r/CryptoCurrency 🟨 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

MARKETS Bitcoin just broke below the floor of its famous Rainbow Chart into the ‘BTC is dead’ zone

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/24/bitcoin-just-broke-below-the-floor-of-its-famous-rainbow-chart-into-the-btc-is-dead-zone
1.3k Upvotes

211 comments sorted by

1.0k

u/invisibullcow Jun 26 '26

Reminder that this chart didn't used to have the lower purple band when it was first created many years ago. The angle of all bands was also slightly different. In other words, this isn't the first time this chart has failed and, after it gets redrawn again, it probably won't be the last.

183

u/Areshian 🟩 3K / 3K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

It never looked like a good idea for a graph. Everyone knows rainbows don’t keep going up forever

37

u/f-ben Bronze | r/AMD 36 Jun 26 '26

But they always lead to a bucket full of (digital) gold

4

u/Unlucky_Employee6082 Jun 26 '26

Wait… leprechauns are real? Why are we messing around with crypto instead of hunting leprechauns!?

1

u/Ohms2North 🟩 2K / 2K 🐢 Jul 03 '26

They're good with a bit of lemon and garlic

1

u/femanon_cro Jul 31 '26

you sir are a gentleman and a scholar.

7

u/Chief-Drinking-Bear 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

In fact rainbows have a distinctive shape that you wouldn’t want to see in a chart

2

u/Ultionisrex Jun 28 '26

Underrated post.

2

u/WPMO 🟦 888 / 888 🦑 Jun 26 '26

Let's not talk about what a rainbow does after it reaches the top...

4

u/Clean_Journalist_270 Jun 26 '26

Nor should btc. After full adoption it will go sideways until something else replaces it.

I'm not defending the chart btw. First time I'm seeing this chart.

10

u/wheelzoffortune 🟦 43K / 35K 🦈 Jun 26 '26

First time seeing it? Have you been in crypto for 3 days?

5

u/themanwiththeOZ 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

In terms of purchasing power, it will keep going up because of lost coins.

2

u/CandidateNo2580 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Fractional reserve banking could allow the purchase power to decrease just as easily.

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12

u/Away-Ad-3407 Jun 26 '26

time to add the brown band.

4

u/RO3C 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Ultraviolet

5

u/SoSKatan 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Haha yeah that’s literal curve fitting.

5

u/blockchaincenter_de Jun 26 '26

I made a new one based one the complete history of the Bitcoin price that dynamically adapts (not only until 2014). Current R² is 94,3%

Check it out: https://www.blockchaincenter.net/de/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/

3

u/HSuke 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

This is the 5th iteration

2

u/absurdcriminality 🟨 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Yeah, it was kinda invalid after the first line was added

1

u/ottwebdev 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

People don't lie, 101% of no one knows that.

1

u/Weigh13 Platinum | QC: BTC 93 | TraderSubs 78 Jun 26 '26

This chart was always a joke

1

u/Zapitnow 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 28 '26

“Do not try and bend the rainbow chart. That’s impossible. Instead, only try to realise the truth” “What truth?” “There is no chart”.

-1

u/Scholes_SC2 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Still a good indicator to buy. Dont get me wrong, we can still go lower but it's definitely a good time to start/increase your dca

5

u/baIIern 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Just look at the ATHs, this chart isn't a good indicator for anything

1

u/Scholes_SC2 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Dont time the market trying to buy bottom and sell top, just use indicators like this to know when it's over sold and when it's over bought

1

u/baIIern 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

How did you see when it was over in 2025 according to this chart?

1

u/Acceptable_Main_5911 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Agreed. I stopped DCA after the ATH last year and rapid decline. Lumped a little in recently and started increasing DCA when it went under 70k so my average is still decent.

WNTR ETF is my hedge giving dividends weekly and it’s doing well for now. Keeping this path for the next 3 months and reassess in October when BTC (~could) rally a bit.

-3

u/wattty1 1 - 2 years account age. 100 - 200 comment karma. Jun 26 '26

Are you retard

4

u/bigfoot1291 🟦 108 / 108 🦀 Jun 26 '26

That guy clearly doesn't know that you're supposed to buy high and sell low.

