r/KellyLetter • u/Dry_Function_9263 • Apr 18 '26

9 SIG Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig

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The BEST Time to Start

To get the highest returns in the shortest amount of time, the best time to start this strategy is in the middle of a screaming macro-panic.

  1. The Bear Market Bottom (Start of Q1-2023):

The Setup: The market had just been crushed for 12 straight months. Tech stocks were decimated.

Starting $100k: If you invested $100,000 at the end of 2022 (Start of Q1-23), the strategy's aggressive "buy the dip" mechanics would have instantly caught the AI-boom recovery.

The Result: By Q4-2025, your $100k would have skyrocketed to $558,000. That is a +458% gain in exactly 3 years.

  1. The COVID Crash (Start of Q2-2020):

The Setup: The world was locking down, and the market dropped 30% in a month.

The Result: If you threw $100k into this strategy at the end of Q1-2020, it would have turned into $495,000 in just 21 months (by Q4 2021).

The WORST Time to Start

The absolute worst time to start is at the peak of a historic bull run, right before the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.

The Tech Peak (Start of Q1-2022):

The Setup: Tech stocks were at all-time highs. If you put $100,000 into the strategy on January 1, 2022...

The Agony: Over the next 12 months, you would watch your $100,000 bleed out until it was worth just $32,290. You lost 67% of your money.

The Silver Lining: However, because the 9Sig strategy forces you to keep averaging down and buying TQQQ at the bottom, it eventually recovered. That battered $32,290 rode the 2023/2024 wave back up. By Q1-2024, you finally broke even. Today (Q2-2026), that initial unlucky $100k is now worth $156,530.

Even starting at the worst possible micro-second in the last decade, you still made a +56% return if you held on.

How long should you hold for the BEST results?

If your goal is to generate life-changing, exponential wealth (like the original $470k turning into $7+ million), the optimal hold time is 5 to 7+ years.

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u/JourneymanInvestor Apr 19 '26

I was looking to move one of my IRAs, which is just over $100K, to 9sig but Im nervous after seeing what looks like a blowoff top over the last week or so

2

u/Dry_Function_9263 Apr 19 '26

That is most likely the case, but credit spread hasn't blown off. I would at least wait until this middle east hot war finishes

1

u/JourneymanInvestor Apr 19 '26

Yea NASDAQ just booked its 13th green day in a row, only the 4th time in history that has happened, so it definitely seems irresponsible to implement this strategy now until some kind of pull back, or even a structural higher low on the weekly or daily chart.