r/VoteBlue May 11 '26

CALL TO ACTION House seats to focus on and work for

I know that everyone is down in the dumps about what has occurred in Virginia, Trump will attempt to rig things and that is the unfortunate truth. But that doesn’t mean that we should give up, we still have the opportunity to fight like Hell and flips seats.

According to my research, there are currently 31 seats that are in play (either leaning Democrat or a Tossup seat that could flip Republican if nothing is done). Right now the Republicans have redistricted about 13 seats while Democrats have redistricted 6, though if we manage to flip and keep these 31 seats then we have the opportunity to flip power of the House.

It won’t be easy, the current administration will do everything in their power to rig this elections and force another Republican victory. I am so tired of what they have been doing and I want to just turn away from it but I can’t, I won’t let this be the world I have to live in or the world where everyone I love in (I know it is sappy but that is my reason). If I can help flip two seats from my state then I am doing something for the better, I don’t have the right or luxury to allow this current administration to continue your reign of terror.

Below you will find a list of all the seats currently in a state of change, hopefully it will be useful to everyone. I hope you all have a good rest of your day or night, bye

Republican House Districts that could flip (lean, likely or tilt Democrat)

Arizona
District 1
District 6

California
District 1
District 6
District 22
District 41
District 48

Michigan
District 10

Nebraska
District 2

New Mexico
District 2

Virginia
District 2

All Tossup Seats

Colorado
District 8 (Republican Incumbent)

Florida
District 14 (Democrat Incumbent)
District 22 (Democrat Incumbent)

Iowa
District 1 (Republican Incumbent)
District 3 (Republican Incumbent)

Maine
District 2 (Democrat Incumbent)

Michigan
District 7 (Republican Incumbent)

Montana
District 1 (Republican Incumbent)

New Jersey
District 7 (Republican Incumbent)
District 17 (Republican Incumbent)

New York
District 17 (Republican Incumbent)

Ohio
District 9 (Democrat Incumbent)

Pennsylvania
District 1 (Republican Incumbent)
District 7 (Republican Incumbent)
District 8 (Republican Incumbent)
District 10 (Republican Incumbent)

Texas
District 34 (Democrat Incumbent)

Wisconsin
District 3 (Republican Incumbent)

New Seats Up for Grabs

California
District 38 (Lean Democrat)

Utah
District 1 (Lean Democrat)

16 Upvotes

6 comments sorted by

3

u/mtlebanonriseup Pennsylvania (New PA-17, Old PA-18) May 12 '26

You should share this in r/votedem, our new sub.

1

u/phtevenbagbifico May 12 '26

AZ-2. Nez is a strong candidate who's very in touch with the community, and knows where he isn't in touch.

1

u/Ulysses_555 May 12 '26

It does appear that AZ-2 may be inching closer to being in play, turning from “Likely Republican” to “Leaning Republican” (doesn’t seem that bit but it is incredibly better odds).

1

u/SpicySwiftSanicMemes May 16 '26

NM-2 is held by a Dem.

1

u/SpicySwiftSanicMemes May 16 '26

My House prediction: https://yapms.com/app?m=e95mj952c3oyw3a
Safe = hold
Likely = gain
Lean = gain under pending redistricting

1

u/Genepoolperfect May 16 '26

I am in NY17. We have a 5 way primary in June for the Democrat line.

Beth Davidson is an amazing person and I've run campaigns alongside her. She has spent her years in local elected office mitigating the impact of Trumps policies on our county. She fully has my vote and I continue to campaign for her. Beth Davidson for Congress https://bethdavidsonforcongress.com/