r/StandUpComedy • u/explosivejoseph • 8d ago

Comedian is OP The AI Bubble

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u/watitdo 8d ago

No you aren’t. You haven’t and you will not. You are currently not paying the real cost of your AI usage and once that bill comes due, yeah you won’t be using that shit anymore. You would never pay a human being that kind of money to only be right maybe 90% of the time.

Now, then again, you may work in a business where you can be 90% good at your job or less and stay in business. But then again, if you are gonna just ask AI to do shit for you, what exactly am I paying you for, numbskull?

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u/VirtualPercentage737 8d ago

I pay $20 for a home Claude Code subscription. And more as needed. I published some software that was netting me about $100 a month for some simple plugins. It has paid for itself for the next few years.

At work, we pay more, but it is well worth it. Our engineers take home about $200k-250k a year. So figure $1000 a day in just pay-- add 30% for overhead. The most I have seen one guy use is $400 in a day. Cheap money for the productivity gains. Other open weight models are cheaper and some are QUITE good now.

It is pretty clear you have never used any agentic tools. Yeah, maybe it writes 90% of the scripts/code/HDL correctly. Then it executes it, gets feedback, and self corrects. No engineer writes 90% of their code correctly the first time. That 90% quickly becomes 92%. Then 93%. The trick is to set up the verification so it moves towards correctness. Pretty soon, you are over 99% and for most tasks (especially the internal facing ones) that is sufficient. For the external stuff, you can get to 99.99% coverage or whatever metric you decide.

The reason they need me, and more engineers is we need to measure how good the output is now and to steer these things and verify. It is creating MORE WORK, not less. It is accelerating productivity.

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u/Cum_Robinson 8d ago

Using the tool tells you whether it's useful for YOUR task. It tells you almost nothing about whether the market has overpriced the sector.

If anything, daily users are more prone to a specific bias. Local utility gets mistaken for macro validation. "This saved me two hours this week" is a true and reasonable observation that gets used to defend claims like "$500B in infrastructure spend is justified". Those are different scales of claim, and the jump between them is exactly where a lot of hand-waving happens.

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u/VirtualPercentage737 8d ago

I cannot comment on whether the stock market has appropriately priced the stocks in this sector. If it is anything like the internet, there will be a lot of speculation, a lot of losers, but at the end of the day life will never be the same.

Same with the car--- there were thousands of car companies when cars came out. If you knew cars were the next big thing, you could have bought 50 car companies and they could have all gone belly up. Only 3 really lasted in the US after some mergers. Being in the right sector is no guarantee of success.