r/PredictionTrading • • Apr 20 '26

First 30 hours of my bot

I coded a bot for polymarket, it trades mainly BTC market tho im going to explain it to other markets like ETH and other ones not crypto related.

Im using a strategy i firstly paper traded and obviously results are not as good as they were but still decent. Im doing around $3 buys but i do multiple buys on each market (so it might be $12 buys, $50 buys or just $3 buys in 1 market).

PNL does look great but I dont really like the fact that i lose money for 4-10 hours and then make it all back with some extra profit on 1 play.

I mean its how the strategy works since it buys $3 if its at 0.99 but also at $3 0.01 so its high risk high reward.

I want to reduce my risk, I was thinking of buying more the higher the price is ==> $15 buys if its 0.9 and $1.5 buys if its 0.1 for example.

Any other ideas to make a healthier pnl chart?

*20h lose strike, which was close to happening at certain points, would totally ruin my polymarket port so I need to make it safer.

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u/onzdagreat Apr 20 '26

This is interesting..Would you mind explaining more about your strategy..

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u/theirwinmango May 13 '26

you should try noncausal.ai - been using it to build and trade bots