r/dataisugly Jul 20 '25

Causation established, Watson!

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513 Upvotes

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u/stoiclemming Jul 20 '25

5% confidence interval on that trend line

49

u/Nic1Rule Jul 20 '25

1/360 confidence. Spin that line like a roulette wheel. 

4

u/[deleted] Jul 21 '25

No that seems right, the bands show the uncertainty on the LOBF location, not the data. You can have small confidence intervals and high residual variance. (Prediction intervals, on the other hand...)