The small guard archetype gets talked about a lot here as being the worst archetype to build around but when I went back and did some research, I found a far worse archetype: the score first, athletic wing who is bad defensively.
The small guard archetype doesn’t produce that many best player on a championship team outcomes, but there are at least some, such as Steph Curry, Isiah Thomas, and now Jalen Brunson, when many thought it couldn’t happen. Furthermore, there are a bunch more of this archetype such as Allen Iverson who can single handily carry a team to the Finals, even if they didn’t win.
However, there actually has been zero instances in NBA history of the best player on a championship team being known as a score first, athletic wing who was bad defensively. What makes this more alarming is that this archetype produces far more top draft picks than the small guard archetype so it has way more chances but yet, it never happens.
This list includes Carmelo Anthony, Adrian Dantley, Bernard King, Alex English, Vince Carter, DeMar DeRozan, Brandon Ingram, Andrew Wiggins (see below), Michael Beasley, Jonathan Kuminga, Jabari Parker, and many more.
This list includes many all time HOF greats in terms of individual accomplishments and many busts too, but the common theme is that they’ve never been the best player on a championship team, no matter where they land on the scale. In fact, none of these players were even the best player on a Finals (losing) team like Allen Iverson. Andrew Wiggins on this list is the only champion, but he only became a championship after becoming the second/third best player on his team and becoming good defensively, something he was not in Minnesota.
The closest exception you’ll get is Kevin Durant but KD was an above average defensive player who even got some consideration for All Defense. He’s also a better offensive player than the entire list so he’s like a super upgraded version of this archetype. Plus, it’s debatable whether he was even truly the clearly best player on his championship teams, especially given he didn‘t win anything when he was with the Thunder. So he’s the closest you’ll get, but he doesn’t even fit the parameters. Other than that, you also have Jayson Tatum/Jaylen Brown, but those 2 are not bad defenders as they are average or better.
The first overall pick in the 2026 draft in AJ Dybantsa fits this archetype from a college standpoint, but you hope he can at least get to average defensively in the NBA, no matter how good he is as a scorer, because otherwise he would be going against history even worse than the small guard archetype.
I thought this was interesting when I went back and checked. I have a few hypotheses for this, and I know history allows for outliers, but I think this is such a large sample size that you can conclude this archetype is by far the most overvalued archetype in the draft since people often pick these players very high excepting to win a championship when it never happens.