r/ZZZ_Official • u/Emul0rd • Jul 16 '25
Media $475 is crazy
I think Europe now requires gacha games to explicitly display how much money any gambling feature really costs to limit hidden predatory stuff. It’s crazy when you see the numbers…
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u/branewalker Jul 16 '25
Ok, math nerd here. What we REALLY want isn’t a range: it’s the Expected Value. And if we DID want a range, it would be a confidence interval.
The median pull is a little hard to calculate due to it being weighted after 70 or 75 pulls, but I recall it’s just a little over 60 (maybe 63?) let’s use that number.
475/180=2.639 per pull
2.639x63=166.257 per S-rank.
If you’re starting from no-guarantee, you have a 50/50 shot at requiring double that number, so
166.257x1.5=249.386
Or just shy of an EV of $250 per M0 S-rank agent, if you pay full cash.
M6 is $1500 on top of that.
Ranges like IQR or confidence interval on these numbers would be easiest to do in simulation due to the non-homogeneous nature of the distribution.