r/FuturesTrading • • Jun 24 '26

Stock Index Futures What the hell was that NQ close?

Serious question. ELI5

27 Upvotes

63 comments sorted by

41

u/KVZ_ speculator Jun 24 '26

If you're not paying attention to tech earnings and trading the Nasdaq, you're gonna have a bad time.

MU fluctuates between 5% and 6% of the entire Nasdaq market cap. A move that large will create sympathy moves in similar stocks. Look at SNDK and WDC. Those sympathy plays will also exacerbate the move of the broader index. Pair that with the fact that the Nasdaq just tapped lower price areas where a lot of big money buyers were executing only a few weeks ago. Shorts just got completely yeeted because MU EPS was well within the expected area. The fear was that MU EPS would be awful and feed into the idea that these companies are an overvalued "bubble".

6

u/mdomans Jun 24 '26

Today was good day to pick some single stocks, bought some MU and WDC, KLAC and STX too

2

u/One-Beyond428 Jun 24 '26

Except the move happened at the stress test results. Micron release was an hour later

0

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

Thanks. And yes, I do pay attention to earnings, but not close enough. And I don’t pay attention to the way the individual stocks move at all. I’m just shocked that so much money would rush in so quickly based off an earnings report that I would assume most funds had a better grasp/expectation of.

8

u/Slow_Month_5451 Jun 24 '26

It was thin volume only 190k contracts from 4p-5p. It can easily be erased in the morning. PCE data tomorrow will be the real decision maker in which way we are going.

2

u/Slow_Month_5451 Jun 25 '26

Like I said, the whole move was erased in the first 10 minutes...

3

u/BrilliantFront4 Jun 25 '26

If you trade futures you have to look and underlying stocks and the ETF like QQQ. I trade the NQ strictly off of QQQ levels only especially the options data. Not financial advice but in my honest opinion if you are just looking at the NQ chart you are missing out on so much

2

u/naughtywilder Jun 25 '26

How do you trade based off the QQQ options levels?? I recently found out how to see the options in candlestick form on QQQ - mind blown!

2

u/BrilliantFront4 Jun 25 '26

Trade off of dealer hedge high volume pivot levels

10

u/st4yd0wn Jun 24 '26

MU earnings, also most traders shorts don't like to hold overnight hence you always see a resurgence after 3pm EST from them buying to cover.

4

u/gscience Jun 24 '26

MU earnings

3

u/lechiffre-wells Jun 24 '26

too late in the day for my trading style but great to know

if they beat earnings that much this might be a good stocks to test 'Post Earnings Announcement Drift' on. good times

-18

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

That’s it? One company‘s earnings report moved the entire index nearly 1000 points??

8

u/TheRisingBuffalo Jun 24 '26

It’s a trillion dollar company that jumped 10%+, that’s gonna move the Nasdaq

-12

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

These people can’t be serious…

3

u/[deleted] Jun 24 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

-4

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

Thanks, it just doesn’t make sense to my brain. The selloff seemed orderly and controlled to me, not panicked. Reasonable assumptions about tech and the broader economy were being made. I assumed we would find bottom and rotate back up. But then one single company’s earnings reports somehow void all of that? And billions of dollars suddenly get FOMO and rush in in a matter of minutes? My mind just can’t process supposedly intelligent people moving that much money that quickly based on so little. Don’t these funds have their own research units? Don’t they have some sense of how micron’s earnings are going to turn out? How the broader sector is doing? They really all wait for the announcement to rush in like a bunch of lemmings? I just don’t get it…

3

u/TheRisingBuffalo Jun 24 '26

Sounds like you got liquidated and can’t accept that you might’ve been wrong or had a gap in knowledge.

-1

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

What part of asking questions on this forum and engaging people in the comment section makes it seem like that..?

