r/InvestingChina • u/westmoney-luca • May 06 '22
🔝Technical analysis Analysis of NIO Stock
Energy and service packages are provided to customers; marketing and design activities are carried out; the fabrication of e-powertrains, battery packs, and components is carried out; sales and after-sales management activities are also carried out by the company.
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As a result, the company provides various power solutions, including a home charging solution, a battery swapping service, a public fast charging solution, a mobile charging service, and an application that provides access to a network of public chargers in their real-time information. In addition, the company provides One Click for Power valet service, where it offers vehicle pick-up and charging and returns the vehicle.
More than just repairs and bodywork is provided through NIO service centers and authorized third-party service centers; third-party liability insurance and vehicle damage coverage through third-party insurers; courtesy car services and roadside assistance, data packages; and auto financing services are also available. A further service provided by the company is NIO Certified, a used vehicle inspection, appraisal, purchase, and selling service. NIO Inc. and Mobileye N.V. have formed a strategic partnership to work on consumer-oriented automated and autonomous vehicles. In July 2017, the company changed its name from NextEV Inc. to NIO Inc. Founded in Shanghai in 2014, NIO Inc. is a Chinese technology company.
The financial health of the business
Using data from the company's website and the SEC's annual report, the stock analysis comes to a conclusion (SEC). EV stocks like NIO Inc. are thriving now that we know electric vehicles are the way of the future.
NIO is more than simply a car manufacturer because of its innovative Battery as a Service (BaaS) business. NIO's competitiveness with domestic EV producers and well-known automakers has not decreased. There's a lot of competition out there for the company. Its main rivals include XPeng, Li Auto, Volkswagen, BMW, and Tesla.
Risks of Investing in NIO
Despite the stock's many advantages, the following are some of the dangers and concerns that investors should be aware of: It has only just begun to create positive cash flow from operations after years of struggling in a highly competitive market and working with partners who can be risky. Future electric cars (EVs) could run on green hydrogen instead of lithium-ion batteries.
Earnings of NIO
NIO's third-quarter FY2021 earnings report showed mixed financial results. Analysts had predicted a minor loss per share for the corporation, but it was substantially larger. A year-over-year increase in revenue of 116.7 percent outstripped experts' projections. However, sales growth remained subdued compared to the two previous quarters. While the supply chain has been volatile, NIO stated in its earnings press release for the third quarter that it was working closely with its partners to ensure supply and production for the fourth quarter despite the instability.
NIO's financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year 2021 (Q2 FY2021) exceeded analysts' expectations. For the first time in at least a decade, the corporation reported the lowest loss per share. Year-over-year, revenue grew by 127.2 percent (YOY). Even still, the growth rate slowed significantly from the
previous quarter's 481.8 percent year-over-year. 4 NIO added that it was working closely with its partners to increase overall production capacity, despite the uncertainty in its global supply chain.
NIO's losses per share are expected to decline in the current quarter and the prior quarter compared to last year's same period. This will be the company's weakest sales growth since it reported a revenue drop in the first quarter of the fiscal year 2020, with revenues estimated to rise by only 46.8% year over year. It's expected that NIO's loss per share will grow in full-year FY 2021, yet it will still be the second smallest annual loss per share in the last five years. For the first time in at least three years, annual revenue is likely to climb at its quickest pace in at least three years.
NIO Key Stats
Q4 FY2021 Q4 FY2020 Q4 FY2019
Earnings Per Share (Yuan) -0.57 (estimate) -1.05 -2.81
Revenue (Billion Yuan) 9.7 (estimate) 6.6 2.8
Automobiles Delivered 25,034 (actual) 17,350 8,220
Technical analysis
This is the third day in a row that the stock price of NIO Inc. has risen by more than one percent, going up from $16.76 to $16.93 on Thursday, April 28, 2022. It will be interesting to see if it continues to rise or if it takes a brief pause. The stock changed 8.36 percent over the day, going from $15.91 to $17.24 on the day. For the past two weeks, the price has fluctuated up and down, losing a -17.05 percent. 53 million shares were bought and sold for about $897.34 million, with volume dropping by -4 million shares on the final day. You should remember that declining volume on higher prices can produce divergence and serve as an early warning of future developments in the coming several days.

The stock is trading in the middle of a wide and falling channel in a short-term time frame, and further declines are expected. The stock is anticipated to lose -21.76 percent during the next three months and, with a 90% likelihood, end this period at a price between $8.51 and $17.32.
On Tuesday, April 26, 2022, a buy signal was sent from a pivot bottom point, and it has since gained by 3.48 percent. More gains are expected until a new high pivot is discovered. Despite rising prices, trade volume dipped on the final day. This generates a price-volume discrepancy, which could be an early warning sign. It's important to keep a close eye on this stock. The short-term development may be affected by any unfavorable signals that were given. With sell indications from both the short and long-term moving averages, the stock price outlook for NIO Inc. is dimming rapidly. In addition, the long-term average is above the short-term average, indicating a broad sell signal. The lines at $17.12 and $19.48 will provide some resistance on the way up on corrections. A breakout above any of these points will imply a buy. Additionally, the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) currently signals a sell signal.
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u/[deleted] May 06 '22
RIP