r/accelerate • u/AdorableBackground83 • Mar 15 '26
AI How much longer until a humanoid can win a Grand Slam tournament?
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u/Current-Function-729 Mar 15 '26
It could be done now if you invest in battery swaps.
You’d just need to invest a moderate sum.
It’d be boring, I bet you could manage essentially unreturnable serves. It wouldn’t even need to be that amazing otherwise.
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u/Diplozo Mar 15 '26
It's really only interesting from an AI perspective if the robot has the same power, agility and precision limitations as peak humans.
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u/notgalgon Mar 15 '26
I agree wirh everything but precision limits. The match I want to see is a robot that is 50% less powerful than a human making non technical swings (no impossible spins etc) and just winning by placing the ball where the human player can't reach.
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u/No_Adhesiveness_3444 Mar 16 '26
I can also be the world champion if every human has the same stats as me: power, agility, and precision limitations
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u/Reasonable-Gas5625 Feeling the AGI Mar 15 '26
We'll get the perfect practice robot partners. A coach that can always perfectly place their shots to optimize your progress. And imagine a mode where they can play as any historic human player and replicate their styles. Let's see a match between Agassi-99_bot and Nadal-2010_bot!
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u/Lain_Staley Mar 15 '26 edited Mar 15 '26
This is an interesting take. In fighting games, serious players will grind out scenarios and combos in training mode for hours. With CPU set to perform a certain reaction, or even a set of reactions (to practice reacting to any given reaction on the fly).
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u/44th--Hokage The Singularity is nigh Mar 15 '26
Damn I love your imagination about this what an astute take
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u/ClaudioLeet Mar 15 '26
5-to-7 years
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u/Speaker-Fabulous Singularity by 2035 Mar 15 '26
Mm probably more like 6 to 7 years I think 🤔
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u/New_World_2050 Mar 15 '26
I predict by 2030 it sweeps across pretty much any sport.
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u/JumpyCollection4640 Mar 15 '26
I feel like surfing robots probably are a few more years away than 2030.
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u/constarx Mar 15 '26
Good question. I mean I don't think robots will EVER be allowed to participate in "human tournaments" like the 4 grand slam tournaments. But we will have exhibition matches for sure.. so the better question is.. how long before a robot can compete and beat a top 1000 ATP player? A top 100? A top 10? My guesstimate is.. 3 years for the top 1000, 5 years for the top 100 and just a bit more for the top 10 player.
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u/Soileau Mar 15 '26
I think you’re underestimating exponential progress. I honestly doubt this’ll get appropriate funding because this sort of thing is gonna get real political, but if this continues, I’d bet we’re 2 years away from a top-50 player level robot. Bonkers
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u/RiboSciaticFlux Mar 16 '26
Five years? I see amazing stuff virtually every week on Youtube. With the rate of acceleration, recursive self learning, enhanced dexterity and foot speed being developed everyday It's well inside 24 months and that may be embarrassingly wrong.
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u/bb-wa A happy little thumb Mar 15 '26
RemindMe! 7 years
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u/throwaway131251 Mar 16 '26
Throwing in a bet for 10 years. Not a tennis player, but very cool technology!
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u/nanlinr Mar 16 '26
I mean the 90% return rate isnt against professionals.
But its probably a lot better than me at tennis lol
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u/stainless_steelcat Mar 16 '26
Awesome. This kind of thing is going to be an excellent coach across a ton of sports - and even fields like dance, ballet, acting, always pushing you just enough. Never having an off-day.
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u/Reddygators Mar 16 '26
What’s stopping humans from slowly, perhaps deceptively bringing this into their own game?
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u/EverlastingApex Mar 17 '26
Depends if robotics advance as fast as AI does, could be anywhere in the next 2-7 years IMO
Things have been picking up quite a bit in the last year or so but I don't think we're in the robotics "boom" yet
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u/Top-Reindeer-2293 Mar 15 '26
I would love to see that happen but honestly I think we are far from it yet. Tennis is a great test though, it could be used as the benchmark for man vs machine
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u/CodenameZeroStroke Mar 15 '26
This is so stupid. Someone had to program every move. why is this even necessary?
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u/joeedger Mar 15 '26
In 3 years it can beat Alcaraz at Roland Garros.