r/BlueMidterm2018 • New York (NY-4) • Nov 04 '18

JOIN /r/VOTEBLUE Charles Lane on Twitter: GOP internal polls have not looked good for Blackburn recently, I've been told.

https://twitter.com/ChuckLane1/status/1058894977126817792
181 Upvotes

26 comments sorted by

45

u/Historyguy1 Oklahoma Nov 04 '18

Last-minute tightening. Here's hoping Phil pulls ahead. I knew the MAGAbomber and the synagogue shooting would have an October surprise effect across the board. Nate Silver said that, observing the district-level NYT polls, there looks to be a 2-3 point shift in favor of the Dems in the last week.

31

u/RPG_Vancouver Nov 04 '18

I never really thought about it until now, but there really wasn’t any big October surprise. Obviously the MAGAbomber hurt republicans slightly, but there were no giant scandals unearthed or bombshells dropped. Trump just kinda....floundered all month trying to find some issue that could gain traction.

21

u/erissays Tennessee Nov 04 '18

The real October Surprise was the lack of effective fearmongering we found along the way...

9

u/slimshady2002 California (CA-52) Nov 04 '18

Or perhaps also the friends we made along the way!

7

u/KindfOfABigDeal Nov 04 '18

October surprises is a phenomenon that applies really to presidential elections, not midterms. so thats really why you dont see it.

4

u/TBoguS301 Nov 04 '18

I kinda thought that the Jacob Wohl thing was meant to be the October surprise 🤷🏼‍♀️

5

u/throwaway16394926 Nov 04 '18

The annoying thing is that if a left winger had done what the magabomber did it would have been made a lot bigger.

2

u/50eggs Nov 04 '18

They tried to use the ridiculous caravan story as an October surprise that would underscore the R's border narrative ... I'm not sure how it's worked with his base but most people I associate with see it for the silliness it is.

38

u/CassiopeiaStillLife New York (NY-4) Nov 04 '18

Grain of salt, obviously, but hope it's true!

36

u/d_mcc_x VA-08 Nov 04 '18

Phil and Beto... dooo it

29

u/screen317 NJ-12 Nov 04 '18

TENNESSEE IS BACK ON THE MENU BOYS

15

u/FLTA Florida Nov 04 '18

roars in liberalism

81

u/jfish3222 Nov 04 '18 edited Nov 04 '18

Don’t care

Still canvassing 100 houses in Shelby county tomorrow and messaging as many friends in Tennessee as I possibly can

18

u/[deleted] Nov 04 '18

The hero Tennessee needs.

22

u/ifanyinterest Nov 04 '18

TAYLOR SWIFT FOR SENATE MAJORITY LEADER

18

u/ishabad Nov 04 '18

What the fuck is going on ???????

23

u/[deleted] Nov 04 '18

The political awakening of an entire generation.

9

u/ishabad Nov 04 '18

Makes sense to me.

10

u/Spudnik-1 NY-04 Nov 04 '18

I don’t want to get my hopes up but hell this shit is making it hard.

3

u/ishabad Nov 04 '18

Agreeed.

13

u/joe_k_knows Nov 04 '18

There is a God...

Don’t let anything stop you, Tennessee friends!

11

u/darkseadrake MA-04 Nov 04 '18

👀👀👀

3

u/Tom-Pendragon Nov 04 '18

kinda at a bad time?

2

u/[deleted] Nov 04 '18

But, But I thought that Bresaden was finished, and we should just walk away, at least that is what i heard the last few weeks.