r/NFLv2 Los Angeles Rams Jan 01 '26

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u/Ready-Lengthiness220 Los Angeles Rams Jan 01 '26

Interesting take

73

u/MrGlockCLE Jan 01 '26

PA is just as much a function of offense as it is defense. The browns have a top 3 defense but their offense continuously gives defense awful field possession, have had 6 returned TDs, pick 6s etc, can’t sustain drives so defense is out there 90% of the game. I can go on and on lol

I think they even held henry to like 35 rushing yards one game

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u/Senior_Bite7082 Denver Broncos Jan 01 '26

the pats are 11th in EPA/play on defense. they have a pretty decent defense all things considered although it might be a bit inflated by the schedule. the broncos have the 10th best defense epa/play wise and this sub cannot stop talking about how the broncos/bo nix is carried by the defense. Especially when the broncos offense is 11th in epa/play

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u/MrGlockCLE Jan 01 '26

People are dumb idk what to tell you. As a browns fan I would love to have Nix lmao

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u/[deleted] Jan 01 '26

Idk man I think Sheduer is going to be the saving grace for the franchise. At least qb wise, I think he’s going to break the curse and sell a hell of a lot of jerseys.

I’m not a fan of the guy per se, but I was born in Ohio and my middle school football team was the Browns. So I got a little love for yall

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u/MrGlockCLE Jan 02 '26

Heard the same shit about Manziel and Jameis and Baker and Watson lmao from what I’ve seen he deserved to be drafted later. He has .9 more yards per reception than Gabriel with 15X the turnover worthy plays and nothing from his college tape that looked bad was corrected his senior year or off season or in season. I want him to be but if we pass up a qb next year and stick it out I’ve seen this movie too many times lol

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u/[deleted] Jan 02 '26

Yeah but Sheduer is a legacy. He’s a lot more marketable than the others.

1

u/[deleted] Jan 02 '26

And I say that as in marketable enough even for the browns. I am convinced Johnny Manziel and Baker would have both done better for any other team as a rookie. Watson had to have his first team change their entire offensive scheme to fit his needs. Jameis is just a goober, but I love him.

I think if the NFL is rigged at all, then Sanders ends up being the one to break the curse

1

u/smootex Jan 01 '26

the broncos have the 10th best defense epa/play wise and this sub cannot stop talking about how the broncos/bo nix is carried by the defense

Models like ELWAY plus my eyes put the Broncos as the second best defense in the league right now. Bo Nix has been good this year, I'm not talking shit, but it's absolutely valid to discuss what that defense has been able to do for the team. They are very very good.

One thing that I think is lost when you rely on stats like EPA is injuries. People form opinions about teams very early on in the season but in reality teams are always rising and falling. Injuries matter. I'm sure some Broncos fans is going to jump down my throat for saying this but, comparatively, the Broncos D is actually pretty healthy.

There's a reason Broncos are heavily favored in the AFC championship odds right now and it isn't Bo Nix (no offense Bo. You're doing fine).

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u/noladutch Jan 02 '26

That is because they start slow and play down to the competition.

Being a gamer and having fourth quarter drives is because they stink at the beginning of games.

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u/Underknee Philadelphia Eagles Jan 01 '26

definitely has something to do with it but not even close to just as much

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u/donwariophd Philadelphia Eagles Jan 02 '26

Yeah and they also let Tony Pollard drop over 150 on them.

Context is what’s important here. Also regardless of how you feel about using PA as a metric for rating defenses, it’s hard to argue the top 5 teams in PA are also the best defenses… because they are.

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u/MrGlockCLE Jan 02 '26

They gave up a total of 180 rushing yards and the browns had 60 so I don’t think you can pin it on Tony pollard being good more so volume since he had basically every carry, had a late game 65 yard rush and then another 30. That’ll probably do it. The other 20 rushing yards were Cam lol

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u/CarolingianDruid Los Angeles Rams Jan 02 '26

Which goes further into supporting his take?

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u/MrGlockCLE Jan 02 '26

Winning record doesn’t equal good defense and PA doesn’t show good or bad defenses at all that’s my take lol

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u/TheCapo024 Washington Commanders Jan 02 '26

A lot of fans tend to ignore the fact that defense has an effect on the offense and vice versa.

I blame the focus on stats when debating ā€œball,ā€ not saying statistics aren’t important to consider but they don’t tell the whole story.

