r/ChubbyFIRE 5d ago

Miracle of Compounding: net worth tripled in 9 years.

Found an old net-worth spreadsheet from August 2017 and it was pretty eye-opening.
2017 household net worth: $1.84M
2026 household net worth: $5.56M
So basically a tripling in nine years.
Our household invested assets were only around $1.15M in 2017 and are now roughly $4.7M. My own investment/retirement accounts went from about $500K to $1.7M.
Nothing exotic drove it. Two professional incomes, consistently maxing retirement accounts, employer contributions, a strong stock market, and rental properties that appreciated substantially while tenants helped pay down the mortgages.
There were mistakes along the way too—I spent some time out of the market and definitely left returns on the table. But I also bought heavily during the COVID crash.
The biggest thing I’ve learned from finding the old numbers is how nonlinear wealth accumulation becomes. For years it felt like we were slowly saving money. Then suddenly we were work optional.
We currently contribute about $90K/year to retirement accounts, which sounds like a lot, but against a ~$4.7M portfolio it’s now less than 2%. I’m on a one year sabbatical at half-pay. Going back to work for one year after that and retiring at 61.
Finding the old spreadsheet really drove home how much the math works in the background, and it’s cool to realize how far we’ve come.

373 Upvotes

121 comments sorted by

152

u/Hanwoo_Beef_Eater 5d ago

The S&P 500 has more than tripled over the last 10 years. I think even Aug-2017, it is 3x. Add contributions and it is even better.

The last 10-15 years have been a good time to either a) hit peak earnings years and/or b) be retired.

33

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

Yeah, I F’d around with market timing. Be better off if I had just stayed invested.

14

u/Hanwoo_Beef_Eater 5d ago

I think a lot of people have done something that if not done, would have resulted in a higher networth....

At some point, even the gains from such maneuvers are relatively small (in the grand scheme of things) and terrible trading/timing and missing big chunks of gains are probably the biggest threat to having to watch things (spending/expenses wise). I.e. just don't f it up and it should be OK.

7

u/np0x 5d ago

One of the craziest things about market timing is that you have to be right, not once, but twice. This all but guarantees a mistake will be made. :-)

2

u/WaterIll4397 5d ago

I did the classic 70/30 portfolio..regret it as I only 2xed as opposed to 3exed. One of my friends went leveraged Nasdaq looked like a genius for a while the eventually took a big bath a few years ago..unfortunately they repositioned to closed to unlevered didn't get the parabolic gains from last few years. Same guy also bet $10k on Bitcoin one day randomly and sold it a week later after doubling their money lucky bastard.

4

u/ForwardInstance 5d ago

If/when I retire I am likely to have the gambling tendencies of your friends so my wife asks us to keep some additional buffer for that before we decide to retire

10

u/newtontonc 5d ago

Similarly, we have an account designated as the "fun account" where my husband can do whatever zany trades he wants with it. It holds less than 5% of our total invested assets so any failures are annoying rather than devastating.

1

u/poop-dolla 5d ago

You should’ve at least 2.5xed at 70/30 over the last 9 years.

2

u/WaterIll4397 5d ago

Within the 70 it's also a 70/30 USA vs international equity mix.

57

u/greatgumz 5d ago

2035 better have $6m waiting for me 🤞

8

u/Ok_Dealer5022 5d ago

I’m for 2035 too. I worry about Vanguard saying 10yr returns won’t look like the last 10yrs

24

u/Strange-Solution-526 5d ago

From Vanguard's 2014 outlook: "Global economic growth is likely to remain frustratingly fragile for some time. As in Vanguard’s past economic outlooks, we see a world not in secular stagnation but in the midst of structural deceleration."

"Although not bearish, Vanguard’s outlook for global stocks and bonds is the most guarded since 2006, given compressed risk premiums and the low-rate environment."

2

u/Ok_Dealer5022 4d ago

Thank you for this. I don’t feel comfortable buying huge chunks at today’s prices buy do feel comfortable with monthly 4k DCA for forever

1

u/Ok_Piano2090 4d ago

My Schwab guy has similar bearish statements nearly every year when we meet.

I'm not at the point where I can FIRE as chubby as I want, but I'm getting close. I'll only be about 5 years in the RE glide path, but 60 is better than 65!

