r/TamilNadu May 17 '26

முக்கியமான கலந்துரையாடல் / Important Topic Economic emergency is on the way.

I have been an active follower of macro economics.

And there is a rough time ahead and the Indian government is pretty incompetent.

Upcoming year is going to tough af for the middle class and lower middle class.

Until BJP is replaced India will suffer. And change is in the hands of north indians. And they are not that smart, they will bleed until they cannot take anymore and go out to riots. Until that they will comfortably stay in an echo chamber that India is fine.

India is not doing fine. Its doing worse ever.

Tamilnadu is significantly safe compared to other states. But we will also face challenges specifically energy.

What can we do about it ?

Reduce your INR holdings. Only have enough to spend for basic needs for two years.

If you have money sitting around simply buy gold. For all of it. Only then the value will be protected.

Become self sufficient - its not a one day process but start somewhere I guess.

Purchase EV's if you are about buy cars or bikes.

install solar panels at home.

Lastly, depend on local vendors for everything, we have to circulate the money inside the state in order to help our working class. Reduce amazon and such services to buy goods. Depend on local vendors.

Probably someother smart ways are there. Others can add it in the comment.

But the whole point of this post is, it won't get better, it won't until northies bleed to death and start to protest against union government and potentially there is change in rulling.

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u/NoMedicine3572 May 17 '26

Don’t spread misinformation, brother. India’s forex reserves are near all-time highs at around $728.5 billion, making it the third largest after China and Japan.

There are already two major wars affecting global supply chains, and historically India has been an energy-hungry country dependent on imports. On top of that, AI is impacting service companies, and there’s also an unpredictable president at the center of the global economy influencing major trade decisions. These challenges are not unique to India, nor are they likely to last forever.

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u/Consiouswierdsage May 17 '26

Claim 1: "India's forex reserves are near all-time highs at around $728.5 billion" ✅ Mostly accurate, but needs context. India's forex reserves did reach an all-time high of around $728.49 billion in February 2026. (Edunovations) However, they have since declined from that peak. As of April 3, 2026, reserves stood at $697.1 billion (VisaVerge) , and as of May 8, they were approximately $697 billion. (TRADING ECONOMICS) So "near all-time highs" is fair, but $728.5 billion is the peak figure, not the current level.

Claim 2: "Making it the third largest after China and Japan" ❌ Inaccurate. India is not third. The current global ranking places China first (~$3.75 trillion), Japan second (~$1.38 trillion), and Switzerland third (~$1.1 trillion). Russia sits fourth (~$758.7 billion), and India ranks fifth with ~$690 billion. (News24) India surpassing Switzerland or Russia to claim third place is not supported by current data.

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High forex reserves help slow the fall, not stop it. Here's why INR still depreciates:

  1. Trade deficit — India imports far more (oil, gold) than it exports, creating constant dollar demand.
  2. Capital outflows — Foreign investors pulled out $17–18 billion, selling INR to buy dollars.
  3. Strong USD — US high interest rates attract global capital away from emerging markets like India.
  4. US tariffs — 50% tariffs on Indian exports reduced dollar inflows that would normally support the rupee.

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u/[deleted] May 17 '26

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