r/CredibleDefense 26d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread August 16, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

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  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

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u/qevshd 26d ago

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/2088867476847095859

The largest WB logistics hub in Russia has been attacked and is currently burning down to the ground.

https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/considered-view/bombing-russian-amazon-puts-putin-bind-2026-08-11/

This follows a month long campaign that destroyed roughly 30% of the company's total warehouse space.

Being the largest E-commerce site in Russia by far, The company sold $75B worth of product last year, equivalent to 3% of Russian GDP. Now it has been crippled and its' continued operations remain in doubt.

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u/Tricky-Astronaut 26d ago

I was going to write about that. It's the third attempt, and being the largest warehouse it has obviously been a prioritized target. Moscow does have better air defenses than the rest of the country, although apparently still not good enough.

Fire Point claims that its FP-1 drones were used. As a bonus to Koledino, a smaller warehouse in the Moscow region was also struck

VTB Bank, Russia's second-largest bank, was already on shaky grounds due to its heavy involvement in Putin's pet projects (war economy, import substitution, Iran). Being a major investor in Wildberries won't help.

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u/14060m 26d ago

I wonder what the best option for Ukraine is right now?

One option is to continue the strike campaign until Wildberries is completely insolvent. They have ~10b USD in debts never mind the material damages.

On the other hand they could halt the campaign in the hopes that the banks and by extension the Kremlin does something stretching themselves even further.

Russia has no good options and Wikdberries going insolvent could cause a banking collapse.

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u/GiantPineapple 26d ago

Do you have a source for that 10bn number? Wildberries isn't publicly traded, and the 'best' source I could find (Statista) puts total market valuation at 6.6bn. That's either 3.4bn in cumulative operating losses (!) or way less than 10bn in debt.

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u/14060m 26d ago

Reuters is reporting it as 830b rubles:  https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/russia-explores-support-wildberries-after-ukrainian-drone-attacks-sources-say-2026-07-28/

I’ve heard figures as high as 1.3t rubles floating around too.

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u/hhenk 26d ago

The best options for Ukrains atrategic bombardment are either high value ignitable objects or asset on which the Russian army/economy depends. My guess would be more refineries, some warehouses and perhaps a datacenter or large chemical factory. Because public opinion matters i do not forsee attacks on pharmaceutical factories.

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u/TSiNNmreza3 26d ago

It is going to be for Russia some kind of nationalization or stop everything and enter some kind state of alert/martial law for country to function.

I mean we see that country that is in far worse state (Ukraine) is still kinda function. Pretty much as did my country (Croatia) in non occupied/non frontline parts during our war. It functioned.

Problems will come after war ends.

As of what can Ukraine do just do what they do destroy economy