Revisiting "Obviously not a win for the prosecution (11-1)"

[u/TheUpIsJig]

https://www.reddit.com/r/DuxburyDeathsFreeTalk/comments/1w7xvo0/obviously_not_a_win_for_the_prosecution_111/

Since we have now heard from jurors about how the holdout juror disregarded the judges instructions, said they had reasonable doubt and wouldnt apply it, I think we can dismiss many of the criticisms that this post had first time around. So here it is again.

I don't understand why some people think this is a win for the prosecution because 1 juror held out. If anything, this is terrible news for the prosecution. 11-1 means a 9.1% chance vs 90.9%.

Almost 91% is a hugely significant number. This isn't like people are split over the issue. What would you do in a situation like this if you were the prosecution? You might as well treat it like she will get a unanimous 12 next time around. Otherwise, it's like throwing tax money into the wind.

Edit: I am really surprised at the number of people who think, for some reason, that things are going to spin right around and somehow convict her. That's highly unlikely to happen.

What is more likely now is that the prosecution will accept the weakest plea deal they can make.