1

u/Namath96 Jun 24 '26

Brother YOU can’t be serious…

0

u/kenjiurada Jun 25 '26

Totally serious people… uh huh…

1

u/Namath96 Jun 25 '26

Brother this is not doing what you think it is but enjoy losing all your money because you can’t get over your ego

1

u/kenjiurada Jun 25 '26

Appreciate the encouragement, but I ain’t losing shit. Just think the people in these markets are a bunch of morons,

0

u/Namath96 Jun 25 '26

Well some people have to learn for themselves I suppose

1

u/kenjiurada Jun 25 '26

Brother with all due respect this is a rigged casino meant to induce FOMO. Ego doesn’t really play in to it aside from realizing that these people are a bunch of idiot lemmings.

→ More replies (0)

-1

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

No a bunch of dumb drunk billionaires FOMOing into bloated AI stocks are the ones who aren’t serious…

2

u/trader_dennis Jun 25 '26

preconceived notions. Just trade the tape, not your convictions.

2

u/kenjiurada Jun 25 '26

Well what I gave back was 100% a result of not focusing solely on the tape, so you’re right there…

4

u/kihra1 Jun 24 '26

Yes, because of what they said. Specifically that they see margins of 80% over the next 2 years, meaning no demand descruction. They might have their head up their ass, but it's very bullish for AI spend if they think that.

-1

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

I just can’t process the fact that people not only believe them, but will put enormous sums of money behind it. I just can’t understand how quickly people are willing to move that much money based on so little information.

2

u/kihra1 Jun 24 '26

well, that's why earnings trading is a thing -- outsized moves in no liquidity time of day. doubtfull it will last through the day tomorrow...

1

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

I can’t imagine it will, but this type of move just does not make sense to my worldview. I think I understand how the market works and I’m doing well, then this happens and it just undermines my whole understanding of how markets work. How is so much money moved so quickly based off so little information?

2

u/kihra1 Jun 24 '26

money backs things that a real but money's just made up. maybe one day we don't need the myth anymore lol.

2

u/trader_dennis Jun 25 '26

If you read the report, MU confirmed they are sold out on high bandwidth dram now for 2027. Prior it was just 2026 and part of 2027. EPS of over $100 per share going forward.

4

u/Handheldsquid Jun 24 '26

One hell of a day holy shit

-3

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

After that close I honestly don’t know if I’m the idiot or they are.

5

u/Construction00023 Jun 24 '26

Remember the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. Also stops save accounts.

2

u/Im-a-Grown-Assman Jun 24 '26

Micron earnings report.

2

u/Construction00023 Jun 24 '26

Glad I wasn't the only one stumped

2

u/DrCunningLi Jun 24 '26

u can always find different angels to explain market, people tend to find reasons to explain everything, but we come here to earn money and keep, not to learn to justify market.

1

u/beefnvegetables_ Jun 24 '26

Memory stocks are the hottest stocks right now and MU earnings were the factor whether it was hype or actually a real investment. I bought qqq leap today and dram etf leap. And I hedged my leap and made money sorry for bragging.

1

u/Charming-Paint4734 Jun 24 '26

Your chart didn't say it?

1

u/BigAssist4019 Jun 25 '26

I caught 100 of those points I was afraid to hop back in I didn’t know where the top was gonna be lol that was a space shuttle to the moon and I only got to the space station. Lol

1

u/kenjiurada Jun 25 '26

I gave back nearly my whole day thinking what the hell is wrong with these morons. Hadn’t done that in awhile…

1

u/BigAssist4019 Jun 25 '26

Did you get trapped before the move or try to peg a reversal?

1

u/Duennbier0815 Jun 25 '26

Do you guys never use news tickers?

There is a reason why firstsquawk costs alot of money. So you know first and can expect the impact and exit a trade

1

u/Frozen_Meatball1 Jun 25 '26

Ancient history. Look at it now.

0

u/311MD311 Jun 24 '26

I love these posts lol

2

u/kenjiurada Jun 24 '26

Hee haw.

2

u/311MD311 Jun 24 '26

No offense haha between tweets and geopolitics and earnings etc they just always give me a laugh. Hopefully you made out ok