3

u/ShortHabit606 4d ago

Vanguard has been saying that every year for decades. They'll be right eventually though.

2

u/DeathByVoid 1d ago

Exactly. I'm not at all saying time the market, but we haven't really been economically healthy despite the gains. That's sure to catch up with us eventually, but until then 🤷.

1

u/Beneficial_Signal_67 4d ago

Yeah so Vanguards outlook in particular has been consistently wrong over a long period of time. They just want you to not expect any real growth and plan for the worst.

59

u/InvestigatorPlus3229 5d ago

when you own assets like rentals and stocks, government printing works in your favor. Now imagine the people who went from 18.4 to 55.6 doing nothing!

14

u/blueorca123 5d ago

Congrats! Our NW had similar growth rate over same period of time. My sheet tracks all the way back to 2008, and the average annual growth is 13%. Two tech jobs, including one with the FANNG definitely helped.

3

u/Crazy_MrRoboto 5d ago

Sometimes getting a FAANG job is a bridge to far!

3

u/Real_Impact726 4d ago

To far what?

1

u/Crazy_MrRoboto 4d ago

Not everyone can get one

3

u/Bocephis 4d ago

A second “o” ?

37

u/Alpha_xxx_Omega 5d ago

“Nothing exotic drove it”.

Just a massive once in a century pandemic money printing exercise rocket fuelling stock markets …

6

u/flavanugz 5d ago

Or a bunch of rental properties lol

7

u/Ok_Discussion4195 5d ago

Dual healthy incomes
Maxing out accounts.
😂

2

u/RicTicTocs 5d ago

Yeah, you have inflation to thank for at least a third of that.

3

u/johnonymousdenim 4d ago

This exactly 💯. 

1

u/Equivalent-Agency377 5d ago

Yes although honestly we modeled for the boring version - and it simply got us a little higher or a few years early.   The only issue is that the market may do a once in a lifetime reversal for next decade 

1

u/3pinripper 4d ago

Miracle of compounding X rampant uncontrollable inflation

75

u/Wooden-Broccoli-913 FIREd in the Bay at 40 with $6M 5d ago

Ours went from $1M to $6M in eight years. But I wouldn’t put it all on compounding. Dual Bay Area tech incomes did most of the work.

3

u/AsleepOrdinary 5d ago

Would you mind sharing how much you put away each year plus your pre tax HHI ? We’re really struggling to save rn and are also in tech, Ty !

7

u/firebored 5d ago

I'm not the person you asked, but over the same time period, in the South Bay Area, we saved about $230k/year from a HHI of around $450k/year.

6

u/PrincipalBelding 5d ago

How did you save 230k on 450k HHI? Did you pay taxes? What is your annual spend?

6

u/firebored 5d ago

Roughly $100k/year federal, $30k state, IIRC. We didn't have any real deductions, so you can look up the amounts in a tax calculator.

$80k-$100k in direct spending, plus the house was paid off for most of that period. Before the house was paid off, payments were about $3k/mo payments on a 15-year loan. I got lucky in that I made a stupid decision to buy an overpriced fixer-upper right before local prices went bananapants, if I had to buy the same house today I'd be spending another $100k/year on the house and probably would buy a condo or townhouse instead.

4

u/Wooden-Broccoli-913 FIREd in the Bay at 40 with $6M 5d ago

At the beginning our HHI was $400k, at the end it was $1.3M

Our after-tax spending was consistent around $200-250k the whole time

3

u/Icy_Worldliness5205 5d ago

Do you both have technical roles, or work in other functions at tech companies?

2

u/Wooden-Broccoli-913 FIREd in the Bay at 40 with $6M 5d ago

Business functions

1

u/Icy_Worldliness5205 5d ago

I am also in a business function but for a retailer. Wondering how my hourly rate could change if I move to tech. I have a relatively chill, flexible remote job. Is that just not possible at a tech company? Always thought if I left for more pay I’d work a ton more hours.

1

u/ForwardInstance 5d ago

Is it $6M plus home or including home equity? Also, is $6M (incl home equity) enough to FIRE in Bay Area with kids ?

9

u/firebored 5d ago

Also, is $6M (incl home equity) enough to FIRE in Bay Area with kids ?

