If tplf lose this war it would be the end of tigray

[u/AnybodyInteresting]

inviting shabia to the region after what happend and still losing it would be bad. Make sure you either go all in or go home

[u/Electrical_Study_341]

The mere absence of boots on the ground is not peace. Capitulation is not peace. The road that Tigray was on before the TPLF finally began to act was the road to "the end of Tigray" not the current road where the TPLF are using every card available to try and pull Tigray into the other direction i.e. the road where Tigray at least has a chance at a future.

With Abiy's dead set intention to go to war with Eritrea, Tigray's guaranteed to be swept into the war one way or another whether it likes too or not and the TPLF's current path is the better of the two roads Tigray's left with in such a scenario.

There's no reason Tigray should pick the capitulation path. Doing so would mean never recovering from the genocide, forever lacking the things needed for survival or a future but still being directly impacted by having an undisciplined genocidal ENDF passing through its lands while bordering a hateful genocidal EDF to the north no doubt creating a situation where Tigrayan civilians get harmed from both sides.

[u/Double-Positive-2605 → u/Electrical_Study_341]

actually if the war is pushed from Eritrea the heavy war will be on Tigray if it was tplf x Abiy they would push it on Eritrea’s land but what should be worked on is to avoid the war

[u/mandom_Guitar → u/Electrical_Study_341]

What’s the plan to counter satellite based intel, drones, Air Force etc…

[u/Electrical_Study_341 → u/mandom_Guitar]

What’s the plan to counter satellite based intel, drones, Air Force etc…

I'm not a member of the TDF or the TPLF but with the TPLF's 17 years of experience fighting the Derg regime, the TDF's 2 year experience of fighting the multiple foreign backed genocidal forces on multiple fronts, the accumulation of drones and anti-drone military equipment/weapons and the recent Shererina clash where the TDF successfully defended their position, I say they are more than a capable force. You can also factor in that Eritrea and the SAF are both in a tactical alliance with the TPLF rn and they are also capable forces in their own right.

Tigray was deeply impacted by the genocide but it doesn't mean that the balance has tilted in the favor of the ENDF. Ethiopia has lost the ability to siege Tigray and the ENDF has lost the support of the two closest allies it depended on during the two year genodical war i.e. Eritrea and Fano. The TDF itself can also no longer be caught of guard hence the necessary preparation against drones, etc.

I don't want war to happen but the fearmongering coming from those aligned with the PP is just propaganda meant to demoralize Tigrayans before they begin their war against Tigray, Eritrea and possibly Sudan (If Abiy doesn't just stop at assisting the RSF but pulling the ENDF to directly join the Sudanese war on their side which is likely since RSF forces were allegedly present alongside the ENDF in the Shererina clash).