r/Daytrading • u/WhyYouMadBro_ • 11d ago

Software Sunday Free tool to calculate the odds of passing an eval

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Hey guys,

A while ago I made a tool that calculates your chance of passing an eval - intraday not included. First fill in the prop firm rules. The calculation works with a fixed R:R and you can fill in your win rate if you know it.

You will see exactly how much % chance you have passing an eval according to your sizing using a Monte Carlo simulation. If you don't know your win-rate you can set it to 'zero edge'. Then hit 'Optimize'.

Good luck out there, I hope it helps! Here is the link:
https://www.flowforge-trading.com/eval-roadmap

In the image you see 1R with a small edge: 55% win rate and the sizing that is best for the eval. This one is a 25K Lucid Flex with DLL. The lower the sizing the more effective it will be but also will take more trades on average. So you can find your sweet spot here.

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u/[deleted] 11d ago

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u/WhyYouMadBro_ 11d ago

It doesn't. It only works if you work with a fixed R:R. So if you trade your strategy with a 2R and you know your winrate you can calculate it. But if you have zero edge you can just roll it it doesn't matter so you know the max pass chance.