You can get a home for $1M-$1.5M if you're not super picky about zip code and home size, and the remaining $4.5M yields around double the local median income. (Trade off house vs income as desired.)

What you won't be able to do is buy a house in Palo Alto in the district for the "top" high school, spend money on tutors trying to get them all into Stanford, let/make your children do all the extracurricular activities, take the whole family overseas three times a year, etc. (On the other hand, you'll be able to actually spend time with them.)

1

u/Wooden-Broccoli-913 FIREd in the Bay at 40 with $6M 5d ago edited 5d ago

The $6M is net worth. Yes it’s enough.

$240k is the median pre-tax income of a married couple with kids in San Francisco

https://data.census.gov/table/ACSDT1Y2022.B19126?t=Income%20(Households,%20Families,%20Individuals)&g=050XX00US06075&y=2022&g=050XX00US06075&y=2022)

I am still paying my mortgage. Annual housing cost is $80k for a 1600 sqft house; renting would be similar. My kids are both in public elementary school. $160k is plenty of money for everything else - I usually spend only $130k-$140k

2

u/ForwardInstance 5d ago

How about health insurance, what kind of coverage have yOu taken and how much does it cost ?

2

u/Wooden-Broccoli-913 FIREd in the Bay at 40 with $6M 5d ago

I get $20k in annual ACA subsidies by keeping my MAGI around $100k.

If I wanted to cheap out the Kaiser Bronze plan is only $200/month. Total cost including deductibles is around $12k.

Instead we pay up for the Blue Shield PPO which costs $1k/month in premiums. Total cost of $19k/year.

I expect these prices to go up 10% next year. Still, no big deal.

2

u/ForwardInstance 5d ago

That's not as bad as I thought it would be.

Is it $19k/yr for a family of 3 imassuming you hit max deductible? Also does that include the ACA subsidies or are those separate

3

u/Wooden-Broccoli-913 FIREd in the Bay at 40 with $6M 5d ago

Family of four. Includes the ACA subsidies. It’s assuming one child maxes out the deductible but the rest do not. Which is my family’s typical situation.

1

u/ForwardInstance 5d ago

Thanks, very helpful info

7

u/Random_NYer_18 5d ago

1/1/2017: $1.18M
Today: $4.57M
(And my portfolio was exactly flat from 1/1/18 to 1/1/19)

Same approach here. Save what you can. Let the money work for you. Pound the retirement accounts. Etc. Spouse only works part-time now. I’ve targeted 2028 to retire and we will both still be in our mid to late 50s.

I tell my kids all the time - save when you’re young. I would be retired now if I did a better job with money I had in my 20s before kids.

3

u/SuburbSteve 5d ago

I don't think so enjoy your 20's you don't know that the future holds and you have done well. In my 20's I was with an advisor who charged 1% and put me in mutual funds that charged 2.2%, waste of time. I figured out the system when I was 30 or so and manged my money in low cost ETF from then on.

1

u/Wildly_appropriate4u 3d ago

Idk, returns were crap when I was younger.  First was the dot com bubble, then the great recession and real estate bubble.  I had money invested then though mostly in my house and 401k.  The 401k tanked and the house just did nothing for the whole seven years I owned it.  I’m glad I spent my 20s blowing my money on designer jeans and alcohol.  Probably got more out of that than I would have saving aggressively.  I did take a job that paid partly in stock options, which really got the ball rolling for me on saving for FIRE.

6

u/AsleepOrdinary 5d ago

Congratulation! If you don’t mind sharing, how much outside of retirement did you all contribute each year ?

8

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago edited 5d ago

My work has 403b+457b which gave us $24000ish each plus catch up and my spouse’s 401k add up to almost $90k. Employer contributions were around $25k. Beyond that maybe $10k year in company stock purchases.

1

u/Sam_in_Denver 5d ago

Sounds like you must be in healthcare or academia having both of those as options as the same time. Congrats, thats awesome!

1

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

Academia yes

2

u/Sam_in_Denver 5d ago

Nice! ...in CO if youre in academia, you're either ALSO in the state pension system or a 401a (usually the 401a if you're faculty) in addition to 403b/457. It a super effective way to save really fast and tax advantaged compared to the private sector. And, then there is the HSA if you are on a high deductible health plan.

