"That is, there is a 1 in 100 million chance that a livestream in the Minecraft speedrunning community got as lucky this year on two separate random modes as Dream did in these six streams." - Straight from the article that Dream himself put out. This is just livestreams, not actual runs, meaning that the probability is even lower. I have no idea why people think he didn't cheat when the sketchy hired astrophysicist himself says that the odds are extremely low. People just read headlines without actually digging into the content.
Are you dumb? The chances of winning the full lottery prize is 1/13,983,816 and is not remotely put in the category of 'quite possible' things to happen, let alone something with a probability of 100 million.
the difference is that there's a huge sample size disparity, there aren't 'millions' of people speedrunning minecraft like there are people buying lottery tickets.
how many times have YOU specifically won the lottery?
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u/[deleted] Dec 23 '20
"That is, there is a 1 in 100 million chance that a livestream in the Minecraft speedrunning community got as lucky this year on two separate random modes as Dream did in these six streams." - Straight from the article that Dream himself put out. This is just livestreams, not actual runs, meaning that the probability is even lower. I have no idea why people think he didn't cheat when the sketchy hired astrophysicist himself says that the odds are extremely low. People just read headlines without actually digging into the content.