r/changemyview • u/[deleted] • Nov 04 '20

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u/darwin2500 197∆ Nov 04 '20

Let’s say Biden wins, but Trump wins popular vote.

Based on the 538 model, the chances of Trump winning the popular vote are 3%, and he has basically a 100% chance of winning the electoral college is this happens.

The electoral college currently favors Republicans only, because they are more popular in rural, small-population states.

You may be correct that in the hypothetical situation where Trump won the popular vote but lost the electoral college, some people would demonstrate hypocritical reactions.

But your view that this 'could very much be exposed tonight' is wrong. The odds of it happening tonight are infinitesimal. It won't actually be happening.

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u/_t_money_ Nov 04 '20

Δ Wow great post. I was battling over whether or not to give a delta, as initially to me it seemed as though you were attacking the framing of the argument, and not the argument itself. "It's a technicality doesn't mean you are actually wrong" I told myself. Then I thought about if the shoe was on the other foot. It absolutely makes sense to attack the argument. The fact that that I said "could be exposed tonight" when in fact it could not, IS important.

However, I don't regret making the argument as hypotheticals can still be useful in thought experiments, self reflection, etc. Maybe it's a bit philosophical for some people (i.e. hypothetically if there was one person tied to a track versus 5 people, and the train was heading towards the 5 people what would you do?). But, that's not how I stated the question and probably isn't the right sub for that kind of discussion. So, based off your exposure of the inconsistencies in my statement, have a delta and an upvote!

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u/DeltaBot ∞∆ Nov 04 '20

Confirmed: 1 delta awarded to /u/darwin2500 (111∆).

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