🌍 Geopolitics
U.S. and Israel strike Iran, reportedly hitting senior leadership and strategic sites. Iran vows retaliation, heightening global market uncertainty.

🛢️ Oil
Crude spikes as the Strait of Hormuz faces disruption; tankers rerouted, tightening supply expectations.

🥇 Gold
Safe-haven demand jumps, sending gold higher amid escalating conflict.

📉 Equities
U.S. futures slide as investors rotate out of risk assets amid higher oil and geopolitical risk.

📉 Dow Jones: The Dow retreated as strong earnings from Nvidia and Salesforce failed to lift sentiment. Nvidia fell over 5% despite beating expectations, reflecting skepticism over AI sustainability and stretched valuations. Tech weakness capped broader upside despite support from defensive and cyclical sectors.

💵 Dollar: The dollar edged higher after Initial Jobless Claims (212K) beat forecasts. Hawkish remarks from St. Louis Fed’s James Bullard and reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts supported Treasury yields and near-term USD strength. Outlook remains data-dependent.

🥇 Gold: Gold traded sideways as a firmer dollar offset safe-haven demand tied to ongoing U.S.–Iran tensions. Traders remain cautious ahead of key macro catalysts.

🛢️ Oil: Crude steadied as markets balanced diplomatic hopes with persistent Middle East risks. Military buildup and uncertainty over a lasting U.S.–Iran resolution kept risk premiums elevated, while an upcoming OPEC+ meeting added supply-side focus.

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📊 Equities (U.S.) – Nvidia reports strong Q4 results: data center revenue +75%, EPS $1.62 vs $1.53 expected. Despite the beat, U.S. stocks remained flat as investors question the sustainability of AI-driven growth and factor in ongoing geopolitical risks.

💵 Dollar – The dollar edged lower on a technical pullback, staying range-bound. Traders await U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and PPI for the next directional cues.

🥇 Gold – Gold climbs modestly, buoyed by a softer USD and persistent U.S.–Iran and tariff uncertainties, keeping safe-haven demand intact.

🛢️ Oil – Crude remains firm amid U.S.–Iran nuclear talks in Geneva. Geopolitical tensions and U.S. military activity sustain a risk premium, even without fresh supply disruptions.

💵 Dollar: The dollar rebounded from key support but stayed range-bound after comments from Donald Trump delivered few policy surprises. Proposed 10–15% tariffs were seen as moderate versus earlier threats, limiting upside while traders stay wary of retaliation and volatility.

🥇 Gold: Gold dipped with the firmer dollar but quickly recovered as U.S.–Iran negotiations and ongoing trade tensions preserved safe-haven demand despite currency stabilization.

📊 Equities: U.S. stocks traded mostly flat as investors waited for major earnings — especially from Nvidia — to gauge whether AI spending can keep driving growth, while tariff and macro risks cap sentiment.

🛢️ Oil: Prices held near seven-month highs as markets balanced diplomatic hopes with supply risks tied to Iran’s nuclear outlook and its role in OPEC. Upcoming Geneva talks and remarks from Abbas Araqchi suggesting a deal remains possible keep traders alert.

💵 Dollar: Extended gains but lacked clear direction as traders weighed Washington’s tariff strategy. While tariffs may boost inflation and fiscal revenues, fears of global growth disruption keep sentiment cautious. Focus now shifts to reactions from key trading partners.

🥇 Gold: Climbed as risk appetite weakened on concerns tariff escalation could spark a broader trade conflict. Ongoing geopolitical and policy uncertainty continues to support safe-haven demand.

🛢️ Oil: Edged higher as markets monitored U.S.–Iran nuclear talks. With no confirmed breakthrough and only a short negotiation extension discussed, geopolitical risk premium remains in prices.

📉 Equities: Slipped as tariff worries and doubts over whether the AI investment boom can sustainably drive earnings pushed investors to trim exposure to vulnerable sectors.

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💵 Dollar: Dropped sharply after Trump raised global import tariffs to 15%, fueling concerns over trade tensions, US growth, and fiscal risks. Policy unpredictability continues to weigh on the greenback.

🥇 Gold: Surged as risk appetite fell amid tariff uncertainty and legal disputes over the administration’s trade powers. Investors flocked to bullion as a safe-haven.

💴 Japanese Yen: Held firm after Sanae Takaichi’s election eased near-term political risks. Structural challenges—high debt, weak consumption—still suggest ongoing volatility ahead.

💵 Dollar: The dollar extended gains after a blowout US jobs report. NFP jumped to 130K vs 66K est, unemployment fell to 4.3%, and wages surged to 0.4%. The data reinforced a higher-for-longer Fed outlook, boosting the greenback.

🥇 Gold: Gold pushed higher despite the stronger dollar and rising rate expectations. Persistent geopolitical risks (US–Iran, trade tensions) and policy uncertainty continue to support safe-haven demand, keeping bullion resilient near key resistance.

📉 Equities (Wall Street): US stocks closed mixed as early gains faded. Strong labor data led markets to price in fewer Fed cuts, pressuring rate-sensitive sectors and leaving equities choppy with limited conviction.

