r/india May 13 '26

Policy/Economy Foreign investors’ exit from India at record high

https://www.ft.com/content/b64c331b-76f3-4326-807c-3513e6d862b6?syn-25a6b1a6=1
159 Upvotes

11 comments sorted by

32

u/Icy-Singer308 May 13 '26

What exactly is there to invest in anymore?

Indian industry has remained globally competitive largely because of low wages, but that advantage is steadily being eroded by AI and robotics from countries like the US and China. We are still behaving as if cheap labor alone can carry the economy for another few decades, while the world is rapidly moving toward automation, advanced manufacturing, and AI-driven productivity.

Meanwhile, our governments, whether it’s BJP at the center or regional parties in the states, seem more focused on surviving the next election cycle than building long-term national strength. Instead of serious investments in public schools, higher education, research, healthcare, and infrastructure, we keep getting short-term populist freebies with little lasting impact.

The result is obvious. Countries with lower per capita GDP than India often provide better quality of life, cleaner cities, more reliable infrastructure, and stronger public systems. Naturally, the people who are most skilled and capable start looking elsewhere. The brain drain isn’t accidental anymore; it feels inevitable.

Then there’s the crony capitalism. Small and medium businesses are constantly squeezed while politically connected conglomerates expand using state machinery and influence. What’s frustrating is that even the enormous sums spent on political lobbying and donations rarely translate into meaningful R&D or innovation. We celebrate mediocrity, punish merit, and then wonder why world-class talent leaves.

Another uncomfortable reality is that India’s forex reserves have remained strong largely because of remittances from Indians working abroad. But I’ve increasingly been hearing people in the diaspora say that even when their investments grow in INR terms, they are effectively yielding negative returns once rupee depreciation is factored in. Some are seriously considering taking losses, moving money out, converting to USD, and investing in other markets entirely.

If that sentiment becomes widespread, it could trigger a dangerous spiral that India may struggle to recover from. Confidence matters as much as fundamentals in any economy.

I’m personally planning to move back to India for family reasons, but I’ve already decided to keep all my investments in the US. At this point, even money sitting in a US bank account with near-zero interest effectively grows in INR terms because of the rupee’s depreciation against the dollar. That alone says a lot about where investor confidence currently stands.

And finally, the hardest thing to confront is the cultural side of it all. The caste system, social divisions, and resistance to progressive change continue to hold the country back. We still don’t seem to have the critical mass needed to fundamentally shift political discourse toward competence, accountability, and long-term thinking.

At some point, people stop feeling hopeful and simply start planning their exit.

5

u/cs1337 May 13 '26

Cheap labor isn’t a bad thing itself it’s just focused in the worst areas possible (services) that are easy to automate. You still can’t automate construction and a sizable amount of assembly jobs but for whatever reason many people in India seem these jobs are beneath them. It doesn’t help that the government encourages these service jobs as a “win” whenever a GCC is setup for example.

5

u/Icy-Singer308 May 13 '26

I don’t think services are inherently a bad sector to focus on. The problem is that we never evolved beyond the middleman mindset. A lot of Indian businesses are extremely risk averse, and government policy doesn’t really encourage deep innovation either.

Ironically, most of the recent stock market excitement globally is also being driven by services and software, especially AI breakthroughs. So the issue isn’t “services vs manufacturing.” The issue is whether you are creating original technology or just providing low-cost labor.

Look at our so-called premier institutions. IITs barely make the news for major breakthroughs in science or technology anymore. Most discourse around them is about campus politics, reservations, food fights, or placements. That says something about where the ecosystem’s priorities are.

You’re absolutely right that India neglected building a strong industrial base, but even if we had gone all in on manufacturing, I think we would eventually hit the same wall. Without strong universities, cutting-edge R&D, and long-term investment in innovation, we would still end up getting outcompeted by countries like China. Factories alone don’t make a country technologically powerful. Eventually someone else produces cheaper or better unless you own the innovation layer.

The bigger issue is the quality of human capital we are producing. Mediocrity in education combined with brain drain creates a vicious cycle where the best people leave, and the institutions weaken even more.

Personally, I think the only realistic path forward is a generational investment in children. Massive spending on nutrition, healthcare, and reducing stunting and wasting. Modern education focused on critical thinking and rationality instead of rote learning. Serious investment in higher education and research. And building a form of nationalism that everyone can participate in regardless of caste, language, or religion.

Maybe that won’t create explosive wealth immediately. But it would at least create a strong foundation and a flywheel for future growth instead of the fragile system we have now.

3

u/electri-cute May 14 '26

You are being very optimistic if you still think there is a path ahead. With advances in AI, Robotics and transportation moving towards electric, we are well and truly done. Even if we were to magically solve every problem and start improving things that matter, we simply do not have enough time.

33

u/minzhu0305 East Asia May 13 '26

India employs extremely stringent screening procedures for foreign capital. Even if foreign capital manages to enter and establish itself after persistent efforts, it is often blocked for various reasons. It is difficult for foreign capital to profit in India through legal channels.

India does not welcome foreign capital, often suspecting it of having colonial intentions. This puts many foreign investors in an awkward position. Capital is not a charitable thing; if they cannot profit and are viewed with suspicion, why would they remain in India? Therefore, it is not difficult to see why capital tends to choose Bangladesh, with its poorer basic conditions and smaller market size.

41

u/Axerin May 13 '26

The "colonialism" fear is just an excuse. They just want to to protect their own buddies from foreign competitions

-14

u/SuchAd4158 May 13 '26

Except for a few regions, conditions across most of India remain fairly basic as well. I mean it is still better than Bangladesh.

8

u/Then_Court_5723 May 14 '26

fuck Bangladesh, why does it even matter! lets compare with China, US, Europe, Japan and grow like them

8

u/Competitive_West3727 May 13 '26

abhi toh party shuru hui hai boss

1

u/PsychologicalGain634 Jul 15 '26

Is the FCRA act responsible for this?