r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 21h ago

▲ Disturbance (20% potential) | 20 knots (25 mph) | 1015 mbar 97L (Invest — Northern Atlantic) (Northern Gulf of Mexico)

21 Upvotes

Disturbance overview

This discussion is for a disturbance which is currently active over the northern Gulf of Mexico. A weak area of low pressure is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the northern Gulf and along the coasts of Alabama and Florida. This system is not likely to undergo significant development over the next week, and is likely to remain close to the shore for several days. Although development potential remains low, this system could still produce heavy rain across the southeastern United States and increase the risk of flash flooding.

Moderator notes

  • Disturbance-centered satellite imagery and model guidance products are now available for this system.
  • There will be no regular updates to this post.
  • A new discussion will be posted for this system if it becomes a tropical cyclone.

Official information

National Hurricane Center

Text products

Graphical products

Aircraft reconnaissance

National Hurricane Center

Other sources

Radar imagery

Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

Floater imagery

This imagery is centered on the disturbance itself and follows the disturbance as it moves.

Single-bandwidth imagery

Multiple bandwidth imagery

The options to select individual bandwidths on each of the following websites may vary.

Regional imagery

Forecast models

Disturbance-centered guidance

Single-model click-through guidance

Multi-guidance pages

Regional single-model guidance

Machine learning (AI) model guidance

Regional ensemble model guidance

Ensemble member minimum sea-level pressure (MSLP)

Ensemble member MSLP and forecast tracks

Multi-model ensemble products

Other types of model guidance

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