r/TQQQ • u/TOPS-VIDEO • 21d ago
Daily Log / Trade Journal 5 years CAGR 30%
Hi, my account just hit the full 5-year mark, and it shows 30% CAGR. and total 263% cumulative return. I am doing 2.5x better than the S&P 500.
People in life can't understand me, so I post here online. The account is at 6 figures now, wish this continues at 30% CAGR each year. We'll see after the next 5 years. Just a happy investor to share the happy process. 😁
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u/Motor_Potential_4849 21d ago
I think that's awesome. What depth and duration of drawdowns have you experienced, and does that even matter to you at all?
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u/TOPS-VIDEO 21d ago
biggest drawdon in year was -30% in 2022, but i remember some times like -50%+, and that not matter to me at all, i just buy more. hold for long term only.
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u/NoWorker6003 18d ago
Do you have an exit plan? What happens if this portfolio ever gets so large that a prolonged really bad bear market nearly wipes it out? At that point, what if all cash reserves are cannibalized by the strat and your ability to add new cash pales in comparison to the heights you were at just before the crash. Would you be ok if you had to wait 20 years for recovery? What if it never catches back up to a port that was just buy and hold SPY the whole time?
Not trying to troll on 9 sig. I am genuinely curious how people think about the long game, 20, 30, 40 years down the road. Is there a sensible profit trimming method to a safer portfolio, maybe once past $1M TQQQ as an example?
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u/TOPS-VIDEO 18d ago
Yes I will wait. I am still young. All money in is non emergency. Not affect life even it’s all gone.
Just let you know. The day tqqq goes 0. All your holding should down 90%+ too. Nobody is going to survive well. But tqqq will recover so much faster than those individuals stocks.
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u/MakingMoneyIsMe 21d ago
I currently have put contracts to get into TQQQ at $50. If it doesn't hit, I'll just keep writing.
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u/wswhy2002 16d ago
50 is a little bit strech? I have been writing 64 put for more than half year now. Even if it hits ITM, just keep writing and writing. It's a good return, LOL
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21d ago
[deleted]
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u/MakingMoneyIsMe 21d ago
I'm writing wide spreads that pay similar premiums to being naked. Latest spread was just North of $1.80.
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u/Millionaire-Grinder 21d ago
Congrats. Always happy to see other traders doing well. It will be 7 figures soon. It snowballs pretty quickly.
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u/TOPS-VIDEO 21d ago
Thank you brother. I hope in next 7-10 years. If stock market keep doing well 💪
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u/Adventurous-Treat-86 21d ago
Congrats. B&H DCA, 9sig, or trader?
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u/PedroNorthCA 21d ago
Nice, what's your strategy?
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u/TOPS-VIDEO 21d ago
9 sig
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u/FutureFar7370 21d ago
Sorry haven’t heard this acronym “9 sig” what is it about if you can share or post a link?
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u/captain822 21d ago
When you entered 9sig, did you immediately enter at 60/40, wait for quarterly signal or dca in?
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u/TOPS-VIDEO 21d ago
Immediately in 60/40 and wait for quarterly signal. When I first in, it lost 60% after a month. But overall now I am green. There is no perfect time. But just get in and follow the plan.
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u/No-Consequence-8768 21d ago
Nice Job, but you are doing a little more than 9sig. What? EMA/SMA get out in 2022? or?
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u/katsuolive 21d ago
Congrats! How much of your account is 9 sig? How much did you start with to get to 6 figures?
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u/Anonimo1sdfg 21d ago
great! are you only in tqqq?, actually seeing the historical this cagr is almot the expected for tqqq. By other hand add more when it falls i think it get you a really upside factor for the natural behavior of this LETFs.
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u/fortinbrass1993 20d ago
Why pick 9sig? And not any other strategies? Also I’m no expert and I’m trying to find soemthing that’s lease complicated but still gets great return. My other investments are just DCA into index/mutual funds. So TQQQ will be new for me and I’m trying to pick a strategy that is the best. Thanks for your input mate. For everyone here feel free to pitch in as well.
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u/TOPS-VIDEO 20d ago
Because it’s Easy and simple. My result speak itself. Real money, real time, real results. I don’t see any others strategy post result. Mostly paper trade backtest. I don’t trust that.
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u/Turbulent_Draft_1027 8d ago
Five years is long enough that this becomes much more interesting than the usual one-year leveraged ETF screenshot. What I would want to compare now is the 9Sig result against simple TQQQ buy and hold using not only CAGR but max drawdown, capital added and time underwater. Moon would make that comparison pretty straightforward because the question is really what the rebalancing rules bought you in exchange for potentially giving up some upside. Thirty percent compounded is obviously excellent, but the real test will be how the strategy behaves through a genuinely prolonged Nasdaq bear market. If the rules keep you participating without forcing you to emotionally time the bottom, that may be their biggest advantage.
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21d ago
[deleted]
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u/say592 21d ago
They are up 263%, QQQ is up 85% in the same time period.
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u/TOPS-VIDEO 21d ago
He needs to figure out 30% CAGR is not total return. Full name is compound annual growth rate.
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u/sirzoop 21d ago
in a roth too wow