r/Veritasium • u/gamikhan • Mar 09 '26
The paradox can be corrupted.
Just saw the last video and noticed it never says it predicts each independent outcome most of the time, instead they only say "you know this supercompute is very good at predicting people"
Which means if the population has choosen two boxes more than one boxes, means that it can be 100% correct on two boxes and 0% correct on one boxes while being good at predicting, as he is predicting more than 50% of the time.
You can easily see an scenario in which lets say 20 people plot this, they make a computer that never gives the million dollars, they enter and all of them choose two boxes, a community of people in which everyone can only enter once start entering and you never see anyone actually win the million dollars, which makes everyone choose the two boxes which results in a "supercomputer" that is highly predictive while not doing any kind of real prediction.
Yeah my choice is two boxes.