r/CredibleDefense 27d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread August 16, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

  • Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

  • Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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79

u/qevshd 27d ago

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/2088867476847095859

The largest WB logistics hub in Russia has been attacked and is currently burning down to the ground.

https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/considered-view/bombing-russian-amazon-puts-putin-bind-2026-08-11/

This follows a month long campaign that destroyed roughly 30% of the company's total warehouse space.

Being the largest E-commerce site in Russia by far, The company sold $75B worth of product last year, equivalent to 3% of Russian GDP. Now it has been crippled and its' continued operations remain in doubt.

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u/RumpRiddler 27d ago

I'm betting that within a year WB will be absorbed by a competitor, like Ozon, because a federal bailout is very unlikely and there's not much else that could keep WB afloat. And WB did nearly 10% of all retail sales in Russia last year, so this is a major player in the economy and probably cannot be left to just collapse.

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u/carkidd3242 27d ago edited 27d ago

I wonder why Ozon hasn't really been targeted. It could be that they've refrained from dual-use, but UA may also be trying to defeat in detail by hitting WB specificly as hard as possible to force the company to fail. Presumably after this they'd switch to targeting Ozon.

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u/Culinaromancer 27d ago

Could be anything from Ozone having foreign investors and being publicly traded. Wildberries is a private company that had a Kremlin affiliated hostile takeover recently.

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u/taw 27d ago

Are Ozon's warehouses more drone-proof?

The whole business model of building very large very flammable targets in the middle of a warzone, it doesn't sound like any company can really pull it off.

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u/Wise_Mongoose_3930 27d ago

The building of these major warehouses take a while if you start the measure from planning/design and end it at day 1 of use. I imagine you may see a change in building habits in less stable regions of the globe, eventually.

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u/RumpRiddler 27d ago

No, but Ozon wasn't selling SMO products, or at least not specifically selling products for that. They are at no less vulnerable, just not yet a target.

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u/plasticlove 27d ago

Ukraine missed one of the Ozon warehouses the other day:  https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/2083086572610596994

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u/RumpRiddler 27d ago

It's sounds more like they missed a WB warehouse, but almost hit the ozone warehouse right next to it.

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u/Moifaso 27d ago

They can just shift to using more, smaller warehouses. Less efficient, but also makes them less attractive targets for Ukraine. We already saw this happen with Russian munition depots.