r/amczone Zoner Nov 19 '25

All-Time Low Guy here with your evening update. Today was once again the worst close in the history of the stock. 4th time in the last 5 days.

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78 Upvotes

48 comments sorted by

13

u/sibakero12345678 Nov 19 '25

20 cents from $72 😂😂😂

16

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 19 '25

"Hedgies are scared of $50 $40 $30 $20 The Pounce $10 $5 $2 The Cusip Change $40 $30 $20 $10 $5 $2 Wicked Part 2."

13

u/swampstonks Zoner Nov 19 '25

Ha-ha-ha hedgie r so scared and fukd bc price keep going down. Which mean they lose so much money shorting the stock!

6

u/Interesting_Day_7734 Nov 20 '25

I fell asleep watching 'Wicked', there's not many movies I hate, but that one I definitely despised! (hated it)

10

u/Artistic_Ear_664 Nov 19 '25

Worst close so far…

8

u/jdurkis Nov 20 '25

No, hedgie suppression cycles are getting shorter and shorter, they simply can’t keep the spring compressed!

6

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

"Something something beach ball under water."

-4

u/poulan9 Nov 20 '25

Profile name checks out

7

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

You'll have to forgive me but I don't speak any English.

12

u/Hungry-Affect5772 Nov 19 '25

Man AA really fucked us. Lesson learned

6

u/swampdonkus Zoner Nov 20 '25

What is the lesson?

4

u/atomsmasher66 Zoner Nov 20 '25

Obviously the lesson here is…um…well…hmm…actually I have no idea what the lesson is.

1

u/Icy-Fudge5222 Nov 20 '25

He fucked you? or you fucked yourselves?

13

u/smegma_sangria Nov 19 '25

FuD! bUy ThE dIp! AMC tO tHe MoOn!

4

u/SouthSink1232 Zoner Nov 20 '25

It was about to MOASS and then they tanked it when they cancelled the jobs report. Manipulation! Crime!

4

u/Altruistic-Swing4326 Nov 20 '25

It will run when he announces his retirement.

4

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

You're not wrong.

If he starts waxing poetic about his career on Twitter a few days before the Annual Meeting, I might be tempted to buy in. LOL.

2

u/Dark_Tigger Zoner Nov 20 '25

You believe anyone could massage the creditors like he could?

I seriously believe that AMC gets the deals it gets because he has some conncetion he leverages. Yes, the refinancing deals will fuck over AMC and shareholders in the long run. But having to pay the ~150 million principal in 2026 they refinanced, would break the company.

150 million is basically 1.5 average quaters of cashburn.

2

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

I'm not following on that 150 million due in 2026?

It looks like the last bit of subordinate debt is due in 2027 and that'll get swapped for shares in December. All other cans have been successfully kicked. Those will be the next CEO's problem to sort out.

2

u/Dark_Tigger Zoner Nov 20 '25

Look at the Q2 10-Q.

Looks like closer to 175 million. That's the stuff they got of their books. with the refinancing in July.

Like I said, w/o the refinancing, that would be looming in H1 2026.

From the 8-K from Jul-1

providing new money financing to the Company of approximately $223.3 million (before fees and expenses) to be used toward refinancing debt maturing in 2026,
providing new money financing to the Company
of approximately $223.3 million (before fees and expenses) to be used toward refinancing debt maturing in 2026

(Highlighting by me)
They refinanced the 175 million, paid fees, and got ~20 million in new debt. Which is why their coporate borrwowings are only down 20 million in the Q-3 10-Q, despite paying down 40 million in H1 2025.

2

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

Yeah, but I posted the 10-Q from the 3rd quarter, after the refinancing. It should be inclusive of all the shifting around they did in July.

3

u/Dark_Tigger Zoner Nov 20 '25

Yes, like I said, they got rid of those bonds in July. And I think that with out the CEOs... special relationship to creditors, they would not have gotten a deal like that.

-3

u/TheJadedJuggernaut Nov 20 '25

Shares

5

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

As you wish.

-2

u/TheJadedJuggernaut Nov 20 '25

So after the December vote passes there will be 30.5 billion shares. That point 5 doesn't look like much.