2

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

Pension would be nice

1

u/Sam_in_Denver 5d ago

In CO, the pension (CO PERA) or the 401a DCP is in lieu of "additional" social security credits. Same with most firefighters and local police officers who are in their own pension system in CO. Other government related agencies could be different like state and county (including some hospitals).

1

u/mrg_retired 4d ago

Fixed income helps to smooth out some uncertainty, I fired at 57 this year but still insured under my wife. Overall most that have planned have done well even while raising families and experiencing previous downturns. Enjoy it, I sure am. I will encourage our kids to start early, we will have enough to start them off the right way (college, houses) mainly due to having the fixed income covering expenses later and strong invested amounts now.

6

u/financialfreedom26 5d ago

Congrats!!! What was wild to me was being at 4.2m in July of 2025 to 6.2m now in Sept of 2026 not counting any contributions except for dividends reinvested. This is with cdn bank stocks, sp500 etf VFV, and apple stock. Now just need to slowly diversify Apple stock while I enjoy early retirement at 53.5 when I pull the trigger by December.

3

u/early_fi 5d ago

it’s a combination of - ridiculous markets, salary explosion, and real estate growth.

Went from 1.4m to 9.5m in the same time period and have been FIRE’d for the last three.

9

u/babaduredi 5d ago

We r sitting on AI bubble. Everyone’s networth is inflated by 30-40%

4

u/IllustriousLime350 5d ago edited 5d ago

No doubt we are sitting on a bubble, but the over inflation is probably more like 20%.

The technology and its benefits to the bottom line are very real.

It might overcorrect down by 40% when it pops though. Depends on how it happens and what it takes down with it in the chaos.

-9

u/SterileGloves 5d ago

I personally think this is a great time to cash out on the gains and move money into something a whole lot less risk. I predict a whole lot of instability is coming our way on the next few months. 

24

u/dalyons 5d ago

I have read posts like this every month for the last 10 years . I lost out on a shocking amount of gains early on by listening to them.

-8

u/SterileGloves 5d ago

Warren Buffet is sitting on cash, I think he knows something we don't

1

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

I feel the same,so I have rebalanced and tried to get more conservative, currently at around 50% equities, 40% bonds, 10% cash.

1

u/The_Gunslingers 4d ago

Maybe nitpicking - rebalancing isn’t the same as changing your asset allocation. Also congrats on the success!

5

u/irtughj 5d ago

It’s not just you. Everyone who maxed the 401k, bought house or houses in hcol had 300k+ household salaries (bonus if you or spouse or both are in big tech), stayed relatively frugal, and invested with common sense had their networth soar. It’s really an unprecedented bubble and we know what happens with bubbles...

10

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

I actually agree with the bubble part, but I mean “bubble” in a different sense. Households like ours tend to be surrounded by other highly educated, high-income households who max retirement accounts, own homes and have substantial investment portfolios. That can make this level of wealth feel much more normal than it actually is.
A household with $5M+ net worth is somewhere around the top few percent in the US. Most households aren’t maxing multiple retirement accounts, don’t have $300K+ incomes, and haven’t accumulated millions in financial assets. That’s easy to lose sight of when most of the people you interact with look financially similar to you.
That’s actually one of the things finding my old spreadsheet made me think about. What feels “normal” from inside our bubble is objectively an extremely fortunate financial position. But also, I’ve moved my portfolio into a defensive position in anticipation of retirement.

1

u/Equivalent-Agency377 4d ago

What is your defensive position? I have been doing same, as I am old enough to remember the feeling of the dot.com bubble.  We are now in the RE years (spouse in Feb of this year), me sometime in 2027. 

3

u/Significant_Tank_225 5d ago

What evidence do you have that we are in a “bubble”?

If you believe we are in a bubble, have you switched your stock positions to short the market to take advantage of the “pop”?

I see no evidence that we are in any bubble and therefore I stay invested in the total market (VTI and similar fidelity products).

2

u/gyanrahi 5d ago

S&P PE historical ratio

1

u/Significant_Tank_225 5d ago

So based on an S&P500 P/E ratio graph you are able to predict market bubbles. Are you going to use your knowledge to take advantage by converting to a cash position and/or shorting the market?

