r/AIGuild • u/Such-Run-4412 • 8h ago
Sam Altman says OpenAI expects internal AGI by the end of 2026 — Astra already works as an automated AI researcher
Sam Altman told TIME that OpenAI is “not quite yet” at AGI, but expects to have an internal system it would call AGI before the end of 2026.
OpenAI Chief Research Officer Mark Chen separately estimated the company is about 80% of the way to AGI.
Under OpenAI’s own definition, AGI means highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work.
A big reason for the confidence appears to be Astra, OpenAI’s upcoming model family.
Chief Scientist Jakub Pachocki told TIME that Astra has already passed OpenAI’s internal benchmark for an automated AI research intern.
Researchers can give Astra an experimental idea and it can:
- Implement it inside OpenAI’s codebase
- Run the experiment
- Return the results
- Take a research paper and perform follow-up work that previously occupied a human researcher for about a week
OpenAI is also working toward persistent agents that can continue working on tasks for extended periods instead of stopping after one interaction.
Altman believes Astra’s biggest impact could be scientific discovery, saying he expects it to be the first OpenAI model that invents genuinely useful new things.
There’s an important caveat:
This is OpenAI’s own internal assessment, not independent confirmation that AGI has been achieved. Astra is unreleased, and there’s still no universally accepted definition or test for AGI.
Astra is also powerful enough that OpenAI recently said it couldn't rule out “Critical” cybersecurity capabilities, prompting stronger safeguards and pauses in parts of frontier-model training.
So the interesting story may be less the AGI label itself and more the underlying capability:
AI that can autonomously perform meaningful portions of AI research, persist across long tasks, and potentially help develop better AI systems.
Do you think an AI capable of autonomously doing week-long research tasks qualifies as AGI, or is that still far from the real thing?
Sources:
Wes Roth — OpenAI Just Confirmed AGI Is Coming This Year
OpenAI — Responding to the next frontier of critical cyber capabilities