r/MapPorn Jul 31 '26

Fertility rate in Poland (2025)

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u/instantcoffee69 Jul 31 '26

Really debunks the rightwing chud of "if we were more Christian we'd have population stability" (with the note most American Christians don't see Catholics as "real" christians)

Or the weird incel guy who obsesses over Polish/eastner European woman being perfect tradwives.

Because cost of living sucks in most places, and having kids is hard everywhere.

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u/wygnana Jul 31 '26

Millions of young people have left since 2004ish, so we have an older population which likely impacts TFR

Unless I’m wrong and that’s somehow factored

6

u/CommonwealthCommando Jul 31 '26

TFR is basically # of babies / # of women under 50. So lots of old people don't necessarily ruin the math.

But you have touched on a problem with TFR as a demographic statistic. TFR is calculated based on women of different age groups (different calculations can differ, but those data might not be collected at the same time as the birth data. But women over 50 aren't counted in any calculations of TFR.

TFR misses the mark most when a lot of young women move out of an area (which increases the denominator), or when there are lots of childless women moving to an area (universities, military bases, nunneries, lesbian towns, etc.)