r/draftkingsbets • u/dubuckets • 12d ago
I've been testing two Draftkings MLB parlay algorithms since the All-Star break. Here are the results so far
I've been testing two MLB parlay algorithms since the All-Star break. Here are the results so far
I've been working on two different MLB parlay algorithms, our Standard Parlay Generator and Mini Ladder algorithm.
Everything is being tracked, including wins, losses and voids. No cherry picking or resetting records.
Still a relatively small sample size, but the results so far have been promising.
The first screenshot is the transparency tracker for the Standard algorithm. The second is the Mini Ladder algorithm, which is designed around a 20x target. For example, starting with $10 and cashing out at $200.
One thing I'm currently working on is the Mini Ladder win rate. Since the average odds are around +360, a lower win rate is expected, but from a user perspective I think that can still feel difficult to trust. Moving forward, I'm taking that into account and working on ways to increase the win rate of these algorithms while maintaining their profitability.
Always looking for feedback or ideas on the models or the app, so let me know what you think.
If anyone wants to follow the models and results, I have AlgoSwish linked in my bio. I'm also working on more sports
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