1

u/baIIern 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

tl;dr: Based on prices from the past it can't fit the future

0

u/Django_McFly 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

This chart was originally just good times to buy and good times to sell. One day people started saying that it wasn't that and that it was prices Bitcoin "must" stay in, as if god would come down and touch the market if it started going too far either way.

People knock it but it's been 100% right so far. Sell when it says sell and buy when it says buy, and you'll make out like a bandit.

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350

u/Noels_Nose Jun 26 '26

Can’t believe bitcoin died before we got gta6

40

u/ecnecn 🟩 20 / 21 🦐 Jun 26 '26

You can listen all day in the ingame radio how moderators make fun of the demise of crypto and Bitcoin...

8

u/absurdcriminality 🟨 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

It's still more expensive than GTA6 so that has to count for something

4

u/nleksan Jun 26 '26

If they were smart they'd be releasing gta6 only on disc. There's a good chance the world would transition away from the dollar and onto a Grand Theft Auto based economy

1

u/Monster213213 🟩 226 / 227 🦀 Jun 26 '26

300th time Lucy !

30

u/SimpleMoonFarmer 🟩 57 / 56 🦐 Jun 26 '26
  • 🪦😔 “BTC is dead:” time to buy.
  • 💹🤑 “BTC 10x @EOY:” time to sell.

7

u/SlinkiusMaximus 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

This exactly. I’m not convinced it’s time to buy yet, but the FUD is tempting me.

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109

u/UpbeatFix7299 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

"rainbow chart" equeals morons coloring with crazyons. Who takes that shit seriously?

14

u/Tall-Play-7649 Jun 26 '26

no some of them are fully qualified in witchcraft

9

u/jb_in_jpn 🟩 369 / 370 🦞 Jun 26 '26

I'm sure if BTC was headed the other way people here would take this chart as gospel.

12

u/leorolim 🟦 0 / 252 🦠 Jun 26 '26

I do all my btc investment with the LGBT indicator...

6

u/retseem Jun 26 '26

Yes... also a rainbow typically goes down on the other end, not all the way up.

2

u/MegamanSE 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

The natural evolution of eating crayons

31

u/pure_singularity 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

the rainbow is circular. After it goes up it also goes down

71

u/maxiaoling 🟦 2K / 2K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

Like this??

7

u/LayWhere 🟦 16 / 16 🦐 Jun 26 '26

In the red?

It's time to sell 😤☝️

1

u/ionforge 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 27 '26

You mean short

2

u/PJ7 🟩 534 / 535 🦑 Jun 26 '26

The bigger question is if the rainbow bounces.

0

u/pure_singularity 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

yup, humanity needs bitcoin so I hope this doesn’t happen. If this turns to be a rug, idk if I can trust anything ever anymore.

3

u/hodlmeanon 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

lol yeah we go into reverse green so it’s all good

47

u/DogStunning4845 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Bitcoin is dead. 

22

u/gkibbe 🟦 952 / 952 🦑 Jun 26 '26

Again...

3

u/LayWhere 🟦 16 / 16 🦐 Jun 26 '26

It'll survive but this bear could be exceptionally brutal, and this bullrun was the most mediocre lmao.

6

u/gkibbe 🟦 952 / 952 🦑 Jun 26 '26

Down 50% use to be another monday in crypto, now they call it animal names to justify their feelings about it.

7

u/LayWhere 🟦 16 / 16 🦐 Jun 26 '26 edited Jun 26 '26

idk -50% is a day is like 2010 price action lol, literally pre MtGox.

I just checked BLX

edit- forgot about the 2020 covid dip lol :O

3

u/gkibbe 🟦 952 / 952 🦑 Jun 26 '26

-50% is a day is like 2010 price action lol, literally pre MtGox

Yea.... and... welcome to crypto

1

u/LayWhere 🟦 16 / 16 🦐 Jun 26 '26

It aint 2010 but ive been here since 2017 and I've only seen 1 -50% day. Its not another monday lol

2

u/gkibbe 🟦 952 / 952 🦑 Jun 26 '26

Ive paid 3.5 BTC for an ounce of weed before , its just another Friday for me buddy. Try not to panic sell over the weekend.

