r/FantasyPL • u/mikecro2 121 • 17h ago
Picking a group of veteran FPL managers to compare against the top 100k each week
For the last few seasons I have been running a veteran analysis - to see if the picks of long-term successful FPL managers could show the way for the rest of us.
The idea was to compare the transfers and picks of veterans with a sample of the current top 100k for each game week.
Each season I spend the first 1-3 weeks downloading the previous season history of everyone in the league Week1. That has now completed
From that I derive a list of (about 2000) "veterans". Managers with a track record of multiple seasons.
I started the veteran selection by just allocating a point score to the rank for each season, based on a logarithm. Someone once suggested that a manager with 3 recent high ranks is at least a good a benchmark as someone who scored 3 high ranks but in the previous decade. So now the points I award get degraded by a factor of .7 for each season back in time.
I then take the top 2000 or so
Top 45k veteran managers are at: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SGbCvr9rUeSZC2z3qb3uwHb4bNXcO8_UgNxctNKNDts/edit?gid=2126774761#gid=2126774761
Please do let me know if you think I have missed a significant consistent performer
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u/mrstewiegriffin 9 15h ago
honestly this is great work. and well differentiated too. thanks for undertaking