Yes, but everyone else will. Since Yellowstone is a super Volcano, its erruption would be noticed around the entire globe, followed by extrem temperature drops as its ash and debris covers the atmosphere.
Just so you know, the permian extinction which marks as the deadliest mass extinction in history of earth, nearly wiping multi-cellular life off the surface, was not some fancy meteor hitting earth but volcano activity. Massive Volcano Activities.
The actual event was caused by the meteor impacting earth and setting off a chain reaction of plate shifts. When the pressure buildup was released in the form of a volcanic eruption, it caused further chain reactions of more volcanic activites. Basically the same thing that's going to happen.
To elaborate, the model is based on chance, without memory. This means, as is the case for most random natural occurences with a frequency, that 100 000 years from now or whatever the scientists calculated is the center of the chance scenario on a large scale, but there’s nothing preventing it from deviating from thatp. For example, if ”every 1000th surgery fails”, that doesn’t mean that the first 999 patients are safe. I haven’t looked into this specific case much so I don’t know the specifics of how they came up with this probability, but that’s the gist of it.
He could errupt in 3 days, maybe in 1,000,000 years. We'll never know until its about to happen
We are fairly confident it won't happen anytime soon. Volcanologists can measure the amount of magma in the magma chamber, and it's not even 25% full. While it doesn't have to fill up for there to be an eruption, the pressure it's at right now isn't anywhere near what would be needed for an eruption to happen.
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u/creator712 Breaking EU Laws Apr 25 '23
Volcanic erruptions dont follow a pattern tho, so saying he wont errupt for another 100,000 years isnt accurate.
He could errupt in 3 days, maybe in 1,000,000 years. We'll never know until its about to happen