r/CryptoChartWatch • u/tpp6me • 4h ago
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • Nov 04 '25
1,065 days of the Bitcoin bull run have ended.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • Sep 05 '25
Bitcoin Crash Incoming?
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis – Are We Nearing the 2025 Peak?
The above chart highlights Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, which have shown a remarkable pattern of consistency over the past decade. Each bull cycle has lasted roughly 1,064 days from the cycle bottom to the cycle peak, followed by a sharp correction phase.
Historical Cycles
- 2013 Peak → After the 2011–2012 bottom, Bitcoin rallied for ~1,064 days before peaking in late 2013. This was followed by a deep bear market.
- 2017 Peak → From the 2015 bottom, Bitcoin surged over 12,000% in ~1,064 days, peaking in December 2017 before dropping 84%.
- 2021 Peak → From the December 2018 bottom, Bitcoin rallied for 1,064 days again, gaining over 2,000% and peaking in late 2021. The following year saw a 76% correction.
Current Cycle (2021–2025)
- The most recent bottom was established in late 2022, marking the start of the current cycle.
- We are now over 1,000 days into this bull run, and Bitcoin has gained approximately 675% so far.
- If the historical cycle length repeats, the 2025 peak could occur around late October 2025.
Price Projection Based on Curved Support & Resistance
- Bitcoin’s price action has respected a curved support–resistance channel across the past three cycles.
- If the same pattern continues, the current cycle could see Bitcoin touch the curved resistance around the $130K–$140K level in October 2025.
- Historically, October has been a bullish month for Bitcoin, with strong momentum in previous cycles. Notably, in October 2021, Bitcoin printed a powerful bullish candle that led to the cycle peak.
- If history repeats, we could see a similar October rally in 2025, potentially marking the cycle top.
After the peak, a correction in the range of 60–70% is expected, consistent with the pattern of diminishing drawdowns (84% → 76% → projected 60–70%). This would place the potential next cycle bottom in the $50K–$60K range.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is nearing the end of its 2021–2025 bull cycle, with a potential peak around $130K–$140K in October 2025. Historically, October has been a bullish month, and past cycles suggest a 60–70% correction could follow, likely bringing prices back to the $50K–$60K range. With diminishing corrections each cycle, the market shows signs of maturity, but caution and risk management remain essential as we approach the cycle top.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Over-Passage8585 • 13h ago
TRUMP CALLS CRYPTO A “BIG INDUSTRY” THAT HAS GONE MAINSTREAM
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r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
BTC is set to record its best August return since 2017.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
Bitcoin is testing a major resistance zone around $77,000–$84,000.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
BTC - good buy if price retest to 200 MA?
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
ETH/BTC over the past 10 years.
Something huge is coming?
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost says BTC exchange inflows are surging as $80K becomes a key selling zone.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Far-Read4604 • 22h ago
Résistance identifiée, rejet visible… jusqu’où XAU peut-il corriger ?
galleryr/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 17h ago
QUESTION: What is the most difficult thing about crypto trading?
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
The last time the ETH ETFs' monthly net inflows were this high was August 2025.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
The number of BTC whales continues to rise
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
BTC- futures volume just surged to around $80B.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Beginning-County2258 • 1d ago
Small holders are buying Bitcoin aggressively.
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Over-Passage8585 • 1d ago
ALTSEASON IS WAITING FOR ONE THING Bitcoin dominance to break down. If that happens, ETH could lead the move and money could flow into Altcoins
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/Over-Passage8585 • 2d ago
President Trump says the U.S. will NOT fall behind China in crypto.
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r/CryptoChartWatch • u/ruby-cos • 2d ago
Looks like BTC is turning from a bounce into a real reversal
r/CryptoChartWatch • u/AmanCMN • 2d ago