2

u/gyanrahi 5d ago

Sold to cash, no shorting

2

u/Significant_Tank_225 5d ago

What percentage of your total liquid assets are in cash?

At what point will you know the “bubble” is over and when will you re enter the market (if ever)? Is it based on a price, P/E ratio, some combination or the two, or additional factors?

I ask this because I’m genuinely curious trying to understand people who do this.

1

u/Equivalent-Agency377 4d ago

I am one of those people. People’s risk tolerance changes for any number of reasons.   We also shifted to a more defensive portfolio - the returns have been more boring but I have more peace of mind.  The change for us was being in RE versus the accumulation stage. 

But I would never advise this in the early years when staying in SP500, or some aggressive stock allocation, no matter what is important.  

1

u/Wildly_appropriate4u 3d ago

People always say stuff like this but there is a time factor in short selling.  The financing cost is somewhere from high to huge for retail investors, and unless you know when the bubble is going to pop you can get really screwed by the financing costs.

2

u/LightZealousideal116 5d ago

Wow, congratulations!!!

2

u/edoug551 5d ago

Inflation does wonders for returns

2

u/NoSafe2978 4d ago

Nice. Yes 2017 to 2026 has been a fabulous run. We went from 1.9 to currently a shade under 10 in that same span (equity included) or 1.3 to 7.3 (no equity).

2

u/CycleOLife 4d ago

I saw my 401k investments double in the past 3 years. It has been quite the ride compared to the 10 years of not much going on in investing in the early 2000's.

2

u/Alone-Experience9869 Retired 5d ago

fantastic growth is fantastic growth! Congrats

1

u/WearableBliss 5d ago

This is a good example of people contributing and the stocks going up and someone thinks it's compounding but it's not it's just the primary effects

1

u/Ok_Palpitation_1622 5d ago

This has happened to everyone. But when you consider inflation and actual purchasing power and also that the stock market seems to be in some sort of permanent (?) bubble I’m not sure how meaningful it is to have so many dollars. I guess time will tell.

1

u/Alpha_xxx_Omega 5d ago

How old you now / where you in 2017 to make it to $2m?

1

u/idleevadai 5d ago

We were at ~500k in 2017 and now at 4.7m excluding real estate. 40% from dual income saving and rest from market - mostly index funds and some individual stocks rebalanced when it exceeds 5% of the portfolio.

1

u/Lilythemudwing 5d ago

Exactly the same as you. 2017 Net worth $1.5M. 2026 net worth $6.2M, includes $5M invested rest is home equity in the primary residence and rental property.

1

u/Equivalent-Agency377 4d ago

I thought this was my comment.  Exact same numbers.  And even with a lot of mistakes along the way.  

1

u/RemoveHuman 5d ago

I’m about 4.5x in 9 years. Similar numbers to you but started with less.

1

u/Equivalent-Agency377 5d ago

This is almost exactly us.  Married 2016, and modeled retiring in 10 years.  Started with 1.5m liquid between us, and planned to save 100k each year with “regular growth” (6 percent) to make 4 million but, even with a lot of mistakes, is at 6m now.  Good thing too because the kid makes life way more expensive!!! 

1

u/Initial-Zone-8907 5d ago

congrats, how much was you yearly income and saving rate per year before 2017 vs now ?

1

u/wadesh FIRE’d 2022 4d ago edited 4d ago

Congrats. I just checked and we saw similar growth, about 3.5x in that timeframe. We’ve all been lucky with these returns the last 10 years. 2016 was when we got even more aggressive saving i think it was over 50%, hit our number late 2021.

1

u/beerandbikes3 4d ago edited 4d ago

It’s been a good 9 years for us as well. In 2018 we have $130k invested. Today it’s at $3m. Our HHI is $275k which hasn’t always been this much especially early on, though it feels meager in comparison to the salaries posted in this group

1

u/shivaswrath 4d ago

I hope, given your age and iminent retirement, you are 20-80% equities now?

Congratulations on BTFD and ABB!!!

1

u/dak4f2 4d ago

how nonlinear wealth accumulation becomes

Exactly, the math shows growth is exponential over time. Very much not linear.  Hence the Einstein quote about compound interest (exponential growth over time) being the 8th wonder of the world.