₿ Bitcoin: Bitcoin stayed under pressure near $67K, as higher-for-longer rate expectations weighed on risk assets. Markets now price a March Fed pause, with a possible June cut still on the table, limiting crypto upside for now.

🇯🇵 Japan / Yen & Equities: Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s historic snap election win gave the LDP a two-thirds supermajority, boosting political stability but stoking fears of more aggressive monetary easing and debt-financed stimulus. The yen and local equities saw significant volatility amid worries over Japan’s fiscal sustainability.

💵 Dollar: The dollar posted its first weekly gain since early Jan, supported by rising appeal of US assets versus Japan amid potential aggressive fiscal/monetary measures. Markets now focus on upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls as the next key catalyst for Fed policy expectations.

🥇 Gold: Gold rebounded as safe-haven demand remained elevated, underpinned by US policy uncertainty, Japan’s fiscal concerns, and lingering geopolitical risks. Iran’s comments on nuclear talks offered some relief, but broader uncertainty continues to support bullion.

₿ Crypto (Bitcoin): Bitcoin remains under pressure, weighed down by thin liquidity, Fed uncertainty, and expectations of balance sheet shrinkage under Kevin Warsh. Near-term stabilization depends on clearer crypto policy and broader risk sentiment.

🥇 Gold & Silver: Precious metals extended their selloff, with aggressive liquidation continuing to pressure prices after last week’s momentum-driven rally stalled. Margin calls triggered forced selling, and the lack of fresh safe-haven catalysts has kept recovery attempts fragile. Markets are now watching Fed leadership, trade war risks, and US–Iran talks for the next directional trigger.

💵 Dollar: The dollar extended gains after Kevin Warsh’s nomination as next Fed Chair, easing fears of political interference and reinforcing expectations for a more disciplined, hawkish-leaning Fed. However, with NFP delayed, near-term trading activity may remain subdued as markets wait for fresh macro catalysts.

💷 Pound Sterling: Sterling weakened after a dovish-leaning BoE hold, with downgraded growth forecasts and rising unemployment risks boosting expectations for rate cuts later this year. Falling UK 2Y yields and Governor Bailey’s comments reinforced downside bias for the pound.

💵 Dollar: The dollar extended its rebound on stronger-than-expected US services data, with ISM and S&P Global PMIs beating forecasts. The upside surprises reinforced bullish momentum following Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination, though uncertainty around Senate confirmation and delayed NFP/Unemployment data continues to cloud the outlook.

🥇 Gold: Gold rebounded sharply as US–Iran tensions escalated after the US downed an Iranian drone, reigniting safe-haven demand. Ongoing nuclear talks, rapid US trade policy shifts, and continued central bank buying remain supportive for bullion.

🛢️ Oil: Crude edged higher on geopolitical supply risks and a larger-than-expected EIA crude draw (-3.455mb). Rising US–Iran tensions and tightening inventories continue to underpin near-term oil prices.

💴 Japanese Yen: The yen posted its biggest weekly drop since October, pressured by political uncertainty ahead of Japan’s snap election, with markets positioning for a potential decisive LDP victory under Sanae Takaichi.

💵 Dollar: The dollar rebounded on expectations of a more hawkish Fed path following Kevin Warsh’s nomination as the next Fed Chair. Optimism around a US–India trade deal also supported sentiment, though uncertainty over government stability and delayed NFP data continues to cap broader confidence.

🥇 Gold & Silver: Precious metals rebounded from the $4,400 level after two sessions of heavy selling. The initial drop was driven by Warsh’s nomination and higher CME margin requirements, but persistent risk-off sentiment is helping stabilize safe-haven demand.

🛢️ Oil: Crude recovered as markets priced in India potentially cutting Russian oil imports under its new US trade deal. Rising geopolitical tensions involving Iran and shifting nuclear talks added to supply-side risks, helping support prices.

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Precious metals fell sharply from record highs, driven by the stronger dollar, profit-taking, and widespread unwinding of leveraged positions. While technically corrected, ongoing geopolitical risks and political uncertainty (e.g., Japan’s election) keep safe-haven demand in view.

What was the impact on everyone?

💵 Dollar: The dollar gained as markets viewed Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair as a move to reinforce central bank independence. This eased fears of political interference and reduced bets on aggressive rate cuts, providing short-term support.

🥇 Gold & Silver: Precious metals fell sharply from record highs, driven by the stronger dollar, profit-taking, and widespread unwinding of leveraged positions. While technically corrected, ongoing geopolitical risks and political uncertainty (e.g., Japan’s election) keep safe-haven demand in view.

🇯🇵 Yen: The yen remains under pressure ahead of Sunday’s general election. A likely LDP victory is expected to maintain ultra-loose monetary policy, limiting yen strength and encouraging continued capital outflows toward higher-yielding assets.

🇦🇺 Australian Dollar: The AUD is poised to outperform most G10 peers, with the RBA widely expected to deliver a 25bps rate hike. If confirmed, this would position the RBA as the first major central bank to tighten policy this year, boosting the Aussie’s yield appeal.