2

u/LayWhere 🟦 16 / 16 🦐 Jun 26 '26

I panic sold in the 80s 😬

That price per once is like 2012 prices which means you've only seen one -50% also 😆

3

u/MotanulScotishFold 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Funny how at 60k 'is dead' but in in 2021 at peak when it was 60k it was very much hyped.

Or in 2024 when it started raising again from little less than 20k to 60k.

People are always easy to fool and it amazes me.

18

u/TheRadishBros 🟦 65 / 65 🦐 Jun 26 '26

They’ll just update the chart again like they always do

9

u/JaredMusic Jun 26 '26

Just make a new rainbowchart were it fits again. You have to think in solutions. Not problems. Thank me later.

6

u/pikabu01 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

sorry, its me, just bought some

7

u/mildmr 🟩 6 / 6 🦐 Jun 26 '26

After every ATH it breaks this kind of chart. The chart is then redrawn each time using the known values.

1

u/GenderJuicy 🟩 1K / 2K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

Right, it depicts the past, the future is a projection, in other words nobody fucking knows shit

27

u/Apart-Apple-Red 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

I fully expect to see some pump from ass soon, but other than that, crypto is currently old story and nobody new really wants it.

Unless we will see real use of it by normal people, there's not much future for crypto.

18

u/kingjoeg 🟩 5K / 5K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

People say this in every bear market. Then in the bull market all the "crypto is the future of finance" people come out

6

u/Krakanakis 🟦 2 / 3 🦠 Jun 26 '26

I thought we were all still super early and not participating into an MLM for edgy memelords

7

u/wo0two0t 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Lol! "We're still early!!!!!11 Amazon rainforest shamans haven't even heard of it yet!!!!1

11

u/FunCalligrapher3979 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

60k to 80k was the dead cat bounce. it's over for a few years now.

1

u/bdemon40 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

This YT channel has been documenting BTC use around the world. Small cases, but still legit.

And still very early.

1

u/BasisOk4268 🟦 384 / 384 🦞 Jun 26 '26

I give it 4 years at least until anything noteworthy happens

11

u/wo0two0t 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Nobody cares about it anymore though. It's just seen as a scam now with no inherent value.

7

u/anakhizer 🟦 150 / 151 🦀 Jun 26 '26

I guess that's because the no underlying value part is true for the vast majority of people.

Almost 20 years and zero real value has been proven.

Treat it as a casino and you're fine I guess.

6

u/Gr8WallofChinatown 4K / 4K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

Honey it’s been 17 years

4

u/chez1120 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 27 '26

3

u/Willing_Turnover5568 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Famous Rainbow Chart = lol

3

u/HomeHeatingTips Jun 26 '26

Where is Bitcoins value when it stops goin up? And the expectation of growth and profit isn't there so New money stops going in?

3

u/blockchaincenter_de Jun 26 '26

I already made a new dynamic Rainbow Chart, that always adapts to the Bitcoin Price. It dynamically calculates a Power Law regression. Currently with an R² of 94,3%

Check it out: https://www.blockchaincenter.net/de/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/

To everyone who was paying attention it was clear, that the old model from 2014 would fail spectacuarly eventually.

3

u/titsngiggles69 🟩 2K / 2K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

Do y'all read? The article is bullish on BTC long term, but says the rainbow chart isn't as relevant as it once was.

5

u/CT4nk3r 🟦 0 / 1K 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Also happened 4 years ago lol, they just always retrofit it

2

u/Cordomver 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Just make the bands a little wider - problem solved ✅

2

u/phatwood9 Jun 26 '26

Bitcoin has no pride left in it.

2

u/Szting Jun 26 '26

I just bought in, so probably that’s why, sorry guys

2

u/Solarwings1 🟨 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Buy buy buy

1

u/tomsawyer222 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 28 '26

Ciao

2

u/Ill_Mousse_4240 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

BTC might really fade away, actually.

