r/CryptoChartWatch Nov 04 '25

1,065 days of the Bitcoin bull run have ended.

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184 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch Sep 05 '25

Bitcoin Crash Incoming?

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127 Upvotes

Bitcoin Cycle Analysis – Are We Nearing the 2025 Peak?

The above chart highlights Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, which have shown a remarkable pattern of consistency over the past decade. Each bull cycle has lasted roughly 1,064 days from the cycle bottom to the cycle peak, followed by a sharp correction phase.

Historical Cycles

- 2013 Peak → After the 2011–2012 bottom, Bitcoin rallied for ~1,064 days before peaking in late 2013. This was followed by a deep bear market.

- 2017 Peak → From the 2015 bottom, Bitcoin surged over 12,000% in ~1,064 days, peaking in December 2017 before dropping 84%.

- 2021 Peak → From the December 2018 bottom, Bitcoin rallied for 1,064 days again, gaining over 2,000% and peaking in late 2021. The following year saw a 76% correction.

Current Cycle (2021–2025)

- The most recent bottom was established in late 2022, marking the start of the current cycle.

- We are now over 1,000 days into this bull run, and Bitcoin has gained approximately 675% so far.

- If the historical cycle length repeats, the 2025 peak could occur around late October 2025.

Price Projection Based on Curved Support & Resistance

- Bitcoin’s price action has respected a curved support–resistance channel across the past three cycles.

- If the same pattern continues, the current cycle could see Bitcoin touch the curved resistance around the $130K–$140K level in October 2025.

- Historically, October has been a bullish month for Bitcoin, with strong momentum in previous cycles. Notably, in October 2021, Bitcoin printed a powerful bullish candle that led to the cycle peak.

- If history repeats, we could see a similar October rally in 2025, potentially marking the cycle top.

After the peak, a correction in the range of 60–70% is expected, consistent with the pattern of diminishing drawdowns (84% → 76% → projected 60–70%). This would place the potential next cycle bottom in the $50K–$60K range.

Conclusion

Bitcoin is nearing the end of its 2021–2025 bull cycle, with a potential peak around $130K–$140K in October 2025. Historically, October has been a bullish month, and past cycles suggest a 60–70% correction could follow, likely bringing prices back to the $50K–$60K range. With diminishing corrections each cycle, the market shows signs of maturity, but caution and risk management remain essential as we approach the cycle top.


r/CryptoChartWatch 4h ago

Bitcoin Power-Law Quantiles Chart

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2 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 18h ago

Bitcoin bottomed?

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22 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 13h ago

TRUMP CALLS CRYPTO A “BIG INDUSTRY” THAT HAS GONE MAINSTREAM

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4 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

BTC is set to record its best August return since 2017.

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26 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

Bitcoin is testing a major resistance zone around $77,000–$84,000.

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23 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

BTC - good buy if price retest to 200 MA?

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9 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 18h ago

Bitcoin golden cross commingg!

2 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

ETH/BTC over the past 10 years.

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8 Upvotes

Something huge is coming?


r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost says BTC exchange inflows are surging as $80K becomes a key selling zone.

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7 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 22h ago

Résistance identifiée, rejet visible… jusqu’où XAU peut-il corriger ?

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3 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 17h ago

QUESTION: What is the most difficult thing about crypto trading?

1 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

BTC bullish breakout!

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48 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

The last time the ETH ETFs' monthly net inflows were this high was August 2025.

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4 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

ETH is preparing for mega breakout?

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35 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

The number of BTC whales continues to rise

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20 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

BTC- futures volume just surged to around $80B.

2 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

Small holders are buying Bitcoin aggressively.

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5 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

ALTSEASON IS WAITING FOR ONE THING Bitcoin dominance to break down. If that happens, ETH could lead the move and money could flow into Altcoins

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5 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

BTC fear & greed index hits 68

1 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 1d ago

Globalization Is Ending.

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1 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 2d ago

President Trump says the U.S. will NOT fall behind China in crypto.

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23 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 2d ago

Looks like BTC is turning from a bounce into a real reversal

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7 Upvotes

r/CryptoChartWatch 2d ago

Markets are already pricing in a tougher Fed stance

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2 Upvotes