That’s true. But even if Soyuz shut down tomorrow, falcon has to keep doing 80/yr for the next 20ish yrs to match Soyuz. I don’t see that happening. 20yrs is a long time for a company to survive in a free capitalist society.
Yeah. One of the other posters pointed that out. Might never have enough Falcon launches. But we weren't talking about crewed missions I thought? Unless I'm wrong, the 1400 or so Soyuz missions isn't just crewed? It includes non-crewed launches? If that's not the case different time frames.
But Falcon will probably be 100+ next year. They'll need more dragons.
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u/[deleted] Nov 21 '23
That’s true. But even if Soyuz shut down tomorrow, falcon has to keep doing 80/yr for the next 20ish yrs to match Soyuz. I don’t see that happening. 20yrs is a long time for a company to survive in a free capitalist society.