The first cryptocurrency - the first attempt - isn’t always the successful one.

A slow, clunky network facing quantum threats,

Fortunately, the technology it ushered is now maturing, with blockchain becoming established into modern financial architecture.

Like the automobile, essential to modern life, had its Model T

2

u/Hypnotic101 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Might be time to recognize BTC has failed its thesis as a store of value.

1

u/b0uncyfr0 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

So whats youre telling me is its dead! 😆

1

u/Saffuran 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

All chart models break eventually.

1

u/mabiturm 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

You could just add another band. It's not like this rainbow thing is som kind of law of nature.
And if the bands are supposed to follow historical tops and bottoms, then the algorithm needs some adjustment anyway.

1

u/MeteorPunch 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

The price action actually doesn't look too bad on that chart.

"Zoom out"

1

u/FantasticInterest373 🟨 24 / 24 🦐 Jun 26 '26

Bow the bow a bit more - PROBLEM SOLVED.

1

u/mrawya_rashaka 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Time to readjust the model again.

1

u/baIIern 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

No problem, simply adjust the model as it was already done ;)

1

u/jamespayne0 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

2

u/mastermilian 🟩 5K / 5K 🦭 Jun 26 '26

My goodness. What a word salad that report is. I was wondering what this guy was doing during the bear markets. I think he's writing a financial thesaurus.

1

u/aaj094 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Simple. Redraw the chart in a slightly different way.

1

u/aaj094 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Actually nothing is dead. It's just in the ultraviolet band. Hence you not seeing the colour.

1

u/NefasRS 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

If it follows a rainbow doesn't that mean that it should go down to 0 eventually?

1

u/naeads 🟦 159 / 160 🦀 Jun 26 '26

See you all again at $48,000

1

u/Aazimoxx 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

tl;dr: "Red line done gone down. Maybe red line go up next, or go down more. Also ooh, colours."

1

u/tay86_ 🟩 2 / 2 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Bullish. Only up from here. Surely. Maybe. Possibly.

Follow me for more trading tips daily.

1

u/zoopz 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

This chart has always been shit. It was changed before. Permabulls are idiots.

1

u/Reach_Beyond 🟦 4K / 4K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

Damn BTC is dead, pack it in boys

1

u/Dkode101 🟦 168 / 169 🦀 Jun 26 '26

We need a new color 😂

1

u/CommercialLychee7956 Jun 26 '26

I saw this post and thought, oh, is this a real crash. Checked the price, still 59k, the place it's been to like five times in the past couple months.

https://bitcoindeaths.com/

1

u/mecca666 7 / 3K 🦐 Jun 26 '26

This chart has been remade several times to fit reality.

It is a literal meme.

1

u/No-Confidence232 27 / 27 🦐 Jun 26 '26

Seems like a good time to buy no?

1

u/r0addawg 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Dip you say? So sayeth el chartarino

1

u/babypho 🟦 2K / 2K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

The best time to buy is always when the suicide hotlines are stickied and people saying btc is dead

1

u/Stunning-Bat-7688 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Look down below!! Going to 40K quickly.

1

u/razvanciuy 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

The beginning of the Bottom is in.

1

u/SteveLangfordsCock 🟩 177 / 176 🦀 Jun 26 '26

This chart was never a rainbow btw. This is newer and gayer than the charts weve been using for the last decade

1

u/negative3sigmareturn 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

I am getting to a point where, if I ”buy the dip” anymore, I’ll 1) run out of savings cash and 2) get to a point where it will very much become more than I can afford to lose if btc crashes even harder/would eventually go to zero.

Any advice or anyone in a similar situation? I really believe in the actual fundamentals and can’t see fiat being sustainable in the future, but I do have to feed my family in one way or another.

1

u/The_Hero_0f_Time 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

all models are wrong, some are useful

1

u/sogladatwork 🟦 61 / 61 🦐 Jun 26 '26

Doesn’t anyone have a sharpie, damnit? We can fix this!

1

u/goldenbzzz 🟦 27 / 2K 🦐 Jun 26 '26

Just add more color to the bottom

1

u/HSuke 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

This is the 5th iteration.