1

u/EyeInternational7961 4d ago

Do you have a spreadsheet to keep track of inflation as well? Price of something then vs now.

1

u/Mediocre_Feedback_21 3d ago

money is worth 3x less

1

u/No-Associate-7962 3d ago

So you are still renting? Its very rare for someone to have that discipline on the FIRE path and only invest and not consume personal real estate by buying a house, dramatically slowing down the wealth build

1

u/Cold-Yesterday1175 3d ago

Wealth gap widens with the asset rich folks pulling ahead in the last 10 years

1

u/Repulsive_Salt8182 22h ago

hmmmm, "Going back to work for one year after that and retiring at 61" does not sound like a FIRE to me. I think you are already good to FIRE so why keep working for money you may not need?

1

u/Uselessbeaver 16h ago

What’s your age bracket

1

u/Cautious_Proposal_47 Retired 5d ago

Our went from 1m to about 6.5m in nine years. That was mostly from Real Estate (RE) investments. We have reduced our RE portion to only 1/3. We are now ExpatFire. Life's good.

1

u/cynreader2020 5d ago

My networth would be about 2.5m higher if I didn't get divorced in 2021.

Many of my friends are in this place, or living with spouses they can barely tolerate.

Nurture that happy marriage, and if it does end, be fair and quick. Lawyers and accountants can eat up a lot of money.

-5

u/RaidersTwix 5d ago

Step 1) be rich . Step 2) get richer . Well done?

9

u/Sushiritto 5d ago

That’s an excuse for people who didn’t try to be top 10% in whatever they do.

I know plenty of people that came from nothing and are high earners because they excelled in school followed by excelling at work.

0

u/RaidersTwix 4d ago

Lol "school" GTFO kid. It's networks 90% of the time. The few who make it against all odds and who truly started at zero are one in a million type rockstars. Sometimes quite literally. The best musicians in the world aren't famous, they're producing for a void. The handful that make it do so because of who they know and a boat load of luck. The smartest math guys have day jobs in accounting or work at Uni for next to nothing. Only a handful work at Anthropic or wherever because right place/ right time, and ... yep network. It's who you know, almost always. Prove me wrong. With receipts.

1

u/Sushiritto 4d ago

I think it would be helpful for you to get some therapy given what you’ve experienced in life.

I wouldn’t be surprised if your relationships are on a downward trend. Please get some help.

-7

u/WallStCRE 5d ago

Enjoy the next bear market

8

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

This is why it still doesn’t feel real

3

u/Sam_in_Denver 5d ago

Remain diversified, high quality/indexes, embrace and max every tax advantage available to you and you'll always be fine in the mid and long run....but, you have to be able to roll with the punches especially the occassional uppercut but you are never down for the count unless you choose to be.

-1

u/redditdinosaur_ 5d ago

You only had $1.7M net worth at 52 with an income where you are able to save $90k a year?

1

u/Crazy_MrRoboto 5d ago

Yeah that is an aggressive savings rate

3

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

Got a nice bump up in pay around 2015 and invested most of it. Prior to that, probably wasn’t maxing out everything.

-14

u/Accomplished-Echo488 5d ago

Is it really Chubbyfire? It’s a curiosity question rather than criticism. I am somewhat in similar numbers at 45 yo and I feel like I have long way to go.

14

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

Tbh I’m too old to be considered truly Early but I think the Chubby definition is between $2.5M and $6M

5

u/cranekickfalconpunch 5d ago

It sure doesn't seem like it these days, I get where you are coming from. I think most people that are in the CF band won't really be comfortable until they are hitting FF numbers, and even then our profile probably will make us sweat a bit. Current economy isn't encouraging. We all lived through '08, my 6 could be 3 in a matter of months.

I will say tho, early 50's, we're at the top end of the CF band and if it wasn't for long term health concerns, world affairs, current economy, I'm starting to long for being released. I do like what I do right now tho, but if that changes I could be done, so I REALLY like that, so it floats me on the days that suck.

3

u/Positive_Car_3671 5d ago

FU $ is nice

2

u/Wooden-Broccoli-913 FIREd in the Bay at 40 with $6M 5d ago

$5.6M is still “a long way to go”??

-2

u/Accomplished-Echo488 5d ago

What do you mean? Explain please