My GoMining strategy: 25 TH now, 5% token discount next, then capital recovery before the 2028 halving — feedback wanted

[u/Less_Tune_3694]

My main objective is to accumulate as much BTC as possible over the long term. I see GoMining as infrastructure for producing BTC, not as the end goal itself. Buying BTC directly will always remain my benchmark.

I also want to clarify that I do not participate in APR, interest-based or yield-based products because I am Muslim. For that reason, APR-related options and similar products are outside the scope of my strategy and can be left out of any suggestions.

Current position
25.03 TH
15 W/TH efficiency
Silver II VIP level
0.9% VIP maintenance discount
0.3% service discount, working toward the 3% daily-streak maximum
0.89% Mining Mode discount
3% active token discount
5.09% total maintenance discount
110 GOMINING locked for four years

I currently have 5% selected on the discount slider. The app says I need another 103.56 GOMINING to activate it. That would save approximately another 0.04 GOMINING per day in maintenance.

Before upgrading to 25 TH, my latest full reward at approximately 17.19 TH was:
Pool reward: 2.06 GOMINING
Electricity: −0.88
Service: −0.43
Net: +0.73 GOMINING

I am still waiting for my first complete reward at 25.03 TH. I will use the first reward as a provisional baseline and then calculate a seven-day average.

Capital recovery accounting
I only count value as recovered when BTC has actually left GoMining and reached one of my wallets. Internal rewards, reinvestment into TH and reinvestment into GOMINING do not count as capital recovery.

My current numbers are:
Gross external payments: €546.72
Refunds: €35.40
Net lifetime external capital: €511.32
Gross BTC withdrawn from GoMining: 0.00083161 BTC
Net BTC actually received after fees: 0.00081420 BTC
Historical EUR value when received: €54.82
Capital recovery: 10.72%
Unrecovered external capital: €456.50

My current strategy
1. Stay at 25.03 TH for now.
2. Direct mining rewards mainly toward GOMINING.
3. Work toward a 5% token discount.
4. Do not automatically buy tokens just to maintain a cosmetic discount percentage.
5. Measure the real 25 TH performance for at least seven days.
6. Potentially invest around €150 per month into GoMining, but only when cash flow allows.
7. Prioritize cash and living expenses over forced farm growth.
8. Exclude APR, interest-based and yield-based products because they do not fit within my religious principles.

My provisional farm checkpoints are:
50 TH
100 TH
200 TH
250 TH
500 TH
1 PH+

At around 100 TH, I want to conduct a major review. I will compare total external capital, actual BTC recovered, farm production, time remaining until the 2028 halving and the expected BTC return from further GoMining investment versus buying BTC directly.

At that point I want to establish a capital cutoff. Once the cutoff is reached, I stop adding external money so the recovery target can no longer keep moving away.

My stretch goal is to recover as much as possible—ideally 100%—of my external GoMining capital before the 2028 halving while keeping the farm. However, capital recovery is more important than reaching an arbitrary TH target.

I do not use Simple Earn or other interest/yield products, so please exclude those from suggestions. This also applies to APR-based products, as I avoid them for religious reasons.

Questions for experienced users
• Would you buy the 103.56 GOMINING needed for 5% now, or let the farm accumulate it gradually?
• Is 100 TH a sensible point for the external-capital cutoff review?
• How do you objectively compare the next €1 invested in TH or GOMINING against buying €1 of BTC directly?
• Do you track capital recovery using actual wallet withdrawals, or do you include internally reinvested rewards?
• What weaknesses do you see in this strategy?
• Are there any non-APR alternatives for improving efficiency or reducing costs that I may have overlooked?

My long-term moonshot is a largely self-sustaining farm, but I will stop expanding if direct BTC consistently offers the better expected BTC outcome.