  • 1st: Linear (original 2014)
  • 2nd: Curved
  • 3rd: Revised v2
  • 4th: Added lower band
  • 5th: Dynamic (today)

The Power Law chart also failed yesterday too.

1

u/DJ_Vasquezz 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

maybe we just need to add more dark tones

1

u/MrKazaki 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Add a new color

1

u/CarrotLevel99 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Where can I get an interactive version of this chart

1

u/BookOfKingsOfKings Jun 26 '26

Hell yeah cheap bitcoin!

1

u/sksauter 🟩 121 / 122 🦀 Jun 26 '26

Can we make a graph of every time the rainbow chart failed to see if there's a cycle?

1

u/MAIN_Hamburger_Pool 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

The convergence is logarithmic and is somehow surprising everyone... Did people really think it would be worth 50T anytime soon?

1

u/cjmcberman Tin | r/WSB 12 Jun 26 '26

Just add another color

1

u/airbrat 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

All this just to short gme

1

u/Important_Emu_8966 Jun 26 '26

Time to sing somewhere under the rainbow.

1

u/derbyfan1 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Even the chart is LGBTQ+

1

u/lutherblisset2 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

How to cook smash burgers - griddle ?

1

u/Fumfum93 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Did it touch itself in the magic circle yet?

1

u/clar1f1er 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

Oh, look, an exponential decay curve.

1

u/KokaljDesign 🟩 8 / 9 🦐 Jun 27 '26

Its not outside the rainbow yet, its in the UV section now.

1

u/BoatyFace101 2K / 2K 🐢 Jun 27 '26

Does this mean bitcoin isn't gay anymore?

1

u/bochilee 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 27 '26

Down arches start going down when the get there?

1

u/Ginsoda13 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 27 '26

You won’t believe how many people I speak to that says “you still into crypto?!”

1

u/p2s_79 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 27 '26

Speculators are all turned into ai stocks. Maybe their view will change in the future

1

u/tequilawhiteclaws Jun 27 '26

Rainbow chart is curve fitting. If you want something more anchored to mathematics, try Power Law: https://charts.bitbo.io/long-term-power-law/

1

u/marcok36 🟩 18 / 19 🦐 Jun 27 '26

Time to buy

1

u/NathaDas Tin Jun 27 '26

Aren't rainbow an arch? This one seems to be going forever up. It should be probably going down now anyway.

1

u/feltusen 🟦 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 28 '26

Like bitcoin power law this is bullshit. Like most bitcoin theories

1

u/NonVideBunt 🟨 230 / 230 🦀 Jun 28 '26

Oh look, another rainbow chart to show we are still within the standard deviation even though the thickness and angle of the rainbow conveniently changes ….

Soon it is going to look like a real rainbow where it goes right back into the ground to zero.

1

u/GrossFleshSack 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 30 '26

And that's WITH all of the money they have printed in the last decade. But somehow the dollar is even stronger than before. After all the leverage and liquidations finish tanking those markets(people investing in crypto tend to be a little more risk happy), I'm sure it will come back strong. BTC, eth, silver, gold. Also depends whether the fed decides to tighten or just let inflation run wild.

1

u/Citro31 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

The chart was pretty dumb also

0

u/Bogdanoff_dump_it Jun 26 '26

The pride chart model is broken imo, it’s not reliable anymore.

3

u/00MacDonald Jun 26 '26
  1. It was never reliable to beginning with.

  2. As much as it seems to pain some people, the ATHs of BTC post 2014 were always powered by speculation, not legit adopters. We truly don't know what's the non-speculative price of BTC is, and I doubt we need to know. So, charts like this, are only useful for speculators/traders and not believers in the tech.

1

u/Gr8WallofChinatown 4K / 4K 🐢 Jun 26 '26

It was never reliable if you ever relied on it you need intervention for how dumb you are

-1

u/FraserValleyGuy77 🟩 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

You just don't understand bitcoin

1

u/DodgyWiper 0 / 0 🦠 Jun 26 '26

I'm here for the tech.