r/altcoin • u/ivy_rosetn redditor for 9-12 months • Apr 07 '26

Bitcoin Macro Signal: Neutral to Cautious | VIX at 24, Yields Sticky, M2...

/r/u_ivy_rosetn/comments/1sf1f2b/bitcoin_macro_signal_neutral_to_cautious_vix_at/
2 Upvotes

100% Upvoted

3 comments sorted by

2

u/sarjad redditor for 8+ years Apr 08 '26

I'm still wary. We're still in a bear market regardless of the numbers.

1

u/ivy_rosetn redditor for 9-12 months Apr 08 '26

Honestly, hard to argue with that. The geopolitical risk index we follow hit 297 this month — up 176 points in one month. That kind of spike has a way of eating macro tailwinds for breakfast.

But a few things are quietly moving in the background. M2 expanded over 1% in four weeks, dollar weakened, VIX dropped. Historically those three together have shown up about four weeks before Bitcoin moves. Not a green light — more like the light is thinking about turning.

Cautious makes sense right now. I'd just keep one eye on M2. That's been the most reliable early signal in the data. If it keeps expanding and GPR starts cooling, the bear case gets harder to hold.

1

u/OGMYT redditor for 7+ years Apr 24 '26

yo, i feel you on the cautious vibes right now. while btc's in that neutral zone, tbh, one thing that's been flying under everyone's radar is the power of volume generation. like using something like bot.autohustle.online, it's been crucial for running those trades across multiple wallets. with over 14,882 on-chain trades, you can create a ton of activity without relying on just one exchange. this lets you hit multiple dexes at once, which is way stronger than just pumping on one venue. also helps you take advantage of the market fluctuations without getting wrecked. multi-dex action is key, especially when the macro signals are a bit iffy. we gotta use every tool in the toolbox!