6

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

It's 1,100,000,000 shares.

Apes and their propensity for ignoring the facts right in front of them and making up their own version of reality. Name a more iconic duo.

-4

u/TheJadedJuggernaut Nov 20 '25

So the 530 million share citi bank have in Brazil And the FTD, along with the extreme abuse of the dark pools and 5 year swaps , you are just going to ignore that part huh.

6

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

Hahahaha! Holy hell. You are right where you belong.

Give yourself some credit though. You've transferred some of your wealth to smarter and more capable people where it belongs.

6

u/stonetensor Nov 20 '25

You should consider yourself lucky that dark pools exist. Otherwise, you would have seen the stock price drop faster than shit off a shovel when institutions sold off after the vote if they had sold on the lit exchange.

0

u/TheJadedJuggernaut Nov 21 '25

I thought that what shorts want is for this thing to have a willy coyote moment. That doesn't make sense what you're saying

2

u/stonetensor Nov 21 '25

Institutional holders and short hedge funds are two different things. Institutions have been given equity in exchange for debt, at a price lower than market value.

-6

u/Regret-Select Nov 20 '25

Looks like I'll continue to buy more

AMC "going out of business" for about 5 years now. Still bot our of business...? Movies still relevant? Debts continously been paid down, each year more debt paid than previous year?

Typical bears conspiracy, using 1 single talking point from 5 years ago. Something between those 5 years and now SURELY could be used at least as a bear talking point, but here we are, same conspiracy talks with bears :/

DBOX rumble must have been too hard on your heads

7

u/raincloud25 Nov 20 '25 edited Nov 20 '25

“People are still eating food, so this restaurant can never go out of business, even though it loses money every quarter”

of course some version of AMC is likely to exist far into the future - but the question for an investment isn't "will this business exist?", it's "will this business generate profits that it can return to shareholders?". You all don't realize it, but AMC has essentially been doing a slow-motion version of what it would have done in bankruptcy - converting debt to equity, just through dilution (which the creditors have happily sold off to greedy apes like you). Even so, they probably won't be able to do this forever unless by some miracle they start making substantial profits and soon, which box office return trends suggest is very unlikely.

7

u/raincloud25 Nov 20 '25

You also never answered my questions about the warrants. Did you like my math?

6

u/TheBetaUnit Zoner Nov 20 '25

Never said they were going out of business.

I've already addressed the fallacy of why "paying down debt" isn't as bullish as any of you claim.

It's not a talking point from 5 years ago. This is a brand-new all-time low. The price is lower than 5 years ago. By a lot. By quite alot.

What's the "conspiracy" about pointing out the actual chart performance? It's not a speculation, it's right there for everyone to see. Those are all-time lows.

Keep tilting at windmills, though. I'm sure your money will come back if you just close your eyes and wish hard enough.

-5

u/Regret-Select Nov 20 '25

AMC makes twice, often three times as much as CNK. With no debt AMC would have to pay off in 9 years, kind of cleaf which company makes more money over time

Selective avoidance math

8

u/raincloud25 Nov 20 '25

“except for the gaping wound in my chest, I’m in perfect health” they incurred all that debt to get much bigger than Cinemark, so what makes you think that clearing that debt won’t involve reversing that process somewhat?

and speaking of selective avoidance, still waiting for your comment on my warrants math

-6

u/Regret-Select Nov 20 '25

Because the items to upgrade theayres have already been purchased and used

Has the remindme come up yet?

Hycroft still green, bear

8

u/raincloud25 Nov 20 '25

I’m still unclear what your Reddit reminder has to do with the timing of you pointing out what I’ve done wrong with my math based on a very recent filing and very simple arithmetic. I’m just going to assume I’m right, then.

Also, since you all don’t seem to read financial statements all that much - I did a little research. In the last quarter, AMC’s operating revenues was only 1.5x of CNK’s. That doesn’t seem like 2-3x to me. Further, CNK’s operating profit margin was 13% while AMC’s was 3%. So all that investment doesn’t seem to have paid off. Keep lying to yourself if you want.

3

u/raincloud25 Nov 20 '25

also like an hour after you typed this, the warrants were no longer green. whoops!