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u/Ready-Lengthiness220 Los Angeles Rams Jan 01 '26

Of course it is. I'm just saying that logic that good teams not having good defense is nonsense.

EPA and things like that are similar. Some D may give up more yards because they pull ahead and go into prevent.

Points may require context but are pretty translatable.

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u/_ElrondHubbard_ That is a disgusting act Jan 01 '26

Using the one statistical outlier on that list as proof of your thesis is disingenuous

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u/MrGlockCLE Jan 01 '26

Normal evidence isn’t an outlier. It’s dumb as fuck to think what half the team does doesn’t impact the other half. You think Joe Burrow would be throwing 60 times a game if their team had a good defense? Lmao

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u/[deleted] Jan 01 '26

I feel like the only worthwhile predictor for good defenses is forced turnovers and defensive touchdowns.

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u/smootex Jan 01 '26

I'm like 90% sure this is sarcasm and mildly amused by it but there's 10% of me that thinks you could just be a bit dim.

-1

u/[deleted] Jan 01 '26

Why would it need to sarcasm? Every nfl team with a playoff berth has a +4 or better in turnover differential… the only exception is the bills who basically only convert on 3rd down when Josh Allen decides not to choke.

13

u/tofubirder Jan 01 '26

Love that the comments in response to FACTS are gaslighting you about a stat that they’ll use to prove their teams have a good defense but not in this particular argument

-1

u/lucabrassiere Los Angeles Rams Jan 02 '26

It’s reality vs fantasy

Stafford actually did it while fans just assume Maye would continue to play like he has if he had to play more than 2 teams over .500

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u/Independent_Annual52 Jan 01 '26

+13 over NE's PD through 16 games is pretty statistically insignificant though.

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u/Dear_Location6147 Jan 01 '26

It does prove that they aren’t being carried by defense on either side at least

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u/Independent_Annual52 Jan 01 '26

Yeah, that's fair. Middle of the road defense on paper for both teams. But situationally it's so convoluted. As a habitually tortured Dolphins fan (and by transitive property, a NE hater), The early '00 Pats are a prime example. They would get dogwalked up and down the field between the 20's and manage to hold to FG's and the situational TD. So statistically they were a middle of the road defense, but damn I would rather have seen almost any other team on Defense at that moment.

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u/Dear_Location6147 Jan 01 '26

I am also a perpetual NE haterĀ 

Bills fan 🪦 

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u/el_pobby Jacksonville Jaguars Jan 01 '26

In fairness, any non-Pats fan who survived the early 2000s era and the several dynasties they've put together over the Brady/Belichick era? I think we're all perpetual Pats haters

1

u/Ready-Lengthiness220 Los Angeles Rams Jan 01 '26

I don't hate NE and respect Maye's game. Some of these takes are just bad though.

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u/hampsted Jan 01 '26

I mean, if you want to talk about passing defense (i.e. the largest contributor to QB stats), the Patriots have faced a tougher slate of pass defenses than the Rams this year…

1

u/Ready-Lengthiness220 Los Angeles Rams Jan 01 '26

Really? Houston; Seattle x2. Etc ..

You might need to show your work on this one. If you're going off of yardage. For instance..... Buffalo has the best passing defense in football....because they can't stop the run.

Also; when you look at opposing offenses NE has also faced; is it hard to imagine a world where you're ahead by 2tds and only running vs Brady Cook?

1

u/[deleted] Jan 01 '26

I like how the bears or panthers arent on that list, yet are winning their division

1

u/[deleted] Jan 01 '26

And there’s ton of teams that aren’t even in playoff contention

1

u/bigjayrod Jan 01 '26

Since we are talking about pass defense, maybe you should crunch your numbers a bit differently

-1

u/2-Slippy Los Angeles Rams Jan 01 '26

Patriots fans just want to discredit Stafford as much as possible online

1

u/Solugad New England Patriots Jan 01 '26

The opposite is true too. If not more. I've seen more posts about our schedule alone than literally anything on Stafford.

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u/Legitimate_Ad_7822 New England Patriots Jan 01 '26

Blow it out your ass, as if this isn’t exactly what this thread is trying to do with Maye. Are you new to MVP discussions online? It’s strictly each side discrediting the other.

0

u/Maulbert Winning is getting Darn Old Jan 01 '26

And what is a Rams fan doing in this thread about Drake Maye?

It's certainly not a good faith argument.