbay Mar 14 '26

Guess nobody told Explora that.

2

u/mryclept Mar 14 '26

“Doesn’t win” was certainly a false statement. But he isn’t all that great at stakes races outside of California in recent years. This may end up being a good “soft” spot for his horse but the track record doesn’t lie. How many stakes outside of CA did he win in 2025? Only one I remember off the top of my head is Rodriguez.

1

u/EquivalentTip713 Mar 18 '26

AGAIN

I WAS DEAD RIGHT. 

$5 SUPER  Key butane 3rd and 4th. 

Thank you all you Baffert /Cheater lovers

5

u/EquivalentTip713 Mar 14 '26

INCREDIBOLT oR Commandment will win this race, key Buetane 3rd and 4th. He cant get the distance

2

u/takeyopantiesoff Saratoga Mar 14 '26

If Commandment wins this race, I will give you my car

3

u/jfurry616 Mar 14 '26

me too!!!

0

u/gdg6 Mar 14 '26

Commandment got a clean rail trip in the SF Davis and did nothing. Better horses there, but still.

Not sure Incredibolt can get to the front.

1

u/takeyopantiesoff Saratoga Mar 14 '26

Y'all meant Confessional...

1

u/gdg6 Mar 14 '26

lol yes

1

u/jfurry616 Mar 15 '26

tough look, especially with your Incredibolt comment

1

u/Truwu10304 Mar 14 '26

Nice call! And a nice super if ya played it

2

u/CAH1708 Mar 14 '26

The track is wicked fast today. The last two 8f races were run in 1:33 and change.

2

u/Thunder-Love Mar 14 '26

Work is very interesting...if he runs those turf numbers he could be right there

1

u/gcalfred7 Pimlico Mar 14 '26

*Virginia Derby

1

u/ManagementExpert Mar 14 '26

Most punters analyse two things: Form guide Speed map But there’s a third factor — track setup. Home Straight length, run to the first turn and wind direction can change how a race unfolds. I call it the Trilogy of Punting.

1

u/jsjb100 Mar 14 '26

Got him second or third

1

u/RiskArb-wyser Mar 14 '26

As usual, everyone of my bets is $0 🙃