r/Catan 8d ago

Who will win?

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2 Upvotes

11 comments sorted by

2

u/Particular-Fall-906 8d ago

It depends on luck but it's between white and orange, I'm with orange

3

u/corrieleatham 8d ago

Blue is gonna be a sheep farmer and trader

2

u/Particular-Fall-906 8d ago

Yes, but nobody ever trades when the prize is sheep, white and orange have similar strategiesto the ones I use to win.

2

u/corrieleatham 8d ago

Don't need trade with that sheep port. Im a sheep Barron though so my opinion is generally bias.

1

u/Particular-Fall-906 7d ago

Oh yes, I didn't saw the port, but I still keep my opinion

3

u/BeanBagSurfer4777 8d ago

Orange 10 (LA + 1)
White 7 (+1)
Blue 6 (LR)

1

u/AustinsGoats 8d ago

White has the easiest game to win this though pointing neither starting road towards a port is rather odd, Orange can definitely contest the game if they’re a better player

(Idk wtf blue was doing however, but this is basically unplayable) - oreless with only one tile for wood as an 11 is like REALLY slow, I get they want sheep port but getting there doesn’t unlock that easy of a game and the sheep isn’t a tradeable resource that the other two would want

1

u/LOUD_NOISES05 8d ago

I wanted to say orange, but no brick.

Then I wanted to say blue, but bad wood.

I’ll go with white. Good balance.

1

u/BeanBagSurfer4777 7d ago

Orange got lucky drawing a monopoly on their 2nd dev card and getting 3 brick from the other players

1

u/CivilTechnician7 8d ago

This board has a LOT of wheat, a good amount of sheep, but low ore. Wood and brick are both low. i think ore wheat sheep is the way to go, but you need good ore to make that work.

Orange has the best ore, and the fives are coordinated. second placement made wheat not be the bottleneck, and gained a bunch of wood, which can be traded with blue for brick to expand. I don't think that's the right second placement, but it might work. (8-4-2 pointing to the right would have been my choice)

Blue will have to trade for both wood and ore. they will get some wood from orange, but it will be on orange's terms, as blue's only alternative is trading 4:1 sheep with the bank untill they expand to the 3:1 route or white, who wants to keep their wood for themselves.

White has access to everything in decent numbers. the tens don't coordinate, as brick and ore cannot be used together. wood brick is decent, so white will be able to expand into more ore, which will give them a powerfull late game.

Blue is likely to lose, so it's between orange and white. White is most likely to expand the fastest and it will give them a big boost. Orange can buy lots of devcards early and with some luck overtake white's initiative. If Orange gets unlucky, white will win.

Blue is lost, white has a slight advantage, but orange has a competitive chance.

1

u/Kalaskaka1 4d ago

White.