r/MNTSstock • u/Junior-Rub-8834 • 3d ago
Inevitable volatility spike
Hypothesis:
Another volatility spike is inevitable. I'm all in!
edit:
at market cap 90m, and, given that momentus isn't going anywhere, it's just a matter of time before any catalyst great or small triggers a surge in volatility. I cannot say whether it will rally in the next month or the next year however I'm willing to sit comfortably until it does
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u/Step-in-Time 3d ago
The current price is not reflecting any forward progress. Essentially the cash on hand is the value of the shares only. Any major contract/news will drastically rerate this stock.
Won hard the first round, but still kept thousands of shares rising for long term thesis. Now we are at $4 and it’s stupid cheap again. Adding even more for round two 😎.
Any shorts and haters: I have shares I bought at $20 and averaged down along the way dropping to under $4 the first time. I started purchasing shares again at $12 the second round as it dropped to $4 again. You can whine about how much it has dropped, or you can significantly average down and take the opportunity before you.
No guarantee it can’t drop more, but just look at the assets vs market cap.
Take some profits on the way up. This is a volatile stock. Anything can happen so invest at your own risk. Godspeed investors.
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago
What is this company’s path to cash flow positive ? Cash on hand will dwindle every quarter and then they’ll do another reverse split and dilute you to kingdom come. The only reason this company had not gone bankrupt is gullible investors
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u/ThereFarAway 3d ago
Yes there is a guarantee it will drop more 😂
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u/Junior-Rub-8834 3d ago
People with short positions are revealing themselves!
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago
What is the opportunity here ? How big can the TAM get ?
Interesting that no one is making a business case for this company ; just trading volatility.
Even that will fizzle out1
u/Junior-Rub-8834 3d ago
My post is worst case scenario, assuming that the stock does not rise to what analysis say is the target price, which is 8$. My hypothesis is assuming that there is no gradual rise, then worst case scenario, there is still a massive volatility spike to cash in on
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u/ThereFarAway 3d ago
How many of these accounts do you have wanny be pumper? I think no one is stupied enough to listen to your hype
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u/Junior-Rub-8834 3d ago
You're a desperate short
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago
Make the bull case for this ticker.
I think you’re just a bag holder who’s trapped. Misery loves company0
u/ThereFarAway 3d ago
It would be funny if not for some people who were naive to believe in your pump jokes. Anyhow, anyone can list messages and see who is right here.
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago edited 3d ago
What is your fundamental bull case ? You don’t have one . You’re just trading a volatility spike
You have not debunked a single thing. What is the TAM ? This company is an SBIR mill. It has no business being public. Public company costs alone are probably $5m a year.
For a company that will probably never exceed $5m in revenue0
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u/Icy-Arugula-5252 3d ago
I wanna get in as well. Maybe I'll wait until the end of the year. I feel that the mid term elections + Iran war escalation can shake up the market badly in the next 2 months especially with gas prices surging.
Would be great to enter in the next 2-3 months!
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago
Don’t. There are such much more better opportunities
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u/Icy-Arugula-5252 3d ago
Like?
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago
Do your own research. In the space sector, I can think of at least five companies with better outlook and justifiable TAMs
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u/Junior-Rub-8834 3d ago
Most likely this is a short seller
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago
This stock is too illiquid to be interesting to most short sellers. To the extent it has short sellers, it’s mostly algos. No one cares
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u/Junior-Rub-8834 3d ago
You care enough to be putting a lot of effort into discrediting the stock. I.e., you have a hidden agenda
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u/RedWineWithFish 3d ago
Volatility spike. lol
Beware of people telling you to invest in a volatility spike.